Thursday 20th July

NAP Miss DD 10/3 (BV) – Doncaster 18:40 – 2pts win -2pts
NB Magic Journey 10/3 (WH) – Chepstow 15:25 – 2pts win -2pts

IWAC Stardrifter 16/1 (PP) – Hamilton 17:15 – 1pt e/w +3pts

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win -0.73pts



THURSDAY STATS RUNNERS

CHEPSTOW

E Johnson Houghton 27% win strike rate in the last 3 years at Chepstow….

14:20 – Lady Marigold

14:55 – Fantasy Queen WON

DONCASTER

D Simcock 24% win strike rate in the last 3 years at Doncaster….

20:50 – Temir Kazyk (A Atzeni 27% win strike rate & lsp +£85.09 in last 3 years at Doncaster)

EPSOM

Jockey C Bishop 52% win & 88% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£43.75 in the last 3 years at Epsom….

18:30 – Erastus

19:00 – Frank Bridge WON

19:35 – Ya Jammeel WON

20:40 – Sandy Shores Placed @ 10/1

LEICESTER

R Fahey 22% win strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£43.16 in the last 3 years at Leicester….

14:45 – Major Cornwallis

15:15- Character Onesie

15:50 – Bahamian Bird

16:20 – Ventura Dragon


RESULTS….

20/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -1.73pts

19/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +14pts

18/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -34.76pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Wednesday 19th July

NAP Harba 11/8 (B365) – Sandown 19:05 – 2pts win WON (SP 2/1) +4pts

Frankel filly Harba has improved for each career run so far and got off the mark last time out, at the fourth time of asking, beating a subsequent winner in the process. With that victory under her belt she should be capable of further progression for a trainer who has been amongst the winners in recent weeks.

NB Meshardal 5/1 (sky) – Catterick 15:50 – 2pts win WON (SP 3/1) +10pts

Ruth Carr has an excellent strike rate at Catterick and looks to have a great chance of enhancing this record today with Meshardal. Her seven year old has been in fine form over recent months, winning three of his last five and has only failed to make the frame in one from six over course and distance, winning three.

IWAC none today


WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS

YARMOUTH

D Simcock 37.5% win strike rate & level stakes profit of +£38.38 in the last 3 years at Yarmouth….

18:45 – Good Omen & Another Eclipse

19:15 – Sankara

20:50 – Cool Breeze

SANDOWN

W Haggas 25% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Sandown….

19:05 – Harba

19:40 – Selection

CATTERICK

R Carr 21% win strike rate & level stakes profit of +£16.75 in the last 3 years at Catterick….

15:50 – Meshardal

16:55 – Liberatum

R Fahey 23% win strike rate & level stakes profit of +£18.59 in the last 3 years at Catterick….

14:05 – Sandy Gem

15:50 – Scofflaw


RESULTS….

19/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +14pts

18/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -33.03pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Tuesday 18th July

NAP Utility 7/2 (B365) – Worcester 20:30 – 2pts win WON +7pts

NB Babyfact 11/2 (laddys) – Bath 16:00 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

IWAC Mr Pocket 11/2 (laddys) – Bath 15:30 – 2pts win Lost -2pts 


TUESDAY STATS RUNNERS

BATH

M Saunders 24% win & 64% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£21.91, in the last 3 years at Bath….

14:30 – Coronation Cottage WON

16:00 – Babyfact Lost

B Meehan 29% win & 68% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£18.23, in the last 3 years at Bath….

15:00 – Ivy Leaguer 3rd @ 20/1

BEVERLEY

No trainer stats to follow here today, however jockey D Tudhope has a 27% winning strike rate & 64% place strike rate along level stakes profit of +£50.32 to a £1 stake in the last 3 years at Beverley…. He has 5 rides here today.


RESULTS….

18/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3pts

15/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -47.03pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Sunday 16th July

No selections today, had a tough week results-wise and not much standing out today so taking the day off & spending the day with the family. All stats are up as usual, will be back with Monday’s selections later on this evening.

