Friday 1st September

EVENING ALL!! Unfortunately we couldn’t bag another NAP winner today but 4 winners from the last 6 helped to ensure we finished the month with a healthy +37.56pts profit for August.

Had a look through tomorrows cards and haven’t been able to find anything that I particularly like the look of so no blog selections for Friday, although the stats runners are below as usual. Saturday’s blog will be up on Saturday morning.



FRIDAY STATS RUNNERS

BANGOR

A King 45% win & 80% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Bangor….

14:35 – Saint Contest

D Skelton 42% win & 78% place strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Bangor….

15:45 – Raleagh Mountain

SANDOWN

Sir M Stoute 27% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£15.06 in the last 3 years at Sandown….

14:45 – Beachwalk

15:55 – Elucidation

J Gosden 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£17.81 in the last 3 years at Sandown….

15:20 – Graffiti Master

15:55 – Icespire

DOWN ROYAL

W Mullins 45% win & 81% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Down Royal….

17:05 – Court Artist

18:45 – Cap D’Aubois


MONTHLY RESULTS….

31/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

AUGUST 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +37.56pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +76.77pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +597.26pts

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Thursday 31st August

 

NAP Ravens Lady 15/8 (BV) – Chelmsford 14:50 – 2pts win Lost (SP 10/11) -2pts

A winner of two of her last three runs and an excellent 3rd when last seen, less than a length behind Queen Kindly in a Listed race at Pontefract. Ryan Moore, who was a winner when last riding the 3 year old, returns to the saddle and has a 43% winning strike rate over the last 3 years at the course.

NB Snowy Winter 4/1 (B365) – Bath 14:40 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 4/1) -2pts

Won over a mile on second start and has run well enough in two subsequent runs. Step up in trip should suit and a return to a faster surface will be in his favour. Trainer Archie Watson, who has a 36% winning strike rate in the last 2 weeks on turf, sends only one runner to Bath today and has Eddie Greatrex on board who has won three of his last five when riding for the stable.


THURSDAY STATS RUNNERS

BATH

R Charlton 32.5% win & 76% place strike rate, with level stakes profit +£16.93 in the last 3 years at Bath….

13:40 – Dream Prospect

B Meehan 27.5% win & 70% place strike rate, with level stakes profit +£16.23 in the last 3 years at Bath….

13:40 – Go Bananas

M Saunders 22% win & 61% place strike rate, with level stakes profit +£14.91 in the last 3 years at Bath….

15:10 – Coronation Cottage

16:40 – Showmethewayavrillo

CHELMSFORD

J Gosden 28% win & 73% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Chelmsford….

13:20 – To Arms

S Bin Suroor 37% win & 78% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Chelmsford….

13:50 – Golden Goal

16:50 – Mobbhij

Jockey R Moore 43% win & 76% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Chelmsford….

13:20 – To Arms

14:20 – Taper Tantrum

14:50 – Ravens Lady

MUSSELBURGH

K Ryan 28% win strike rate & level stakes profit +£35.50 in the last 3 years at Musselburgh….

14:30 – Foxy Lady

15:00 – Troopers Gold

16:35 – Tagur

SEDGEFIELD

D Skelton 36% win & 76% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Sedgefield….

17:00 – Gibson Park

18:00 – Honkeytonktennesse

19:30 – Shrubland

K Slack 26% win strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Sedgefield….

18:00 – Almost Gemini

N Mulholland 42% win & 78% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Sedgefield….

19:30 – Tell The Tale

TIPPERARY

W McCreery 32% win strike rate & level stakes profit +£50.83 in the last 3 years at Tipperary….

16:25 – Realt Rua

16:55 – Ostatnia & Snowstar


 MONTHLY RESULTS….

