Thursday 1st August

Goodwood – Day 3

An excellent day on Day 2 of Goodwood with 4 winners and +13.5pts profit meaning we drag ourselves in to the black on the final day of the month! Thursday’s racing at Goodwood looks to be extremely competitive stuff so don’t be giving all your winnings back… I have added a selection for each race but it is difficult to be overly confident in any of the picks… put simply, I will be playing with pocket change! 

13:50 – Sinjaari 9/2 (B365) – 0.5pts win 3rd -0.5pts

14:25 – Misty Grey 20/1 e/w (PP) 0.25pts e/w Lost -0.5pts

15:00 – Dal Horrisgle 15/2 e/w (PP) 0.25pts e/w Lost -0.5pts

15:35 – Sun Maiden 16/1 e/w (sky) 0.25pts e/w Lost -0.5pts

16:10 – Fred 15/2 e/w (sky – 5 places) 0.25pts e/w Lost -0.5pts

16:45 – Salsa 3/1 (B365) – 0.5pts win Lost -0.5pts

17:20 – Pink Flamingo 25/1 e/w (PP – 5 places) 0.25pts e/w NR


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

1st August 2019: -3pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +2.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: -6.78pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +658.43pts

Wednesday 31st July

Goodwood – Day 2

13:50 – Dubawi Fifty 11/2 (B365) – 1pt win Lost -1pt

14:25 – Durston 13/2 (PP) – 1pt win 2nd -1pt

15:00 – Liberty Beach 6/4 (sky) – 2pts win WON +3pts

15:35 – Too Darn Hot 5/4 (B365) – 2pts win WON +2.5pts

16:10 – Mrs Bouquet 7/2 (B365) – 1pt win WON +3.5pts

16:45 – Mannaal 12/1 e/w (BV) – 0.5pts e/w WON +7.5pts

17:55 – Lyndon B 6/1 (PP) – 1pt win 3rd -1pt


Racing Post NAP

15:55 Redcar – Mina Vagante 5/2 (sky) – 1pt win 2nd -1pt


Wednesday Stats Runners

Leicester

M Channon 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£22.93 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:45 – Enjoy The Moment

18:20 – Crystal Tiara

18:55 – Elena

20:05 – Rewaayat

Redcar

D Carroll 17% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£25.25 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:30 – Radjash


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

31st July 2019: +12.5pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +2.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: -6.78pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +658.43pts

Tuesday 30th July

Glorious Goodwood – Day 1

13:50 – Soto Sizzler 9/1 (sky – money back if 2nd, 3rd or 4th) – 2pts win Lost -2pts

14:25 – Pinatubo 11/8 (B365) – 2pts win WON (SP 6/4) +3pts

15:00 – Pretty Baby 12/1 (sky) – 1pt e/w NR

15:35 – Stradivarius 4/6 (no single)

16:10 – Written Broadcast 5/2 (sky) – 1pt win Lost -1pts

16:45 – Boom The Groom 16/1 (B365) – 0.5pts e/w Lost -1pts

17:15 – Layaleena 10/1 (Whill) – 1pt e/w Lost -2pts

14:25 Goodwood – Qatar Vintage Stakes

Pinatubo launched himself into the spotlight with a commanding victory on debut, beating four subsequent winners over six furlongs on the Tapeta at Wolves, before proving he also handles turf with a similarly impressive victory in the Woodcote at Epsom at the end of May, defying a slow start to make up almost ten lengths in the home straight and win by almost two lengths. Stepped up to seven furlongs in the Chesham at Royal Ascot last month, he again travelled strongly before forging clear inside the final furlong to beat Lope Y Fernandez by over three lengths. The Aidan O’Brien runner re-opposes but he didn’t have the speed or power to sustain a challenge last time out so Group 2 winner Mystery Power and the progressive Mark Johnston runner Visinari rate as the most likely challengers.

