NAP Indian Hawk 5/2 (sky) – Doncaster 14:05 – 2pts win Lost -2pts
NB Wholestone 7/2 (Whill) – Cheltenham 15:35 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts
3B American 5/1 (B365) – Cheltenham 14:25 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts
Lucky 15 – 1.5pts total win (BV best price) -1.5pts
NAP 5/2 Lost
NB 7/2 2nd
3B 5/1 2nd
L’Ami Serge 9/4 – Doncaster 15:15 3rd
13:50 Cheltenham – Frodon (E/W) – 15/2 (PP – 4 places) WON
Ballyhill won over course and distance in heavy ground last time out and has won two from three over the trip. A similar run would see him in the frame again however a 5lbs rise and concerns over the recent stable form means he is probably best watched today.
Coo Star Sivola is yet to taste victory over the larger obstacles but has shown plenty of promise in a couple of small field novice events. He should benefit from the bigger field and having made the frame in four from seven at the course could be capable of gaining his first chase victory today.
Frodon has winning form on soft and heavy ground, is a previous course and distance winner and has the hugely talented Bryony Frost in the saddle so another big run looks assured.
14:05 Doncaster – Indian Hawk (WIN) – 5/2 (sky) Lost
Indian Hawk won with ease at Ludlow last time out and could be difficult to beat if in the same mood today. Already a winner of a point-to-point, the step up in trip should hold no concerns and with Nicky Henderson having won this race in 2017 & 2015 it would be no surprise to see him emerge victorious again.
Enniscoffey Oscar was an impressive winner here at Doncaster last time out and runs for a trainer with a 50% winning strike rate with her runners over hurdles at the course. Today sees a step up in trip but he will be a danger if his stamina holds out.
Samuel Jackson proved a 100/1 victory was no fluke when he followed up next time out and is now unbeaten over hurdles. Today sees a big step up in class but he’s proven over the trip and arrives in top form so can’t be discounted.
14:25 Cheltenham – American (WIN) – 5/1 B365 2nd
An excellent renewal with a few who will fancy their chances. Definitly Red is two wins from two over the trip, The Last Samurai is two wins and a place from three over the trip and Singlefarmpayment has made the frame in all three runs over course and distance.
Bristol De Mai has been in excellent form earlier in the season, winning both the Charlie Hall Chase and Betfair Chase, before the drying ground and subsequent finding of stomach ulcers stopped all chances in the King George at Kempton last time out. He will have his supporters and it would be great to see him win however there is still a suspicion that he is better of flatter tracks so preference is for American who was hugely impressive when unbeaten over fences last season and runs for the in-form partnership of Harry Fry and Noel Fehily.
14:40 Doncaster – The Nipper (E/W) – 14/1 (coral) Lost
Maria’s Benefit has won her last four and looks difficult to oppose for win purposes, although the forecast rain could play to The Nipper’s strengths and with both Warren Greatrex and Gavin Sheehan in excellent form he could be worth an each way play despite just two places on offer.
15:00 Cheltenham – Tikkanbar (E/W) – 15/2 (Whill) Lost
Nicky Henderson saddles two, both looking excellent prospects, with the jockey bookings and early market moves suggesting Pacific De Baune is the preferred option despite Santini having won an arguably stronger race last time out.
Slate House is unbeaten in two at the course and should be capable of the step up in trip given that he won a point-to-point earlier in his career, whereas trainer Warren Greatrex is in great form and his runner Mulcahys Hill should relish conditions so looks to have a decent chance of making the frame.
Tikkanbar has won four from five when racing on soft or heavy ground and is two from two since tackling hurdles. Already a course and distance winner at listed level, he should be capable of a top three finish at the very least.
15:15 Doncaster – L’ami Serge (WIN) – 9/4 (B365) 3rd
Nicky Henderson has an excellent record at Doncaster and has his stable in top form so it is difficult to look past L’ami Serge as the winner here. A top class performer who has only finished outside the top 3 positions in two of his twenty runs for the trainer, he has the stamina for this distance and is versatile regarding conditions so should be capable of victory whatever the weather.
Wakanda, Long House Hall and Warriors Tale look the most likely to fight it out for minor honours.
15:35 Cheltenham – Wholestone (WIN) – 7/2 (Whill) 2nd
It’s no surprise to see Finians Oscar returning to hurdles after a couple of lukewarm efforts over larger obstacles. If the switch and first-time tongue-tie re-ignite Colin Tizzard’s charge he will be tough to beat.
The Worlds End needs to improve on his two runs so far this season but was a Grade 1 winner last season and has winning form on soft ground and is respected accordingly, while Beer Goggles has won three from five over today’s trip, beat Unowhatimeanharry last time out and would be a fitting winner given recent circumstances.
Thomas Campbell and Wholestone both have excellent records at Cheltenham, with preference for Wholestone who has posted four wins and two placed from six runs at the course – with two wins and a third from three over today’s trip. The forecast morning rain will suit, the trip and course play to his strengths and although the stable form is a concern I am hoping that the horses class can get him through.
27/1/2018 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts
JANUARY 2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +1.52pts
HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS
2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts
2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +596.66pts