31/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

30/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +17.42pts

AUGUST 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +37.56pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +76.77pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +597.26pts

Wednesday 30th August

NAP Turn Turk 9/4 (B365) – Worcester 19:35 – 2pts win WON (SP 10/3) +6.67pts

Has won here at Worcester in a bumper and won on hurdles debut over todays’ trip on penultimate run. Only 2nd last time out but that was over two furlongs further than she encounters today and the winner of that race has gone on to win again next time out. Trainer Nicky Henderson boasts a 40% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course and Turn Turk is his only runner on the card.

NB Spirit Of Zebedee 9/2 (PP) – Catterick 16:20 – 2pts win WON +9pts

Spirit Of Zebedee was no match for the winner when second last time out but there was enough to suggest that a return to the winners enclosure could be imminent and, now 2lbs below last winning mark on turf and returning to Catterick where he last won on turf, the hope is that today could be the day.

IWAC Ellal 11/1 (PP) – Musselburgh 14:30 – 1pt e/w 2nd +1.75pts

Masarzain has a win and a second to his name since stepping up to a mile and with the stable in such good recent form needs to be respected, however i’m happy to chance an each-way play on Ellal who has won three from six over todays’ trip at Musselburgh, is well treated based on last years’ form and has winning form in August in three of the last four years.

WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS

WORCESTER

K C Bailey 33% win strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Worcester….

17:05 – Sonofpresenting WON

N Henderson 40% win strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Worcester….

19:35 – Turn Turk WON

MUSSELBURGH

K Ryan 28% win strike rate & level stakes profit +£35.50 in the last 3 years at Musselburgh….

14:00 – VJ Day 3rd

14:30 – Foresight Lost

15:30 – Bogart Lost

16:00 – Hellomoto Lost

CATTERICK

R Carr 24% win strike rate & level stakes profit +£22.50 in the last 3 years at Catterick….

15:20 – Magical Effect 3rd

15:50 – Melaniemillie 2nd

17:20 – Foxtrot Knight & Oriental Splendour both lost


MONTHLY RESULTS….

30/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +17.42pts

29/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

28/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

27/8/17: PROFIT/LOSS: +4.67pts

26/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.98pts

AUGUST 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: 41.56pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +39.21pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +559.70pts

Tuesday 29th August

 

NAP Sands Chorus 5/1 (sky) – Ripon 16:30 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Alexander M was a six length winner at Chester over the weekend and escapes a penalty as that was an apprentice race. Trainer Mark Johnston has been in good form in recent weeks and his runners tend to do well at the course so the three year old isn’t passed over lightly, however despite winning three of his last six he is yet to follow up on a victory and has already had four races in the last four weeks so i’m following course specialist Sands Chorus. The James Given trained five year old is unbeaten in three over course and distance and has been racing over a mile since his last victory so should appreciate the step back up to ten furlongs.

NB La Fritillaire 4/1 (B365) – Ripon 17:30 – 2pts win 3rd -2pts

Continuing the theme of our NAP, i’m opting for another course specialist in La Fritillaire who is unbeaten in two over course and distance and although is 4lbs higher than her last victory she drops down a class for todays’ race and comes up against a field which looks to be more quantity than quality.


MONTHLY RESULTS….

29/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

28/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

27/8/17: PROFIT/LOSS: +4.67pts

26/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.98pts

AUGUST 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +24.14pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +39.21pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +559.70pts

Monday 28th August

NAP Enjazaat 5/1 (B365) – Ripon 16:30 – 2pts win WON +10pts

Raced well for much of the race before being ultimately outclassed at Group 2 level last time out, but a convincing 6 length winner on penultimate run over todays’ trip with similar ground conditions. Trainer Owen Burrows in great form (4 winners from last 8 runners).

NB Tanasoq 7/2 (B365) – Chepstow 14:50 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Has made the frame in six from 8 over todays’ trip, and is re-united with jockey Dane O’Neill who was on board for his only previous career victory. Trainer Owen Burrows in great form (4 winners from last 8 runners).