TRAINER IN FORM

Dr Newland 4 wins and 1 second from 5 runners in the last 2 weeks, an 80% win & 100% place strike rate, and runs 3 today….

16:00 Southwell – Destinys Gold

14:10 Stratford – Maurico

18:00 Stratford – Mr Caffrey

SUNDAY STATS RUNNERS

PERTH

G Elliott 27% win & 81% place strike rate (27/54/100) in the last 3 years over hurdles at Perth….

14:30 – Dawerann

16:40 – Broughtons Star

G Elliott 21% win & 78% place strike rate (3/8/14) in the last 3 years in bumpers at Perth….

17:15 – Rubbing Shoulders

F O’Brien 30% win & 75% place strike rate (6/9/20) in the last 3 years over fences at Perth….

15:05 – Iora Glas

16:10 – Tangolan

T George 27% win & 63% place strike rate (6/8/22) in the last 3 years over fences at Perth….

15:05 – Florida Calling

16:10 – Valseur De Granval

SOUTHWELL

D G Bridgewater 35% win & 64% place strike rate (5/4/14) in the last 3 years over fences at Southwell….

13:45 – Saffron Prince

N De Boinville 38% win & 84% place strike rate (5/6/13) in the last 3 years in bumpers at Southwell….

17:40 – Young Sunshine

Saturday 15th July

NAP Copper Knight 12/1 (B365) – York 16:15 – 2pts win -2pts

Copper Knight has already won over course and distance and was an encouraging third behind Battaash and Koropick when last seen. Both these two have won at Group level since so the form looks to be worth following and early double figure odds look generous considering the form so he rates as a confident each way bet at the odds although I think is capable of grabbing the win and as such is my NAP of the day.

NB Weekend Offender 6/1 (B365) – York 13:55 – 2pts win -2pts

Weekend Offender has made the frame in 75% of all races over a mile, has one win and one placed effort from two over course and distance and will be looking to make amends after leaving the stalls with the blindfold still on last time out.

IWAC Doctor Sardonicus 20/1 (BV) – Ascot 14:10 – 1pt e/w -2pts

With twenty runners scheduled to go to post there will no doubt be a few hard luck stories in our first visit to Ascot. With this in mind i’m opting for Doctor Sardonicus who tends to keep himself out of trouble by racing prominently. He won well when last seen at Chelmsford, a race that has produced six subsequent winners, and is partnered with in-form jockey Martin Lane who has won on him before.


ITV RACING SELECTIONS

13:55 – York

The selection here is Weekend Offender who has made the frame in 75% of all races over a mile, has one win and one placed effort from two over course and distance and will be looking to make amends after leaving the stalls with the blindfold still on last time out.

14:10 – Ascot

With twenty runners scheduled to go to post there will no doubt be a few hard luck stories in our first visit to Ascot. With this in mind i’m opting for Doctor Sardonicus who tends to keep himself out of trouble by racing prominently. He won well when last seen at Chelmsford, a race that has produced six subsequent winners, and is partnered with in-form jockey Martin Lane who has won on him before.

14:30 – York

Barsanti has posted two wins and a second from three runs at the course and was a very decent second to Idaho in the Hardwicke when last seen, finishing ahead of the likes of Dartmouth and Wings Of Desire in the process. He won’t be much of a price but if he runs to the same level again today he will be extremely tough to beat.

14:50 – Newmarket

Mountain Angel was less than a length behind Afaak on soft ground in June but was a convincing four length winner prior to that and has only finished outside the first two on debut. Roger Varian has his stable firing in the winners at present and as such his runner here is taken to improve past the two early favourites and gain victory here.

15:05 – York

Another large field to dissect and plenty who could be in with a decent chance granted luck in running. I’m opting for Garcia who, although hasn’t been seen since September 2016 has won twice on return from a break, won on only previous visit to York and has won 50% of all career runs. He should hopefully be a decent each way price and could spring a surprise here.

15:25 – Newmarket

Given the size of the field i’m selecting two in this race. The first is Gossiping who has won five from seven so far in 2017 and is two from two on turf, both over todays’ trip. The second is Steady Pace who ran a couple of really good races at Meydan earlier in the year, was only beaten by half a length last time out and hails from a yard in excellent recent form.

