Monday 30th September

NAP Oakenshield 9/4 (B365) – Hamilton 16:00 – 1pt win Lost -1pt

  • Showed plenty of promise when 4th on debut at Haydock in soft ground earlier in the month, racing prominently and travelling well before tiring inside the final furlong. On that basis, the drop back in trip should suit so with that experience under his belt and Andrea Atzeni taking over in the saddle he can improve to take his first victory here.

NB Peachey Carnehan 7/2 (B365) – Wolves 18:50 – 1pt win Lost -1pt

  • 3 wins & 2 placed from 11 over course & distance, with wins coming off marks of 60,56,70 – races off 53 today

  • Arrives in form having won at Leicester earlier in the month

3B A Sure Welcome 8/1 (PP) – Wolves 19:20 – 0.5pts e/w NR

  • 6 time course winner

  • Switches back to AW following a decent summer on turf, winning two

  • Finished a decent 2nd on penultimate run with todays’ jockey in the saddle


Monday Stats Runners

Bath

M Channon 24% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:00 – Littleton Hall & Gleeds Girl

14:30 – Bentley Wood

16:10 – Dancing Jo

Hamilton

K Ryan 24% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:20 – Conga

16:00 – Oakenshield

Wolves

T Dascombe 17% winning strike rate & Level stakes profit of +£81.12 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:25 – Utopian Lad

18:20 – Brad The Brief

A Watson 23% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

17:25 – Carmel

20:20 – Kashagan

S Donohoe 13% winning strike rate & Level stakes profit of +£45.09 in the last 3 years at the course…

19:50 – Love Explodes

20:20 – The Dancing Poet


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

30th September 2019: -2pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -3.95pts

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: +16.48pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.75pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.96pts

Sunday 29th September

NAP Zzoro 3/1 (betfred) – Epsom 15:05 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

Other shortlisted runners…

I’m Available (15:35 Epsom)

Gas Monkey (16:10 Epsom)

Kylie Rules (15:15 Musselburgh)

One Boy (16:20 Musselburgh)


Sunday Stats

Epsom

15:05 – Zzoro (2 wins on soft ground, 1 over course and distance)

15:35 – Alfred Boucher (soft ground winner)

16:10 – Gas Monkey (soft ground winner)

17:15 – Zeyzoun (placed 2nd on soft ground)

17:15 – Red Bravo (soft ground winner)

17:15 – Global Destination (soft ground winner)

Musselburgh

R Fahey 18% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£34.05 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:40 – Lady Celia

15:15 – Dance Diva

16:55 – La Sioux

D Tudhope 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£12.69 in the last 3 years at the course…

13:40 – Lincoln Tale

14:10 – Johan

14:40 – Lara Silvia

15:45 – Royal Brave

16:20 – Jeffrey Harris

16:55 – How Bizarre

17:25 – Life Knowledge


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

29th September 2019: -2pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -1.95pts

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: +16.48pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +9.7pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +674.91pts

Saturday 28th September

NAP Kameko (13:50) & Raffle Prize (14:25) double 3.98/1 (B365) – 2pts win Lost -2pts

NB Fannie By Gaslight 4/1 (B365) – Chester 16:30 – 2pts win WON +8pts

3B See The Sea 11/1 (B365) – 16:00 Market Rasen – 1pt e/w Lost -2pts


Newmarket 13:50

Aidan O’Brien has won three of the last ten renewals of this race and runs three in attempt to win it again, however the best form on offer comes from Andrew Baldings’ Kameko who followed up his debut victory with an excellent second in the Group 3 Solario Stakes last month, getting to within a nose of winner Positive.

Highland Chief ran a cracker when third behind Pinatubo & Lope Y Fernandez in the Chesham and looks the principal danger, while Pyledriver and Sound Of Cannons finished first and second on soft ground over todays’ trip when they met at Haydock earlier in the month and look the most likely to battle it out for third.

Kameko (no single)

Newmarket 14:25

Etoile hasn’t been seen since winning a Group 3 over six furlongs at Naas in May but despite this still looks the more likely of Aidan O’Brien’s two as he attempts to win this race for the fourth consecutive year. Tropbeau, Living In The Past and Nurse Barbara could all play a part if continuing to improve, however for the winner it is difficult to look past the favourite Raffle Prize who is a dual Group 2 winner and ran the unbeaten Earthlight to within a neck in the Group 1 Prix Morny last time out.

Raffle Prize (no single)

Newmarket 15:00

An absolutely fascinating renewal with Earthlight, Siskin and Mums Tipple all putting their unbeaten records on the line, with both Threat and Lope Y Fernandez also boasting strong form and progressive profiles.

A win for Raffle Prize in the race before this would boost the form of Earthlight. Unbeaten in four, with a Group 1 victory under his belt and with form on good-to-soft ground, he looks a worthy favourite. That said, it was impossible not to be impressed with Mums Tipple and his eleven-length demolition of rivals at York last month, posting a very quick time, and although this is a step up in Grade if he can reproduce an effort like last time out then he could prove tough to beat.

