Saturday 7th September

All of today’s selections come from Haydock – it looks an excellent card and i am hopeful we have found at least a couple of winners from those listed below.

13:50 – Moon King 6/1 (B365) – 1pt win Lost -1pt

Has won all five since stepping up to todays’ trip, including one here at Haydock, winning on everything from good to heavy ground.

14:25 – Here Comes When 7/1 (Whill) – 1pt win Lost -1pt

Excels in these kinds of conditions, winning this race in heavy ground last season and having won multiple races in soft ground. Six of his eight career wins have come over todays’ trip and jockey Oisin Murphy has a 50% winning strike rate when riding the nine-year-old.

15:00 – He’s a Keeper 11/2 (BV) – 1pt win Lost -1pt

A course and distance winner in soft ground when last seen, drawing clear in the final furlong to win by four lengths. Trainer Tom Dascombe is always following at the course and boasts a level stakes profit of +£92.97 in the last 12 months here.

15:35 – Alright Sunshine 15/2 (B365) – 1pt win 2nd -1pt

Arrives here looking for his hat-trick, following wins at Ripon and Musselburgh in the last couple of months. Is two wins from two over todays’ trip and is partnered with Danny Tudhope who has a 40% winning strike rate in the last 12 months when riding for Keith Dalgleish.

16:10 – Hello Youmzain 13/2 (BV) – 1pt win WON +6.5pts

A group 2 winner over course and distance on penultimate run, and was less than 2 lengths behind Advertise when 3rd at Royal Ascot. Has won on soft & good-to-soft ground, and races for a stable in fine form and for jockey James Doyle whose winning strike rate in the last 12 months at the course exceeds 30%.

16:45 – Maygold 4/1 (Betfred) – 1pt win WON +4pts

Has to race off a career high mark today but will appreciate the conditions and has been an admirably consistent runner over the minimum trip, posting 3 wins & 6 placed from 11.

17:20 – Barossa Red 9/2 (sky) – 1pt win 2nd -1pt

Was partnered with Oisin Murphy when winning over course and distance in heavy ground last month, his first run on turf this season. Up 6lbs but looks capable of improvement and this race looks no tougher despite there being more rivals.


In-form Trainers

R Menzies 4 wins from 8 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 50% winning strike rate (vs 2019 average of 14%) with a level stakes profit of +£13.25…

Thirsk 15:05 – Just Call Me Ella

G Tuer 3 wins from 7 in the last 2 weeks, a 43% winning strike rate (vs 2019 average of 14%)…

Thirsk 13:55 – Out Of Breath

Thirsk 15:40 – Final Go

K Ryan 8 wins from 23 in the last 2 weeks, a 35% winning strike rate (vs 2019 average of 14%) with a level stakes profit of +£15.25…

Haydock 16:10 – Hello Youmzain, Major Jumbo & Brando

Wolves 19:00 – Baltic State


In-form Jockeys

J Doyle 12 wins from 32 in the last 2 weeks, a 37% winning strike rate (vs 2019 average of 20%) with a level stakes profit of +£28.23…

Haydock 15:00 – Tammani

Haydock 15:35 – Blakeney Point

Haydock 16:10 – Hello Youmzain

T Greatrex 6 wins from 18 in the last 2 weeks, a 33% winning strike rate (vs 2019 average of 12%) with a level stakes profit of +£23.50…

Kempton 15:15 – Gossiping

Kempton 15:50 – Hexagon

Kempton 17:35 – Quick Breath

H Doyle 9 wins from 30 in the last 2 weeks, a 30% winning strike rate (vs 2019 average of 13%) with a level stakes profit of +£18.50…

Kempton 14:05 – Tamreer

Kempton 14:40 – Cheat

Kempton 15:15 – Felix The Poet

Kempton 15:50 – Dramatic Sands

Kempton 16:25 – Lexington Rebel

Kempton 17:00 – Junderstand


Saturday Stats Runners

Haydock

J Gosden 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

13:50 – First In Line

15:00 – Light Angel

15:35 – Corelli

Stratford

D McCain 32% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£17.50 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

14:15 – See The Sea

16:35 – Beach Break

B Hughes 38% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£18.50 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

14:15 – See The Sea

16:35 – Beach Break

Dr Newland 35% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

16:35 – Competition

A Heskin 40% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

17:10 – Bagan


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

7th September 2019: +5.5pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: even pts

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: +16.48pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +9.7pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +674.91pts

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