IWAC Gurkha Friend 11/2 (Whill) – Ripon 15:55 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Has won twice from three at the course, providing trainer Karen Mclintock with a 66% winning strike rate in the last 12 months at Ripon. Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has won 38% of his races here in the last 3 years and was on board for the 5 year olds last victory.


MONDAY STATS RUNNERS

CARTMEL

R Ford 60% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Cartmel….

16:05 – Camillas Wish

P Bowen 30% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Cartmel….

16:40 – Forever My Friend

K Slack 40% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£54.00 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Cartmel….

17:45 – Oh So Gigolo

CHEPSTOW

C Cox 28% win & 77% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Chepstow….

14:15 – Blue Laureate

RIPON

M Johnston 20% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£21.62 in the last 3 years at Ripon….

14:45 – Miss Danby

16:30 – Lake Volta

W Haggas 42% win & 77% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Ripon….

17:05 – Musical Terms

Jockey S De Sousa 38% win & 68% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£20.29 in the last 3 years at Ripon….

14:15 – Jean Paget

14:45 – Oden

15:55 – Gurkha Friend

16:30 – Helvetian


MONTHLY RESULTS….

28/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

27/8/17: PROFIT/LOSS: +4.67pts

26/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.98pts

AUGUST 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +28.14pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +39.21pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +559.70pts

Sunday 27th August

 

NAP Bollin Ted 10/3 (B365) – Beverley 17:25 – 2pts win WON +6.67pts

Won over CD earlier this summer and obviously favours this course having made the frame in all 3 previous runs over CD.Wasn’t far away off his current mark in a class 5 on soft ground on penultimate run and didn’t stay the extra couple of furlongs last time out, but with better ground forecast today and back to ten furlongs in a class 6 he looks capable of adding to his impressive record at the course.

NB Horsted Keynes 8/1 (BV) – Yarmouth 17:15 – 2pts win 3rd -2pts

Won off a mark of 91 over CD earlier this year and races off just 1lbs higher today. Drops back in class and has won two from three over CD, plus trainer D Simcock has an excellent strike rate at the course.


SUNDAY STATS RUNNERS

BEVERLEY

R C Guest 30% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£59.50 in the last 3 years at Beverley….

17:55 – Outlaw Torn

YARMOUTH

D Simcock 36% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£38.50 in the last 3 years at Yarmouth….

14:20 – King Of Dreams

16:05 – Another Eclipse

16:40 – Glory Awaits

17:15 – Horsted Keynes

J Gosden 33% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£13.54 in the last 3 years at Yarmouth….

14:55 – Wild Impala

17:15 – Hyde Park

R Varian 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Yarmouth….

16:05 – Laqab

16:40 – Mountain Angel

17:15 – Sultan Baybars

M Johnston 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£64.50 in the last 3 years at Yarmouth….

15:30 – Austin Powers


MONTHLY RESULTS….

27/8/17: PROFIT/LOSS: +4.67pts

26/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.98pts

25/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

24/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

23/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +35pts

AUGUST 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +22.14pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +39.21pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +559.70pts

Saturday 26th August

NAP Beeno 7/2 (B365) – Cartmel 17:10 – 2pts win WON (SP 2/1) +7pts

Local trainer James Moffatt has won this race for the last two years with Captain Brown and also runs CD winner Lough Kent, however Beeno is also a multiple CD winner who beat Lough Kent by 14 lengths here last time out and is Kenneth Slack’s only runner on the card. The trainer has a 36% winning strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£52, in the last 3 years over hurdles at Cartmel and has booked the services of jockey Robert Hogg, who has won on the eight year old over CD earlier in the year and whose claim means that the majority of the 8lbs rise is offset.

NB Brother Scott 7/2 (PP) – Cartmel 16:00 – 2pts win Lost (SP 6/1) -2pts

Carries top-weight but has won his last two, both over course and distance, and has made the frame in six of his last seven runs. Has switched stables since his last two victories but retains jockey Sean Quinlan who knows the horse well and was on board for the last two victories.

