Friday 31st August

NAP Dakota Gold 4/1 (B365) – Thirsk 16:45 – 2pts win 3rd -2pts

  • Excellent second in the Great St Wilfrid Handicap at Ripon earlier this month, finishing first in his respective group
  • Record at Thirsk reads 313
  • All 3 career turf victories have come on good ground with Connor Beasley in the saddle

NB Admiral Rooke 9/2 (sky) – Thirsk 17:50 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

  • Has placed in all 4 prior runs at Thirsk (twice over today’s trip)
  • Horse wears 1st time cheekpieces in an effort to eke out that little bit of improvement needed to get his head in front
  • Jockey Paula Muir claims 6lbs

3B Mr Strutter 9/1 (PP) – Thirsk 15:40 – 2pts win WON +18pts

  • All 5 career wins (from 19 runs) on turf, all on good ground in Class 6 races
  • 2 wins from 3 runs at Thirsk (one over today’s trip)
  • Winner on penultimate run, decent effort (4th of 12) when switched to AW last time out, return to turf a big positive

Friday Stats Runners

Bangor

J Candlish 5 wins & 7 placed from 17 in the last 3 years over fences, a 29% win & 70% place strike rate…

14:20 – Red Giant

Hamilton

K Ryan 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£13.18 in the last 3 years…

16:55 – Princess Des Sables

17:25 – Old Red Eyes

19:30 – Kajaki & Canny Style

T Easterby 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£23.25 in the last 3 years…

18:25 – Nuns Walk

18:55 – Mukhayyam & Appointed

19:30 – Multellie

Newcastle

H Palmer 23% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

18:45 – Formula One

Sandown

Sir M Stoute 28% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£22.03 in the last 3 years…

14:40 – Sovereign Grant

15:15 – Almania

16:25 – Red Striker

R Moore 27% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£30.41 in the last 3 years…

13:40 – Tinto

14:10 – On A Roll

14:40 – Sovereign Grant

15:15 – Almania

15:50 – Mushtaq

16:25 – Red Striker

17:00 – Teenage Gal


MONTHLY RESULTS….

31/8/18 PROFIT/LOSS: +14pts 

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: -6.75pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +8.5pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: +49.15pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +111.16pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +722.84pts

Thursday 30th August

NAP Shadow Warrior 9/1 (B365) – Chelmsford 14:30 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Was almost two lengths behind Mudallel over course and distance earlier this month but that doesn’t tell the full story as he had the door shut in his face on two separate occasions when trying to mount a challenge, almost coming to a standstill about a furlong from home. A clear run would have seen him go very close if not win outright so compensation awaits running off the same mark today.


Thursday Stats Runners

Carlisle

K Burke 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£17.32 in the last 3 years…

15:40 – Mister Dependable

Chelmsford

R Moore 42% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£31.72 in the last 3 years…

14:30 – Qaroun

15:00 – High Command

Musselburgh

D Tudhope 26% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£22.17 in the last 3 years…

13:50 – Dancing Rave

14:20 – Smart Illusion

15:20 – Fire Leopard

15:50 – Zeshov

16:55 – Dundunah

Fontwell

L Hill 7 wins & 3 placed from 14 in the last 3 years over fences, a 50% win & 71% place strike rate…

18:05 – Desert Retreat

Sedgefield

D Skelton 31% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles…

17:20 – Weightfordave

19:50 – Intifadah


MONTHLY RESULTS….

30/8/18 PROFIT/LOSS: -2pts 

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: -20.75pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +8.5pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: +49.15pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +117.91pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +729.59pts

Wednesday 29th August

NAP Trautmann 9/4 (B365) – Musselburgh 14:40 – 2pts win 3rd -2pts

Won his last two, both over course and distance, coming from last to first and staying on strongly to win with some authority last time out, despite the winning margin only being a head. Has only gone up 2lbs so should be capable of confirming the form with third-placed Falcons Fire.

