Wednesday 1st May

NAP Verdana Blue 4/1 (B365) – Ascot 15:25 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

  • Lowered the colours of Buveur D’Air in the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton on Boxing Day & was an impressive winner of the Scottish Champion Hurdle at Ayr earlier in the month
  • Former bumper winner and useful on AW flat so should be more than capable of transferring his form to the flat over this trip.

NB Commander Of Fleet 4/1 (B365) – Punchestown 17:30 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

  • 2nd to Minella Indo in the Albert Bartlett at Cheltenham but should be capable of reversing that from now returning to a track where he is 2 wins from 2
  • Won over 3miles in PTP before moving to Gordon Elliott

Punchestown

Kemboy 13/8 (boyles) – Punchestown 18:05 – 2pts win WON +3.25pts

  • Unseated at the 1st in the Gold Cup but bounced right back with a fantastic victory at Aintree in the Betway Bowl
  • Has won 5 of his last 6 & has winning course form
  • Prior course winner and has winning form over the trip

WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS

Bath

M Channon 23% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£11.75 in the last 3 years…

18:00 – Bartat

M Saunders 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£28.16 in the last 3 years…

18:30 – Bluebell Time

Pontefract

J Fanning 18% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£25.53 in the last 3 years…

14:25 – Xcelente

15:00 – Stone Cougar

15:35 – Rock Island Line

Sir M Stoute 27% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

15:00 – Jeweller

R Whitaker 24% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

16:45 – Round The Island


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

1st May 2019: -0.75pts

APRIL PROFIT/LOSS: +13.75pts

MARCH PROFIT/LOSS: -2.91pts

FEBRUARY PROFIT/LOSS: -6.32pts

JANUARY PROFIT/LOSS: +11.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +16.27pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +683.76pts

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Tuesday 30th April

NAP Sharp Operator 13/2 (PP) – Brighton 15:55 – 1pt win 2nd -1pt

  • 2 wins and a 2nd from 4 runs over course and distance
  • Returned to form with an excellent 2nd at Chelmsford at the beginning of April, return to turf and to 8f should be a benefit

Punchestown

Klassical Dream 8/11 (Whill) – Punchestown 16:20 WON

  • Unbeaten in 3 over the trip
  • Very impressive winner of the Supreme at Cheltenham when last seen

Un De Sceaux 10/3 (Whill) – Punchestown 17:30 WON

  • Won this race last year
  • 4 wins & 1 2nd from 5 runs over course and distance

Delta Work 7/4 (B365) – Punchestown 18:40 WON

  • Close 3rd in the RSA at Cheltenham
  • Proven over 3m
  • 3 wins & a 3rd from 4 over fences
  • 1 win & 2 placed efforts from 3 runs at the course

Shortlisted Runners

Geetanjali 3/1 (Whill) – Brighton 15:25 Lost

  • Is yet to finish outside the top 3 in 6 runs over 10f

Space Blues 8/13 (Whill) – Nottingham 14:00 2nd

  • Beat Private Secretary by over two lengths & Technician by over seven lengths over course and distance on debut (Private Secretary has won twice since, Technician won next time out & then placed at Gp3 behind Bangkok last week)

 Tuesday Stats Runners

Brighton

R Hughes 25% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

13:50 – Jack Taylor

14:25 – Village Rock

R Hannon 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£35.84 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:25 – Audio

Newcastle

B Haslam 16% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£68.83 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:20 – Rey Loopy

19:40 – Blindingly

Nottingham

S M Levey 32% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£31.07 in the last 3 years at the course…

13:30 – Beignet

14:00 – Tulipe Angelique

15:05 – Al Messila

16:05 – Amorously

W Buick 39% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£24 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:00 – Space Blues

15:05 – I’lletyougonow

15:35 – Black Lotus

16:05 – Petits Fours

16:35 – Remember The Man

17:10 – Converter

Yarmouth

L Dettori 47% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£15.77 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:45 – Don’t Joke

