NAP Mia’s Storm evens (B365) – Kempton 14:05 – 2pts win WON +2pts
Mia’s Storm will likely go off at a short price for this four-runner affair and with three wins from four over the trip, a good win last time out and a love for fast ground, it’s not too difficult to see why. She is the highest rated of the four and has won at Listed level over fences so should be capable of another victory here.
Paul Nicholls and Harry Cobden have both been in excellent recent form and they team up with If You Say Run who was a ready winner at Wincanton when last seen. Today sees a step up in trip but she has won over three miles in a point-to-point so it would be dangerous to dismiss her completely.
Another who should make a bold show is Culture De Sivola who has a good record when fresh, is two from two over this trip and races for Nick Williams who has a 36% winning strike rate in the last twelve months at the course. Any rain would aid her chances but she has won on good-to-soft so could pick up the pieces if the favourite falters.
NB Robinshill 6/1 (B365) – Ludlow 13:40 – 2pts win Lost -2pts
Robinshill has two wins from four over course and distance, both gained with Zac Baker in the saddle and one of these coming in this race last season. He was outclassed when last of five in the 2018 renewal of The Arkle Trophy at The Cheltenham Festival but returns to a Class 3 where has won three from five and races off a 2lbs lower mark than when last successful. A pipe-opener at Kempton last month should see him spot on for today so with conditions and trip in his favour he looks the one to beat.
Tornado In Milan has also won this race before, winning the 2016 renewal. He could only manage fourth last season and is 5lbs higher than his last victory, but does have a good record at the course so is unlikely to be too far away at the finish.
Vivaccio has two course and distance victories to his name but hasn’t won since 2014 and would perhaps prefer softer conditions, while Sternrubin will be a danger if turning up on a good day, although hasn’t been the most consistent and was only sixth of seven last time out.
Monday Stats Runners
C Longsdon 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences…
14:35 – Bestwork
N Henderson 37% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles…
15:10 – No Hiding Place
H Daly 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles…
12:20 – Finalshot
N Henderson 33% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences…
15:20 – Thomas Campbell
T Vaughan 25% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences…
13:05 – Monsieur Arkadin
K Dalgleish 29% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles…
12:45 – Triangle Rock
13:20 – Cuckoo’s Calling
K Dalgleish 67% winning strike rate (4 wins from 6 runners) in the last 3 years over fences…
15:00 – Monsieur Co
A M Thomson 30% win & 80% strike rate in the last 3 years over fences…
13:55 – Buckled
26/11/18 PROFIT/LOSS: even pts
NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +13.9pts
HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)
2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +65.41pts
2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts
2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +677.09pts