15:50 – Ascot

The most likely to put up a challenge to Mutakayyef is Sovereign Debt who has won his last three, beating Gabrial twice in the process, and has winning form at the course. Furthermore he is again partnered with jockey James Sullivan who is unbeaten in three since taking over in the saddle. It remains to be seen if he can overhaul the favourite but at the odds is worth taking a chance on at the prices.

16:00 – Newmarket

At the prices preference is for Finniston Farm who won at 10/1 on debut, beating a heavily fancied Charlie Hills runner in the process, and should be capable of improving further on only his second run of his career.

16:15 – York

Both Out Do (2015) and Take Cover (2014) have won this race in previous years while Judicial arrives here in fantastic form having won his last three, although will need to improve again now stepped up to Listed class. All three command respect but i’m siding with Copper Knight has already won over course and distance and was an encouraging third behind Battaash and Koropick when last seen. Both these two have won at Group level since so the form looks to be worth following and early double figure odds look generous considering the form so he rates as a confident each way bet at the odds although I think is capable of grabbing the win and as such is my NAP of the day.

16:35 – Newmarket

The last of ten live TV races could prove to be the best of the lot with Commonwealth Cup winner Caravaggio set to again lock horns with runner up Harry Angel. Caravaggio is unbeaten in six career runs including four over todays’ trip, while Harry Angel pulverised his opponents when winning a Group 2 at Haydock by over four lengths on penultimate run. They both ran fantastic races in the Commonwealth Cup and it would be no surprise to see them finish first and second again here. I find it very difficult to go against Aidan O’Brien’s runner given all he has achieved so far but if for any reason he isn’t on his A-game Harry Angel looks sure to pounce.

To add further spice to the mix last years winner Limato returns to attempt to defend his crown while The Tin Man is a multiple Group 1 winner who has an excellent career winning strike rate of 53%, all over todays’ trip. Both are top class runners in their own right and will ensure that this really is a fascinating contest to end the live TV races.


 RESULTS….

15/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

14/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -3.8pts

13/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.4pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -50.03pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Friday 14th July

Short on time so unfortunately no insights for Friday’s selections… been a frustrating few days but hopefully that changes now!!

NAP Wuheida 7/2 (BV) – Newmarket 15:35 – 2pts win -2pts

NB Titi Makfi 4/1 (B365) – Newmarket 15:00 – 2pts win -2pts

IWAC none today

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win (PP best price) +0.2pts

NAP 7/2

NB 4/1

Parfait 5/2 – Newmarket 13:50 WON

Clemmie 2/1 – Newmarket 14:25 WON


FRIDAY STATS RUNNERS

CHEPSTOW

C Cox 25% win & 77% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Chepstow….

18:45 – Glacier Point

MUSSELBURGH

K Ryan 26% win & 62% place strike rate with level stakes profit of +£20.38 in the last 3 years at Musselburgh….

18:25 – Queens Sargent

19:25 – Kibaar

20:00 – Fine Example

YORK

W Haggas 24% win & 60% place strike rate with level stakes profit of +£37.80 in the last 3 years at York….

14:05 – One Minute

15:15 – Gheeda, Gravity Flow & Isabels On It

15:45 – Novoman

16:55 – Lapilli

17:30 – Pensylvania Dutch

NEWMARKET

A O’Brien 29% win strike rate with level stakes profit of +£41.00 in the last 3 years at Newmarket….

14:25 – Clemmie

15:35 – Roly Poly

C Appleby 20% win strike rate in the last 3 years at Newmarket….

15:00 – Oasis Charm

15:35 – Wuheida

16:10 – Gold Town

16:45 – Being There, Rastrelli

17:45 – Falcon Eye, Tribal Quest

S Bin Suroor 20% win strike rate in the last 3 years at Newmarket….

15:00 – Leshlaa

15:35 – Arabian Hope


RESULTS….

14/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -3.8pts

13/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.4pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -44.03pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Thursday 13th July

2NAP Beach Break 2/1 (B365) – Doncaster 16:25 – 2pts win -2pts

  • 5 length winner over 12 furlongs last time out & the 2nd from that race has won well since.