Siskin has twice go the better of Monarch Of Egypt and although the Aidan O’Brien runner got closer second time round I still can’t see that form being reversed, for all that I believe that the winner of this race will come from elsewhere.

Mums Tipple 5/2 (B365) – 1pt win Lost -1pt

Also…

Newmarket 15:40 – Good Birthday 8/1 (sky – 8 places) – 0.5pts e/w 3rd +0.8pts

Newmarket 16:50 – Oati Ma Boati 7/1 (B365) – 1pt win Lost -1pt


In-form trainers & Jockeys

K Tutty 3 wins from 8 for a 37% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks…

Chester 14:10 – Tangled

T Dascombe 6 wins from 23 for a 26% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks, with a level stakes profit of +£30.57…

Chester 13:35 – Girl From Mars

Chester 14:10 – Calder Prince & Dragons Tail & Arcanada

Chester 16:30 – Katiesheidinlisa

S C Williams 8 wins from 32 for a 25% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks, with a level stakes profit of +£46.25…

Chester 14:45 – Winning Streak

Newmarket 17:25 – Breathless Times

Chelmsford 18:50 – Royal Birth

N Twiston-Davies 6 wins from 17 for a 35% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks…

Market Rasen 15:25 – Luckofthedraw

Market Rasen 16:00 – Earlofthecotswolds

Market Rasen 16:35 – Baby Ted

J O’Neill 4 wins from 11 for a 36% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks…

Market Rasen 15:25 – Terry The Fish & As You Like

Jockey J O’Neill Jnr 5 wins from 12 for a 41% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks…

Market Rasen 15:25 – As You Like

Market Rasen 17:10 – Stimulating Song

Jockey B Hughes 6 wins from 16 for a 37% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks…

Market Rasen 16:00 – See The Sea


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

28th September 2019: +2.8pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +0.05pts

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: +16.48pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +9.7pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +674.91pts

Friday 27th September

Newmarket

13:50

William Haggas has won three of the last five renewals of this race and after a quiet start to the month has started to see his stable hit form so its no surprise to see Maqsad at the head of the market now dropping back from Group 1 level. That said, John Gosden won the other two of those last five renewals, has had twenty-one winners from his last fifty runners and has two with live chances here. Preference of the two is for She’s Got You who is two from two over a mile trip, including one at Newmarket, and is the choice of in-form Frankie Dettori.

At a much bigger price, SH Boom produced her only career victory over course and distance and will appreciate the drop back to a mile. With Tom Marquand taking over in the saddle, she looks over-priced for an each way shout.

She’s Got You 11/2 (B365) – 1pt win 2nd -1pt

SH Boom 40/1 (Whill) – 0.5pts e/w Lost -1pt

14:25

Promissory sets the standard following a five length demolition of rivals over this trip on penultimate run, following up with another solid display when second to Sir Ron Priestley over a longer trip when last seen. A similar performance to either of those would make her tough to beat, with Spirit Of Appin looking the biggest danger.

Promissory 11/8 (Betfred) – no single

15:00

Cloak Of Spirits was an impressive winner on debut, beating a number of rivals who have gone on to win since, and duly went off as a 6/4 favourite for the Group 2 May Hill Stakes next time out but ultimately disappointed. The drop back in trip looks to be a great move and she can give the favourite Daahyeh plenty to think about.

Cloak Of Spirits 7/1 (BV) – 0.5pts e/w 2nd +0.75pts

15:35

King Of Comedy wasn’t disgraced when fourth in the Juddmonte last time out and ran an absolute cracker when second to Circus Maximus in the Group 1 St James Palace Stakes prior to that. Proven over this trip (two wins and the above-mentioned second from three runs), with conditions to suit and with both trainer and jockey in excellent form he should be capable of returning to winning ways.

King Of Comedy 11/10 (B365) – no single

16:45

A case could be made for all of the quintet but the selection has to be Mount Everest given his introduction to this trip in a Group 3 at Leopardstown earlier in the month, finishing fourth without being given too hard a ride. Aidan O’Brien’s record at the course is a positive and his second to Japan in a Group 2 race on last run of 2018 looks to be decent form given that 1st & 4th have since won Group 1’s.

Mount Everest 5/4 (B365) – no single

Treble – 14:25, 15:35 & 16:45 – 1pt win @ 10.5/1 (Skybet) Lost -1pt


Friday Stats Runners

Haydock

T Dascombe 18% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£117.54 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:15 – Casting Spells

14:50 – Quick Recap

15:25 – Gifted Ruler

16:00 – Sermon

17:10 – This Girl

17:40 – Lolas Theme

E Walker 26% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£30.25 in the last 3 years at the course…

16:35 – Ginistrelli

Newmarket

C Appleby 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

16:45 – Loxley

A O’Brien 22% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:25 – Simply Beautiful

16:10 – New World Tapestry

16:45 – Mount Everest

Worcester

P Hobbs 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£48.63 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:45 – At Its Own Expense

16:55 – Lackbarrow Lad

D Pipe 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£48.63 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:45 – My Tynte