15:00 Goodwood – Qatar Lennox Stakes

Zaaki (2nd) finished ahead of Suedois (3rd) when they met at Ascot last month, however Zaaki is yet to get competitive in three runs over this trip so the step back to seven furlongs is more likely to suit Suedois and I wouldn’t be surprised to see David O’Meara’s eight-year-old reverse that form as he attempts to go one better than his second-placed finish in this race last season.

Hey Gaman has already won twice over todays’ trip this season and was last seen finishing just a length behind the 2018 Irish 2000 Guineas winner Romanised at The Curragh last month. He arrives here in top form, is flexible regarding conditions and races for a trainer and jockey who are also going great guns so seems to have a lot in his favour.

Pretty Baby is a prior course and distance winner, gained last summer in an extremely competitive race where the 2nd, 4th and 5th have won Group races since. She disappointed over a mile last time out but looks a big price at around 14’s in the early markets considering she steps back down to a trip where she is two wins from two. All things considered I feel that Hey Gaman could prove tough to beat but Pretty Baby won’t be far away if bouncing back and as such is my each way play in what promises to be a fascinating renewal.


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

30th July 2019: -3pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: -9.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: -9.53pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +655.68pts

Monday 29th July

Monday Stats Runners

Ayr

Jockey G Lee 16% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£40.95 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:30 – Sienna Dream

15:00 – Forewarning

R Fell 19% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:30 – House Deposit

15:30 – Presidential & Zylan

16:00 – Cockalorum

16:30 – Zodiakos & Najashee

K Burke 18% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:00 – Solemn Pledge

Ffos Las

A Balding 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£20.17 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:45 – Berlin Tango

20:00 – Queens Soldier

Windsor

Jockey S De Sousa 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

17:35 – Love Powerful

18:05 – Endowed

18:40 – Zoffee

19:50 – Show Stealer

Newton Abbot

S Leech 28% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£44.50 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:15 – Tamarillo Grove

Jockey S Twiston-Davies 38% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

14:45 – Flying Verse

16:45 – Samson


In-form Trainers (last 2 weeks, to Sunday 29th July)

S Bin Suroor 8 wins from 17 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 47% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£13:05…

(Mon) Ayr 16:00 – Shoot For Gold

(Tues) Goodwood 13:50 – Mountain Hunter

(Tues) Goodwood 14:25 – Platinum Star

(Tues) Goodwood 16:10 – Lost In Time

A J Perrett 4 wins from 9 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 44% winning strike rate…

(Mon) Windsor 18:05 – Penny Diamond

(Mon) Windsor 19:50 – Open Wide

(Tues) Goodwood 16:45 – Count Otto

J Gosden 10 wins from 24 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 41% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£20.55…

(Mon) Windsor 18:40 – Gold Stick

(Tues) Goodwood 15:35 – Stradivarius

H Palmer 6 wins from 15 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 40% winning strike rate…

(Mon) Windsor 18:05 – Powertrain & Comvida

(Tues) Yarmouth 14:15 – Hariboux

(Tues) Yarmouth 15:25 – Sudona

J Tate 5 wins from 16 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 31% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£20.88…

(Mon) Windsor 19:15 – With Caution

(Tues) Goodwood 15:00 – Hey Gaman

(Tues) Yarmouth 16:00 – Royal Residence


Sunday 28th July

Stats Runners

Pontefract

Sir M Stoute 5 wins from 12 in the last 12 months at the course, a 41% winning strike rate…

15:55 – Khafoo Shememi

17:05 – Joyful Mission

S De Sousa 25% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:20 – Ishvara

14:50 – Mousebird

15:55 – Maries Diamond

17:05 – Arabian King

R M Whitaker 23% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£12.58 in the last 3 years at the course…

15:20 – Billy Roberts

M Channon 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£13.75 in the last 3 years at the course…

16:30 – Diamond Dougal

Uttoxeter

D Skelton 21 wins from 64 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 33% winning strike rate…

