Plenty of racing around today, quite like a few so will be having a personal play on the shortlisted runners and the Ascot selections… however in terms of the main selections I am sticking with just two runners.
NAP Royal Intervention 15/8 (B365) – Ascot 13:50 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts
NB Shady Mccoy 12/1 (sky – 6 places) – Ascot 15:00 – 1pt e/w Lost -2pts
Saturday Shortlisted Runners
Powerallied 2/1 (sky) – Chester 15:10 WON
- 3 wins & 4 placed from 13 over course and distance
- Fair 3rd last time & has been holding form well
- Well drawn to attack from stall 1
Culturati 9/4 (sky) – York 14:05 Lost
- Only raced 3 times since September 2015 but has won all 3 – winning on soft, good-to-soft and good ground and at distances of both 6 & 7 furlongs
- Trainer C Appleby 42% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks
Flying Pursuit 14/1 (betfred – 5 places) – York 14:40 WON
- Won race last year and had made the frame in 3 from 6 over course and distance
- 2lbs below last winning mark
- 6 career victories, all over 6 furlongs, 5 of which came on good-to-soft, soft or heavy ground
13:50 – Royal Intervention 15/8 (B365) – finished 2nd
Royal Intervention will likely go off as favourite but that is not such a bad thing as 5 of the last 6 runners of this race have won at odds of 2/1 or less. His debut on turf came at Newmarket at the end of June where he won over today’s race distance by an impressive 5 lengths and is well drawn in stall 1 (5 of the last 7 winners of this race came from stall 1) to attack from the off.
14:25 – Aquarium 14/1 e/w (sky – 5 places) – lost
A Tricky contest with a few who could play a part. I’ve opted for Aquarium at what should hopefully be a decent each-way price – He’s won his last two, his trainer is in form and jockey Ryan Moore tends to do well when riding for the trainer.
15:00 – Shady Mccoy 12/1 e/w (sky – 6 places) and Ripp Orf 11/1 e/w (sky – 6 places) – lost & 3rd
A very tough race to be overly confident in finding the winner, so happy to split stakes and throw two darts at this one.
Shady Mccoy was an excellent 2nd last time out, beating 16 other runners but just failing to catch a well-backed favourite, and both stable and jockey have been in fine form in recent weeks so I’d expect another strong run.
Ripp Orf won a competitive race at the beginning of July before a decent second last week. He has a course and distance win to his name and had mad the frame in 5 from 6 on turf so is another likely to give a strong run.
15:40 – Crystal Ocean 5/2 (Whill) – finished 2nd
Both Poets Word and Crystal Ocean come from the same yard and both arrive in excellent form so its difficult to split the two. Slight preference would be for Crystal Ocean as he has won at Ascot over this trip before and has won 3 from 4 over the distance.
16:15 – Victory Command 6/1 e/w (PP) – WON
Nate the Great will probably go off favourite for this race but I like the look of Victory Command who is so far unbeaten over this trip and won by 7 lengths last time out. This is a more difficult race but he’s progressing nicely and his trainer is in good form so he deserves his chance at this level.
16:50 – Robero 4/1 (B365) – Lost
A tricky race but Roberto looks to have a decent chance of getting involved – a prior winner at Ascot, proven over seven furlongs and has a solid amateur rider Serena Brotherton booked.
17:20 – What A Welcome 8/1 e/w (B365) – Lost
What A Welcome has won all 3 races so far this season and although has been put up a further 7lbs he is progressing nicely. He loves fast ground, has the same jockey booked as for the 3 earlier wins and arrives fresh enough having been off the track since the beginning of June. Sleeping Lion looks the danger but I prefer What A Welcome.
Sir M Prescott 8 wins & 1 placed from 14 on turf in the last 2 weeks, a 57% winning strike rate…
17:30 Lingfield – Ferrier
18:00 Lingfield – Trouble And Strife
20:15 – Salisbury – Praeceps
C Appleby 8 wins & 4 placed from 19 on turf in the last 2 weeks, a 42% winning strike rate…
12:50 Deauville – Beyond Reason WON
14:05 York – Culturati Lost
14:15 Newmarket – Golden Valour Lost
M L W Bell 8 wins & 4 placed from 20 on turf in the last 2 weeks, a 40% winning strike rate…
14:15 Newmarket – Robert Fitzroy Lost
14:50 Newmarket – Maori Bob Lost
16:15 Ascot – Master Brewer Lost
17:35 York – Artair
S Bin Suroor 8 wins & 4 placed from 21 on turf in the last 2 weeks, a 38% winning strike rate…
15:25 Newmarket – Victory Wave WON
17:40 Newmarket – Bedouin’s Story
19:45 Salisbury – Midnight Meeting
14:05 – Get Knotted won this race in 2016 & 2017 WON again
14:40 – Flying Pursuit won this race in 2017 WON again
16:25 – Graceful Lady won this race in 2017 Lost
17:00 – Appointed won this race in 2017 Lost
14:00 – R Fahey & A McNamara won this race in 2017 and team up again with Gabrial The Wire Lost
16:00 – K Ryan won this race in 2015 & 2016 and runs Stormbringer Lost
28/7/18 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts
JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +11pts
JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: +49.15pts
HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)
2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +109.41pts
2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts
2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +721.09pts