15:15 – Questionare

16:15 – Givinitsum

J Spencer 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£35.84 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:45 – Champagne Supernova

15:15 – Vexed

15:45 – Nasee

16:15 – Burguillos

J Gosden 31% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£16.19 in the last 3 years at the course…

15:15 – Questionare

D Simcock 26% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£25.63 in the last 3 years at the course…

15:15 – Vexed


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

30th April 2019: -1pts

APRIL PROFIT/LOSS: +13.75pts

MARCH PROFIT/LOSS: -2.91pts

FEBRUARY PROFIT/LOSS: -6.32pts

JANUARY PROFIT/LOSS: +11.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +16.27pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +683.76pts

 

Monday 29th April

NAP Black Isle Boy 10/1 (B365) – Thirsk 19:10 – 1pt win Lost -1pt

Bryan Smart had a good 2018 at Thirsk with four winners from twenty runners, and sends Wrenthorpe in an effort to get 2019 underway. Twice a winner over the minimum trip, he is yet to win over six furlongs but has placed in all four attempts over the trip so with a reasonable third earlier in the month he should arrive race-fit and could make his presence felt. 2nd

Pennsylvania Dutch has won two from two since undergoing a wind op and is sent here looking to improve on his third-place finish in this race last year. He has gone up 5lbs for victory last time out but this only takes him to the same weight as for the race last year so shouldn’t be far away at the finish. Won

Black Isle Boy won this race last season and has won first time up for the last two seasons. A winner of four from nine over the trip, he arrives here 2lbs below last years’ success so I am expecting him to hold off the challenge of the above two rivals and win this race again today.

NB Muqarred 6/1 (B365) – Southwell 15:45 – 1pt win Lost -1pt

Bond Angel, Majestic Moon and Muqarred occupied the first three places when they last met over course and distance earlier in the month and look the main challengers again for todays’ race. Bond Angel stayed on best to win by three lengths on that occasion but has been given a 5lbs rise, whereas both Majestic Moon and Muqarred have been dropped 1lbs, so despite his superiority last time out it should be much closer today.

Majestic Moon has been performing consistently well but has only won once from eighteen on the all-weather and was behind Muqarred on penultimate run so with the booking of 3lbs claimer Jamie Gormley for the ride, Muqarred looks to have a great chance of turning the tables on both the above-mentioned rivals. A four-time course and distance winner who has won in in higher classes and off higher marks in the past, he can take advantage and get back to the winners’ enclosure today.


Monday Stats Runners

Newcastle

J Gosden 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

15:20 – Momtalik

17:00 – Lord North

Southwell

R G Fell 18% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£70.13 in the last 3 years…

15:45 – Muqarred

Thirsk

B Smart 19% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£26 in the last 3 years…

19:10 – Wrenthorpe

K Dalgleish 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£42.19 in the last 3 years…

20:10 – Forever A Lady

Windsor

C Cox 22% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£19.62 in the last 3 years…

16:55 – Molly Blake

20:00 – Noble Fox


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

29th April 2019: -2pts

APRIL PROFIT/LOSS: +14.75pts

MARCH PROFIT/LOSS: -2.91pts

FEBRUARY PROFIT/LOSS: -6.32pts

JANUARY PROFIT/LOSS: +11.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +2.52pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.01pts

Sunday 28th April

NAP Theodorico 6/1 (B365) – Wetherby 16:55 – 1pt win Lost -1pt

Kupa River disappointed in his hat-trick attempt at Ripon a couple of weeks back and although he should benefit for the step back to seven furlongs he has been on the go throughout the winter so could be in need of a break.

Declan Carroll has had three winners from eight runners in the last two years at the course and sends Shawaamekh. He left a lasting impression when winning by six lengths in impressive fashion at Catterick on final run of 2018 and could get competitive if ready to go on return from a seven-month break.