  • Improved for each of her two runs this season and there should be more to come now handicapping.

NB Poets Word 7/2 (B365) – Newmarket 15:35 – 2pts win NR

  • Won 3 of last 6 (all with Ryan Moore on board) and only just beaten by Deauville at Chester in May.

  • Sir Michael Stoute 29% winning strike rate on turf in the last 2 weeks and has won this race 4 times in the last 10 years.

IWAC Jumira Bridge 9/2 (SJ) – Newmarket 16:35 – 2pts win -2pts

  • Already won twice over 5 furlongs this season and only beaten by a neck over course and distance last time out.

  • Trainer and jockey both in fantastic form with winning strike rates of over 30% in the last 2 weeks.

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -1.4pts

NAP 2/1

NB 7/2

IWAC 4/1

Atty Persse 11/4 – Newmarket 13:50

THURSDAY STATS RUNNERS

CARLISLE

Jockey Ben Curtis 27% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£104.31 in the last 3 years at Carlisle….

13:30 – Kynren

14:00 – Mama Africa

15:10 – Henley

16:20 – Questo

16:50 – Aramist

DONCASTER

R Varian 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£30.54 in the last 3 years at Doncaster….

14:45 – King Of Paris

Sir M Stoute 36% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£41.98 in the last 3 years at Doncaster….

15:20 – Panova

D Simcock 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£30.33 in the last 3 years at Doncaster….

15:20 – Hidden Charms

EPSOM

G Baker 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£38.75 in the last 3 years at Epsom….

18:40 – Chess Move

20:20 – East India

NEWMARKET

A O’Brien 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£38.75 in the last 3 years at Epsom….

13:50 – Wisconsin

14:25 – US Navy Seal

J Gosden 20% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Newmarket….

13:50 – Crowned Eagle

15:00 – Hyde Park

15:35 – Muntahaa, Western Hymn & Wings Of Desire

16:05 – Wild Impala

17:05 – Tricorn

S Bin Suroor 20% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Newmarket….

13:50 – Tamleek


 RESULTS….

13/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.4pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -40.23pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Wednesday 12th July

NAP St Malo 5/2 (BV) – Kempton 20:25 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

  • 6 length winner the last time he raced on AW surface.

  • Trainer Roger Varian 11 wins & 13 placed from 33 in the last 2 weeks – 33% winning strike rate

  • Jockey Andrea Atzeni 9 wins & 7 placed from 26 in the last 2 weeks (34% winning strike rate) and has 35% winning strike rate in the last 12 months at Kempton.

NB Hackney Road 4/1 (B365) – Kempton 20:55 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

  • Won well last time out and races off the same mark today.

  • Unbeaten in 2 over course and distance (3wins 2 placed from five over the trip).

  • Jockey Joshua Bryan has an 80% strike rate when riding for John Butler (4wins & 4 placed) in the last 12 months and has won 5 from 16 overall in the last 2 weeks.

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -0.9pts

NAP 9/4 2nd

NB 4/1 2nd

Katebird 11/4 – Yarmouth 14:35 Lost

  • Impressive 3 & ½length winner last time out, under the same jockey who rides today.

  • Mark Johnston excellent strike rate & level stakes profit at the course (see stats runners).

Dowayla 11/8 – Bath 20:40 WON (SP 5/2)

  • Won over similar trip on debut and only just denied over 10 furlongs last time out so drop back in trip should benefit.

  • Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (46% win strike rate – last 2 weeks) and Martin Lane (32% win strike rate – last 2 weeks) both in excellent form and have teamed up for 5 wins from 5 runners in 2017.


WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS

BATH

M Saunders 23% win & 64% place strike rate with level stakes profit of +£14.91 in the last 3 years at Bath….

18:10 – Lucky Clover

18:40 – Ginzan

B J Meehan 26% win & 70% place strike rate with level stakes profit of +£20.23 in the last 3 years at Bath….