15:00 – Notnow Seamus

15:35 – Too Many Diamonds

17:20 – Delgany Demon

D Skelton 44 wins from 130 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 34% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£40.47…

16:10 – Theatrebar

H Skelton 22 wins from 55 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 34% winning strike rate…

15:00 – Notnow Seamus

15:35 – Too Many Diamonds

17:20 – Delgany Demon

H Skelton 42 wins from 92 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 44% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£73.34…

16:10 – Theatrebar

H Fry 6 wins from 22 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 27% winning strike rate…

15:00 – Serosevsky

Dr Newland 12 wins from 35 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 34% winning strike rate…

16:45 – Purple King

Saturday 27th July

NAP Addeyyb 5/2 (B365) – York 15:15 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

Addeybb showed steady progress in his first two seasons for William Haggas, winning five of his first seven races including the Bet 365 Mile at Sandown in April 2018, before coming up short at the highest level in the Lockinge and The Queen Elizabeth II. Given a six-month break over the winter, he returned in 2019 with a lacklustre display when only fourth behind the re-opposing Forest Ranger at York in May, before dropping in class and returning to form in devastating fashion in the Wolferton Stakes at Ascot last month, forging clear inside the final furlong to beat the likes of Magic Wand, Elarqam and Latrobe by over two lengths. With this confidence-booster under his belt, both trainer and jockey continuing in excellent recent form and plenty of rain forecast in the lead up to the race I think we will see another strong performance and a victory over main rivals Regal Reality and Bangkok.


ITV RACING SELECTIONS

A quick reminder that only the main selections (those with points attached, at the top of the page) count towards the blog P&L

Ascot

13:50 – Summer Romance Lost

14:25 – Wings Of Time Lost

15:00 – Makzeem (e/w) Lost

15:40 – Enable WON

York

14:05 – Medahim (note that Get Knotted has won this race for the last 3 years) 2nd

14:40 – Dakota Gold e/w (Flying Pursuit has won this race for the last 2 years) WON

15:15 – Addeyyb 2nd


Shortlisted Runners

Newmarket 14:50 – Caradoc Lost

Newmarket 16:35 – Infrastructure 3rd

Chester 15:10 – Angel Alexander WON

Remainder of Ascot

16:15 – Sun Power 2nd

16:50 -Shady McCoy 2nd

17:20 – Keifer 3rd

Remainder of York

15:45 – Abstemious WON

16:20 – Makawee 2nd

16:55 – Nette Rousse Lost

17:25 – Triple Distilled WON


In-Form Trainers

A Perrett 4 wins from 9 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 44% winning strike rate…

Ascot 14:25 – Sash

H Palmer 6 wins from 16 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 37% winning strike rate…

York 14:40 – Encrypted

Ascot 15:00 – Arbalet

Chester 16:25 – Blonde Warrior

Newmarket 17:40 – Assembled

S Bin Suroor 6 wins from 16 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 37% winning strike rate…

6 runners across 5 different cards

J Gosden 8 wins from 25 in the last 2 weeks on turf, a 32% winning strike rate…

6 runners across 4 different cards


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

27th July 2019: -2pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: -6.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: -9.53pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +655.68pts

Friday 26th July

Friday Stats Runners

Chepstow

Rossa Ryan 23% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£37.65 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:45 – Amor Fati

18:15 – Maiven

19:15 – Zoraya

19:45 – Swiper

20:15 – General Brook

20:45 – Panatos

E de Giles 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£33.00 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:45 – Fitzrovia

18:45 – Quantum Dot

M Channon 18% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£20.38 in the last 3 years at the course…

18:15 – Nat Love

20:45 – So Near So Farhh

E Johnson-Houghton 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

19:45 – Tasman Sea

Thirsk

K Dalgleish 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£36.19 in the last 3 years at the course…

15:55 – Aberama Gold

Uttoxoter

H Skelton 38% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

14:35 – Annie Angel

H Skelton 45% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£73.34 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:10 – Connective