NB India 5/2 (PP) – Catterick 16:30 – 2pts win WON +5pts

Has made the frame in all three prior runs over twelve furlongs and brings solid course form having beat her closest rival by five lengths over course and distance on penultimate run. She raced too freely last time out but still travelled well enough through the race, finishing second after tiring and being picked off in the final 100 yards. Re-united with jockey David Allan for today’s race, I am hoping she will settle better so with course, distance and trainer form on her side she gets the vote in what looks to be a decent little race.


Wednesday Stats Runners

Catterick

M Bell 36% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£16.48 in the last three years…

16:30 – India

Kempton

A Atzeni 27% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£27.66 in the last three years…

17:55 – Fleursals

19:25 – Sister Celine

C Appleby 31% winning strike rate in the last three years…

20:25 – African Jazz

Musselburgh

D Tudhope 26% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£21.67 in the last three years…

14:10 – Buriram

15:10 – Royal Brave

16:40 – Braes Of Lochalsh

Worcester

P Nicholls 29% winning strike rate in the last three years over fences…

17:15 – Bagad Bihou

Dr Newland 29% winning strike rate in the last three years over hurdles…

18:15 – Masterofdeception

18:45 – Nordican Bleue

A King 32% winning strike rate in the last three years over hurdles…

18:45 – Royal Household

19:45 – Peggys Venture


MONTHLY RESULTS….

29/8/18 PROFIT/LOSS: +3pts 

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: -18.75pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +8.5pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: +49.15pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +117.91pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +729.59pts

Tuesday 28th August

NAP Aguerooo 5/2 (B365) – Chelmsford 17:20 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

  • 2 wins & a 2nd from 4 runs at Chelmsford, with one win coming over today’s trip
  • Solid 2nd here over 6 furlongs on penultimate run – should have a strong pace to aim at today so can go one better back over five furlongs

Tuesday Stats Runners

Epsom

J Gosden 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

14:45 – War Eagle

E Johnson-Houghton 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

15:50 – Becca Campbell

16:20 – Hedging

16:55 – Camomile Lawn

Ripon

S De Sousa 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

15:35 – Red Mist

16:05 – Mulligatawny

16:35 – The Eagles Nest

Stratford

O Murphy 3 wins & 2 placed from 6 in the last 3 years over fences, a 50% win & 83% place strike rate…

17:40 – Walk Waterford


MONTHLY RESULTS….

28/8/18 PROFIT/LOSS: -2pts 

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: -21.75pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +8.5pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: +49.15pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +117.91pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +729.59pts

Monday 27th August

NAP Pretty Jewel 3/1 (coral) – Epsom 15:40 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

  • Has won four of her last five since switching to Ian Williams, two over today’s trip
  • Won three from six under today’s jockey
  • Flexible with regards to conditions having won on good right through to heavy ground

One To Watch

Willie John 8/11 (B365) – Epsom 16:15 NR

A little shorter in the markets than I would ideally prefer, however given the manner of his two victories to date I think Willie John will prove tough to beat. He beat seven subsequent winners when winning on debut at Yarmouth in October 2017, before switching to Roger Varian and stepping up from seven furlongs to ten, powering clear by five lengths under a hands and heels ride from Andrea Atzeni. The forecast conditions are an unknown but if handling the softer ground then the hat-trick beckons.


Monday Stats Runners

Cartmel

P Bowen 42% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£20.50 in the last 3 years over hurdles…

14:05 – Mac Tottie & Trumps Benefit

17:00 – Court King

17:35 – Equus Pandora

P Bowen 31% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences…

15:15 – Wells De Lune

15:50 – Souriyan

16:25 – Fair Exchange & Dr Robin

J O’Neill 3 wins & 6 placed from 10 in the last 3 years over fences, a 30% win & 90% place strike rate…

16:25 – Mont Royale

Chepstow

E De Giles 28% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£52.25 in the last 3 years…

14:35 – Swanton Blue

E Johnson-Houghton 30% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

15:10 – Canavese

16:20 – Dukeofwallingford

Epsom

R Varian 31% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

16:15 – Willie John

E Johnson-Houghton 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

16:50 – Liva

Ripon

R Varian 32% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

14:50 – Raaqyah

W Haggas 43% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

17:10 – Jurran

S De Sousa 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years…

14:15 – Bouncin Back

15:25 – Daffy Jane

16:00 – Sporting Chance

16:35 – Gurkha Friend


MONTHLY RESULTS….