That said, preference is for Theodorico who showed he could be coming back to form with an encouraging run at Doncaster last month, finishing just over two lengths away from the winner on his first run in seven months. A prior course and distance winner whose last victory came in a Class 3 race off a mark of 86, he races today in a Class 4 off a 6lbs lower mark and with the advantage of a recent run under his belt looks capable of gaining victory.

SUNDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNER

Regular 7/4 (B365) – Wetherby 14:15 2nd

Regular is yet to gain victory in four career runs to date but has made the frame in three of those four, one of which came on turf over todays’ trip. He returned from a five-month break with an encouraging second at Kempton earlier in the month, finishing less than a length behind the winner but over two lengths clear of Adelante in fourth (who went on to win next time out) so should be capable of further progression now switched back to turf, especially as he is partnered with P J McDonald who has a good record at the course and boasts a 40% winning strike rate in the last twelve months when riding for the trainer.


Sunday Stats Runners

Wetherby

R Fahey 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£19.25 in the last 3 years…

14:15 – Irreverent WON (SP 5/2)

15:50 – Coolagh Magic

P J McDonald 22% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£44.50 in the last 3 years…

14:15 – Regular 2nd

14:45 – Global Gift 2nd (SP 10/1)

15:20 – Tarbeyah

16:55 – Yorbelucky

17:25 – Dragons Will Rise

D Carroll 37% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£15 in the last 3 years…

14:45 – Trinity Lake WON (SP 12/1)

16:55 – Shawaamekh

D O’Meara 15% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£37.25 in the last 3 years…

16:55 – Star Shield

17:25 – Lincoln Tale

Sligo

W Mullins 11 wins from 21 in the last 3 years over hurdles, a 52% winning strike rate…

15:25 – Stay Humble

15:55 – Future Monarch


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

28th April 2019: -1pt

APRIL PROFIT/LOSS: +16.75pts

MARCH PROFIT/LOSS: -2.91pts

FEBRUARY PROFIT/LOSS: -6.32pts

JANUARY PROFIT/LOSS: +11.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +2.52pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.01pts

Saturday 27th April

Given the changeable weather conditions I have decided on just the NAP for a main selection for today, however have also added my shortlisted runners to the blog as I feel they all have decent chances.

NAP Mordin 13/2 (B365) – Haydock 16:50 – 1pt win WON +6.5pts

  • Won 1st time up, 1st run of 2018 and 1st run on turf so should be ready to go on 1st run of 2019
  • Extremely consistent runner – 3x wins & 5x 2nds from 9 career runs
  • 2 wins & 1x 2nd from 3 over todays’ trip
  • Excellent 2nd to Wissahickon when last seen at Newmarket in September 2018

Saturday Shortlisted Runners

Lord Oberon 5/1 (B365) – Haydock 14:05 Lost

  • 3 wins & 3x 2nds from 7 career runs
  • Won 1st time up in Jan 2018 and was only a head away from victory on return from a 5 month break in Sept 2018 so should be capable of a bold show on 1st run of 2019

Spirit Of Lund 9/1 e/w (B365 – 4 places) – Haydock 14:40 Lost

  • Was slowly away at Musselburgh but made smooth headway in the last couple of furlongs and although only fifth he was almost stopped in his tracks within the last 100 yards.
  • Looked to have plenty of running left in him so should benefit from the extra furlong he encounters today

Donjuan Triumphant 5/1 (PP) – Leicester 14:45 Lost

  • 2nd in this race last season
  • Group 3 winner earlier in his career & a couple of Listed victories to his name too
  • Balding/De Sousa/King Power Racing team in top form

With Discretion 12/1 e/w (B365) – Sandown 16:10 NR

  • Hasn’t been seen in twelve months but has run well fresh having won on return from almost 3 years off the track, 1st time out for Nicky Henderson, in March 2018 and followed up with another convincing victory five weeks later
  • 2 wins from 2 over hurdles, both over similar trips to today