CARTMEL LUCKY 31 3.1pts total win (B365 best price) -1.02pts

14:50 River Icon 4/1 WON

15:25 Flying Eagle 13/8 WON

16:00 Brother Scott 7/2 Lost

16:35 Don Franco 4/1 Lost

17:45 Ange De Malberaux 2/1 Lost


ITV RACES

13:55 York – Mushtashry WON (SP 5/2)

14:10 Goodwood – Billesdon Brook WON (SP 4/1)

14:25 York – Secret Advisor (e/w) WON (SP 5/1)

14:45 Goodwood – Ultimate Avenue Lost

15:00 York – Headway 3rd (SP 9/2)

15:20 Goodwood – Lightning Spear WON (SP evs)

15:35 York – Dubka & Scarlet Dragon (both e/w) both lost


Cartmel

14:15 Knockmaole Boy 6/5 (sky) 2nd

A winner of his last 3 over hurdles, including a thirteen length victory at Perth last time out. Gordon Elliot’s only runner on the card, a trainer with a fantastic strike rate at the course.

14:50 River Icon 4/1 (B365) WON

Previous CD winner, has made the frame in last 5 runs, 7lbs claimer on board and trainer in good recent form.

15:25 Flying Eagle 7/4 (sky) WON

Previous CD winner, beating both Smart Ruler and Black Jack Rover on penultimate run. Trainer has a great record at the course and has been banging in the winners in recent weeks.

16:00 Brother Scott 7/2 (PP) Lost

Carries top-weight but has won his last two, both over course and distance, and has made the frame in six of his last seven runs. Has switched stables since his last two victories but retains jockey Sean Quinlan who knows the horse well and was on board for the last two victories.

16:35 Don Franco 4/1 (B365) Lost

Has a win and a second from two runs over course and distance and jockey Richard Johnson is two wins from two when in the saddle. Will be happy with ground conditions and both trainer and jockey have good records at the course.

17:10 Beeno 7/2 (B365) WON

Local trainer James Moffatt has won this race for the last two years with Captain Brown and also runs CD winner Lough Kent, however Beeno is also a multiple CD winner who beat Lough Kent by 14 lengths here last time out and is Kenneth Slack’s only runner on the card. The trainer has a 36% winning strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£52, in the last 3 years over hurdles at Cartmel and has booked the services of jockey Robert Hogg, who has won on the eight year old over CD earlier in the year and whose claim means that the majority of the 8lbs rise is offset.

17:45 Ange De Malberaux 2/1 (B365) Lost

Impressive CD winner here last time out, powering clear by seven lengths with plenty in hand. In-form jockey James Bowen is booked for the ride and looks the one they all have to beat.


SATURDAY STATS RUNNERS

CHESTER

Sir M Stoute 27% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Chester….

15:40 – Sable Island WON (SP 6/4)

WINDSOR

R Varian 31% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Windsor….

18:10 – King Bolette

CARTMEL

G Elliott 34% win & 87% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Cartmel….

14:15 – Knockmaole Boy 2nd

Jockey Charlotte Jones 3 wins & 1 placed from 5 in the last 12 months at Cartmel, a 60% win strike rate with level stakes profit of +£27.00….

14:15 – Golden Town 3rd

17:10 – Lough Kent Lost

17:45 – Rockability Riot Lost

K Slack 36% winning strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£52, in the last 3 years over hurdles at Cartmel….

17:10 – Beeno WON

P Bowen 27% win & 72% place strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Cartmel….

15:25 – Flying Eagle WON

16:00 – Dotties Dilema 3rd

16:35 – Fair To Middling 2nd

S R B Crawford 42% win & 71% place strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Cartmel….

16:00 – Novo Dawn 2nd

16:35 – Dr Moloney & Don Franco both lost


MONTHLY RESULTS….

26/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.98pts

25/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

24/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

23/8/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +35pts

AUGUST 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +17.47pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +39.21pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +559.70pts