27/8/18 PROFIT/LOSS: -2pts 

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: -19.75pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +8.5pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: +49.15pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +117.91pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +729.59pts

Sunday 26th August

NAP Balmoral Castle 5/2 (coral) – Goodwood 15:35 – 2pts win NR

  • Won 4 from 8 over course and distance
  • Drops in class for today’s race, following an encouraging 3rd on re-appearance earlier this month (1st run in almost 4 months)
  • Last win came off a mark of 85, races off 77 today

NB Kannapolis 7/2 (sky) – Beverley 16:25 – 2pts win 2nd

  • 1 win & 1 place from 2 runs at the course
  • Finished ahead of a couple of subsequent winners when 3rd at York last time out

3B Dancing Star 13/2 (sky) – Goodwood 16:10 – 2pts win NR

  • 2 wins & a 2nd from 3 runs at Goodwood
  • Very unlucky not to win a Group 3 over CD here earlier this month (missed out by a neck having been denied a clear run)
  • A Balding 26% winning strike rate & level stakes profit +£50.22 in the last 2 weeks with his runners on turf

Sunday Stats Runners

Yarmouth

D Simcock 29% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£37.25 in the last 3 years…

14:50 – Bless Him NR & Another Eclipse 2nd

16:35 – Maverick Officer WON


Sunday Shortlisted Runners

Beverley

15:15 – Princess Power 6/4 (PP) 2nd

  • Won her last 3
  • Won over both 5 & 6 furlongs, & also on fast and good-to-soft ground
  • Bottom-weight
  • Beat Ginger Nut last time out (who has won 3 of his last 4 including a tough handicap at York last week)

15:50 – Wotabreeze 7/1 (B365) Lost

  • 3-time winner over this trip
  • Back down to last winning mark
  • Drawn well in stall 1

18:00 – Dandilion 7/2 (PP) NR

  • Class 6 course and distance winner off a mark of 60, races again in Class 6 off a mark of 60 today
  • P Hanagan an interesting jockey booking

Goodwood

15:00 – Hamlul 9/4 (sky) 3rd

  • Good win at Beverley when last seen
  • Sir M Stoute in good form and does well with his runners at Goodwood

16:45 – Rococo 15/2 (B365) 3rd

  • 6-length winner over this trip on penultimate run
  • John Gosden 35% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks & this is his only runner today

17:50 – Geetanjali 3/1 (Whill) Lost

  • Won at Bath in July & hasn’t been far away in two subsequent runs
  • Bottom-weight
  • Hayley Turner a positive jockey booking

Yarmouth

14:20 –Tyrsal 9/2 (BV) Lost

  • Won this race in 2015 & 2016

16:00 – Autumn Splendour 9/2 (B365) WON (SP 6/1)

  • Went in the tracker after debut, finishing very strongly after a slow start
  • Won over course and distance on 2nd run before disappointing at York when upped in class.
  • Decent 3rd on AW last time out & given another chance at this level now returned to Yarmouth

16:35 – Bint Dandy 9/1 (sky – 3 places) Lost

  • 3 wins from 3 over course and distance

MONTHLY RESULTS….

26/8/18 PROFIT/LOSS: -2pts 

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: -17.75pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +8.5pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: +49.15pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +117.91pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +729.59pts

Saturday 25th August

Day 4 Ebor Festival race previews now up on the dedicated page 

simplyhorsetips.wordpress.com/york-ebor-2018/ 


NAP Altyn Orda 4/1 (B365) – Goodwood 14:05 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

NB Look Around 7/2 (sky) – Goodwood 14:40 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

3B Nakeeta 11/1 (PP – 6 places) – York 15:40 – 1pt e/w Lost -2pts


MONTHLY RESULTS….

25/8/18 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts 

AUGUST PROFIT/LOSS: -15.75pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +8.5pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: +49.15pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +117.91pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +729.59pts