Sands Chorus 15/2 (Sky) – Haydock 16:20 Lost

  • Last win came in a Class 3 race off a mark of 86, races today in a Class 4 off a mark of 78
  • Jockey Theodore Ladd claims a further 5lbs
  • Showed signs of a return to form with a solid 3rd at Newbury last time out, on 2nd run for new stable

ITV RACING SELECTIONS

S13:50 – Lord Yeats (e/w) Lost

H14:05 – Lord Oberon Lost

S14:25 – Black Corton WON

L14:45 – Donjuan Triumphant Lost

S15:00 – Altior WON

S15:35 – The Young Master (e/w) 2nd


Saturday Stats Runners

Doncaster

Sir M Stoute 34% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£26.52 in the last 3 years…

18:15 – Alkaraama

Haydock

J Gosden 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

13:30 – Make My Day

15:15 – Fabulist

15:45 – Lady Lawyer

R Kingscote 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£55.80 in the last 3 years…

14:05 – Shady McCoy

14:40 – Frankadore

15:15 – Flighty Almighty

16:20 – This Girl

T Dascombe 18% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£176.08 in the last 3 years…

14:40 – Frankadore

15:15 – Flighty Almighty

16:20 – This Girl

H Palmer 35% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£80.82 in the last 3 years…

15:45 – Abr Al Hudood

W Haggas 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

15:45 – Listen To The Wind

Leicester

J Crowley 23% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£24.74 in the last 3 years…

13:40 – Enthaar

14:15 – Heer We Go Again

14:45 – Eqtidaar

15:25 – Aspire Town

S De Sousa 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£17.24 in the last 3 years…

13:40 – Firmdecisions

14:15 – Gobi Sunset

14:45 – Donjuan Triumphant

15:25 – Cape Islay

15:55 – Don’t Do It

M Channon 23% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£28.18 in the last 3 years…

14:15 – Sir Gordon

17:35 – Azor Ahai

H Morrison 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£26 in the last 3 years…

17:00 – Enhanced

Ripon

R Carr 13% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£48.25 in the last 3 years…

14:55 – Pipers Note

16:00 – Mutamaded

17:05 – Marks Choice

Sandown

N Henderson 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences…

14:25 – Gold Present & Josses Hill

15:00 – Altior

15:35 – Beware The Bear & Vyta Du Roc

N Henderson 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles…

13:50 – Dream Du Grand Val & Heatstroke

16:10 – Thomas Campbell, With Discretion & On The Blind Side

17:15 – Colonial Dreams

N Twiston-Davies 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£42.55 in the last 3 years over hurdles…

17:15 – Mr Antolini

D Pipe 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences…

15:35 – Rathlin Rose


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

27th April 2019: +6.5pts

APRIL PROFIT/LOSS: +17.75pts

MARCH PROFIT/LOSS: -2.91pts

FEBRUARY PROFIT/LOSS: -6.32pts

JANUARY PROFIT/LOSS: +11.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +2.52pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.01pts

Friday 26th April

NAP Bangkok 6/4 (Whill)- Sandown 15:00 – 2pts win WON +3pts

Stepped up to 10f with a convincing victory at Doncaster last month, beating Telecaster (2nd) and Dubai Instinct (4th) who both won next time up. Owners King Power Racing have had 6 winners from their last 20 runners, 4 trained by A Balding with S De Sousa in the saddle. A short price but capable of taking the step up in his stride.

NB Lethal Angel 10/3 (B365)) – Doncaster 17:00 – 1pt win 3rd -1pt

Adam Kirby won on 66/1 shot Keystroke when he last rode for Stuart Williams, taking his strike rate in the last 12 months to 40% for the trainer, and takes the ride on Lethal Angel in the final race of the day at Doncaster. The four-year-old filly is yet to win on turf but posted a couple of promising runs on fast ground last summer and has won over the trip on the AW. He placed off todays’ mark on first run of last season but has a decent chance of victory today with main rival Turanga Leela upped 7lbs for winning last time out.

