Monday 11th November

NAP Ecu De La Noverie 9/2 (B365) – Kempton 14:05 – 2pts win 3rd -2pts

Has been a consistent performer since joining Philip Hobbs, posting one win and four placed efforts from five runs, and made a pleasing return to action with a solid second over an inadequate trip at Wetherby last month, his first run since January. He’s again partnered with owner David Maxwell in the saddle, who has had two wins from three rides in the last two weeks and a 36% winning strike rate in the last twelve months when riding for the trainer. With a recent run under his belt and an extra two furlongs to cover, he looks capable of carrying joint top-weight to victory today.

NB Lilys Gem 5/2 (B365) – Carlisle 13:55 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

Stuart Crawford won this race last season and boasts a 42% winning strike rate in the last three years over hurdles at the course (5 wins from 12 runners). This year he relies on Lilys Gem who despite being yet to win in three over hurdles she has put in a couple of promising runs when placed the last twice. She has a win and a second from two runs over course and distance in bumpers so can use this prior course experience to get off the mark today.

3B Theclockisticking 5/1 (Coral) – Kempton 14:40 – 2pts win 3rd -2pts

A solid sixth in the Pertemps at Cheltenham in March, he now switches back to the smaller obstacles and takes a drop back in trip for his first run since a wind op and races off a mark 6lbs below his last victory. Career wins have come in November 2017 and November 2018 so this looks like the right time to catch him.

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Monday Stats Runners

Carlisle

S R B Crawford 42% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

13:55 – Lilys Gem

B Ellison 36% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£22.63 in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

13:20 – Windsor Avenue

Kempton

N Henderson 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

12:20 – Chasamix

13:30 – Versatility

14:40 – Morning Vicar

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MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

11th November 2019: -6pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -16pts

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HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +8.69pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +673.9pts