16:55 – Jasmin Des Bordes

Dr Newland 34% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:45 – Duke St

16:55 – Clever As A Fox


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

27th September 2019: -2.25pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -2.75pts

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: +16.48pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +9.7pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +674.91pts

Thursday 26th September

NAP Wichita 9/4 (B365) – Newmarket 15:35 – 2pts win WON +4.5pts

  • Excellent victory on debut at The Curragh & followed up with another solid performance when 2nd to Molatham in a Listed race at Doncaster earlier in the month. That winner had finished a close-up 2nd to Mums Tipple on debut and won his next two so the form looks decent

  • Trainer A O’Brien has a 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£34.31 in the last 3 years at the course

NB Captain Dion 2/1 to place in top 4 (skybet) – Pontefract 15:25 – 2pts 5th -2pts

  • 3 wins, a 2nd and a 3rd from 5 runs over course and distance

  • Won this race in 2017 off a mark of 85 in heavy ground, races off a mark of 70 today

  • 4 wins from 10 in Class 4 races

A bit short in the market for a main selection, however I expect the below to do the business at Newmarket….

Withhold 5/6 (B365) – Newmarket 16:10 WON

  • 3 wins from 3 over a two mile trip on turf

  • Won the Cesarewitch here at Newmarket last season


Thursday Stats Runners

Pontefract

M Channon 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£19 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:15 – Saracen Spirit

14:50 – Walkonby

16:35 – Rally Driver

17:40 – Air Force Amy

Sir M Stoute 30% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:115 – Vasari

R M Whitaker 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£22.58 in the last 3 years at the course…

15:25 – Stoney Lane

17:05 – Hawk In The Sky

Newmarket

C Appleby 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

13:50 – Discovery Island

A O’Brien 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£34.31 in the last 3 years at the course…

15:25 – Wichita


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

26th September 2019: +2.5pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -0.5pts

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: +16.48pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +9.7pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +674.91pts

Wednesday 25th September

Wednesday Stats Runners

Goodwood

J Gosden 23% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:00 – Herman Hesse

15:40 – Illuminated

16:10 – Litigous

Kempton

J Gosden 29% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

18:00 – Baltic Wolve

19:00 – Informed Front

A Atzeni 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£21.43 in the last 3 years at the course…

18:00 – Jumaira Bay

19:30 – Emirates Knight

Newcastle

B Haslam 16% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£66.08 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:45 – Richie Star

19:15 – Blazing Dreams

W Haggas 38% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

20:15 – Critical Time

C Rodriguez 19% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£71.44 in the last 3 years at the course…

19:45 – Inductive

20:15 – Aliento

Redcar

W Haggas 42% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

12:45 – Bryn Du

13:15 – Convict

Perth

S Bowen 6 wins from 13 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 46% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£20.92…

15:50 – Graineyhill

Monday 23rd September

Pink Flamingo 5/1 (sky) – Leicester 15:25 – 1pt win 2nd -1pt

Has been a consistent performer on turf since switching to the M Attwater stable, posting two victories and three placed efforts in seven runs. Finishing just a short-head away from victory last time out, she steps up in grade for todays’ race but has the benefit of in-form jockey Cieren Fallon Jnr’s 3lbs claim, who has posted four wins from nine for the trainer this year.


Monday Stats Runners

Hamilton

K Ryan 25% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:00 – Leoch

14:30 – Kodicat

D Allan 25% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:00 – Lampang

14:30 – Lucky Beggar

15:05 – Be Bold

15:40 – Snooker Jim

16:10 – Multellie

17:15 – One To Go

Kempton

J Doyle 23% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

18:00 – Untouchable Beauty

19:00 – Pesto

Leicester

M L W Bell 23% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:20 – Clever Candy

16:30 – Lucky Turn

J Crowley 22% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£30.74 in the last 3 years at the course…

13:50 – Mostaqel

16:00 – Monaafasah

Warwick

N Henderson 40% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£22.75 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:50 – Royal Ruby

S Twiston-Davies 29% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

14:45 – Kapgarry


In-Form Trainers

S Crisford 7 wins from 19 in the last 2 weeks, a 37% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£29.25…

Kempton 18:00 – Goddess Of Rome

C F Wall 5 wins from 14 in the last 2 weeks, a 36% winning strike rate…

Leicester 16:00 – Smart Samba

17:05 – Hi Ho Silver


In-Form Jockeys

A Coleman 4 wins from 10 in the last 2 weeks, a 40% winning strike rate…

Warwick 15:15 – Vivas

Warwick 16:55 – Western Sunrise

B Hughes 6 wins from 15 in the last 2 weeks (fences & hurdles), a 40% winning strike rate…

Warwick 15:50 – Sleepy Haven

J Crowley 13 wins from 38 in the last 2 weeks, a 34% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£22.99…

Leicester 13:50 – Mostaqel

Leicester 16:00 – Monaafasah

Kempton 19:00 – Ederaat

Kempton 20:00 – Jabalaly


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

23rd September 2019: -1pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -3pts

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: +16.48pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +9.7pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +674.91pts