3B Princess Power 8/1 (B365) – Doncaster 15:25 – 1pt win Lost -1pt

Is unbeaten in three over six furlongs and only missed out by a head over five furlongs on re-appearance earlier in the month. Step back up will benefit so I’m expecting a big run.

Leodis Dream 3/1 (PP) – Sandown 16:05 – 1pt win WON +3pts

Has won his last three races including when holding off Princess Power by a head at Thirsk earlier in the month. Progressing well so looks capable of notching the four-timer off a 4lbs higher mark.

also….

I think that Valley Of Fire has a great chance in the 14:15 at Doncaster – Last win came in a Class 3 off a mark of 86, he drops in to a Class 5 racing off 70 and was only a couple of lengths behind the winner when seventh of nineteen over course and distance last month. However, with odds as short at 5/2 in places I fear we have missed the boat (opened at 7/1) and as such have left him out of the main selections.


Friday Stats Runners

Doncaster

Sir M Stoute 36% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£26.35 in the last 3 years at the course…

13:40 – Felix

Sandown

R Moore 27% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£25.22 in the last 3 years at the course…

13:50 – Masaru

14:25 – Crystal Ocean

15:35 – Regal Reality

16:35 – Nantucket

17:05 – Noble Lineage

Sir M Stoute 29% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£21.85 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:25 – Crystal Ocean

15:35 – Regal Reality

16:35 – Nantucket

17:05 – Layaleena

C Cox 20% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£28.56 in the last 3 years at the course…

13:50 – House Of Kings

16:05 – Reticent Angel

Bangor

D Skelton 7 wins from 19 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 37% winning strike rate…

18:15 – Cock A Doodle Doo

H Daly 3 wins & 3 placed from 8 in the last 3 years in bumpers at the course, a 37% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£26…

19:50 – Precious Eleanor

Perth

P Robson 6 wins from 12 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 50% winning strike rate…

14:05 – Cooking Fat

F O’Brien 8 wins from 23 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 35% winning strike rate…

15:45 – Imperial Elysian & Dan Gun


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

26th April 2019: +4pts

APRIL PROFIT/LOSS: +11.25pts

MARCH PROFIT/LOSS: -2.91pts

FEBRUARY PROFIT/LOSS: -6.32pts

JANUARY PROFIT/LOSS: +11.75pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +2.52pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.01pts

Thursday 25th April

Thursday Stats Runners

Beverley

D Tudhope 25% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:15 – Ruby Wonder

15:55 – Defence Treaty

16:25 – Zorawar

16:55 – Autretot

D Loughnane 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£72.75 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:50 – Seamster

16:55 – Stringybark Creek

Chelmsford

S Bin Suroor 33% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

18:00 – Ice Cave

R Moore 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

18:00 – Jubiloso

19:00 – Dream Of Dreams

20:00 – Top Mission

Perth

G Elliott 21 wins from 47 in the last 12 months at Perth, a 44% winning strike rate…

13:50 – Rakhine State

15:00 – Viscount Wilson

15:30 – Graineyhill

16:05 – From Eden

17:10 – Great Vizier

R Johnson 32 wins from 68 last 12 months when riding for G Elliott, a 47% winning strike rate…

13:50 – Rakhine State

15:00 – Viscount Wilson

15:30 – Graineyhill

17:10 – Great Vizier

R Johnson 18 wins from 40 in the last 12 months at Perth, a 45% winning strike rate…

13:50 – Rakhine State

15:00 – Viscount Wilson

15:30 – Graineyhill

17:10 – Great Vizier

F O’Brien 7 wins from 20 in the last 3 years over hurdles, a 35% winning strike rate…

16:05 – Carrols Milan

17:10 – Imperial Elixir & Paint The Dream

Warwick

N Henderson 43% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£26.48 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:10 – Wallace Spirit

Tipperary

J F Levins 28% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +Eur37.00 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:05 – Nigg Bay

A A Howard 57% winning strike rate (4 wins from 7) & level stakes profit of +Eur37.88 in the last 3 years at the course…

17:05 – Enter The Red