19:40 – Epicurious

20:40 – International Law

CATTERICK

R Fahey 24% win & 59% place strike rate with level stakes profit of +£25.43 in the last 3 years at Catterick….

14:45 – Flo’s Melody

15:20 – Free Spirited

15:55 – Lady In Question

18:05 – Springforth

R Carr 20% win & 51% place strike rate with level stakes profit of +£213.25 in the last 3 years at Catterick….

15:20 – Just For The Craic

17:35 – Cupids Arrow

YARMOUTH

M Johnston 27.5% win & 55% place strike rate with level stakes profit of +£70.17 in the last 3 years at Yarmouth….

14:35 – Katebird

15:45 – Morning Suit


 RESULTS….

12/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.9pts

11/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

10/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.4pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -34.83pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Tuesday 11th July

 

NAP Wapping 11/4 (B365) – Brighton 19:15 – 2pts win NR

Arrives here looking to complete a hat-trick of victories, having stayed on well to win over course and distance last time out, his first attempt over twelve furlongs. He carries top-weight for todays’ race but comes up against a few rivals who seem to struggle to win their races so this looks a great opportunity to add to his winning tally.

NB Flying Fantasy 11/2 (PP) – Wolves 16:25 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Hasn’t won in just over twelve months but returns to a track where he is unbeaten over seven furlongs and is 5lbs below his last winning mark when running on an artificial surface. The booking of in-form William Buick catches the eye and a big run could be on the cards.

IWAC Cool Bahamian 10/1 (BV) – Pontefract 15:40 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Yet to win in this class but hasn’t been too far away on a couple of occasions and is now 2lbs below his last winning mark. His only previous visit to Pontefract resulted in victory over the same race distance as today and with both trainer and jockey amongst the winners in recent weeks he looks capable of a top three finish at the very least.


TUESDAY STATS RUNNERS

BRIGHTON

R Hannon 20% win & 63% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Brighton….

17:45 Wildnightinvegas WON (7/1)

J Gallagher 19% win & 70% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£22.75 in the last 3 years at Brighton….

18:45 – Andaluiste WON (6/1)

PONTEFRACT

M R Channon 23% win & 60% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£17.75 in the last 3 years at Pontefract….

14:10 – Another Day Of Sun Lost

14:40 – Lightoller Lost

15:10 – Summer Icon Lost

15:40 – Tigerwolf Lost

C Appleby 40% win & 76% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Pontefract….

16:10 – Walton street WON (15/8)


RESULTS….

11/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

10/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.4pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -29.93pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Monday 10th July

NAP Lamloon 5/2 (B365) – Ayr 15:50 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

Has placed twice over a mile and was an impressive winner over nine furlongs last time out, with the fourth of that race winning since.

NB Muscika 5/1(B365) – Ayr 14:45 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

A winner of two from three over six furlongs, including here at Ayr last time out. Up 5lbs but the 2nd and 4th from that race have gone on to win next time out and has been progressing well this season so should be capable of another victory today.

IWAC Braes Of Lochalsh 5/1 (B365) – Ayr 15:15 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Won this race in 2015 and has two wins and two seconds from five over course and distance. 4lbs below his last winning mark and three consecutive placed efforts suggest victory isn’t far away.

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -1.4pts

NAP 5/2 2nd

NB 9/2 Lost

IWAC 5/1 Lost

My Girl Maisie 5/2 – Ayr 14:15 NR

Was an impressive winner on penultimate run and ran well for most of the race last time out, before getting swamped in the final furlong. Worth another chance off this mark considering previous run.


MONDAY STATS RUNNERS

RIPON

Jockey S De Sousa 42% win strike rate & level stakes profit of +£15.83 in the last 3 years at Ripon – rides one in each race today

W Haggas 38% win strike rate in the last 3 years at Ripon….

19:45 – Crushed

WINDSOR

J Gosden 26% win & 73% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Windsor….

21:05 – Wasatch Range & Azam

ROSCOMMON

M O’Callaghan 27% win strike rate in the last 3 years at Roscommon….

17:55 – Navajo Dreamer

18:25 – Pegi Browne

J M Oxx 30% win strike rate in the last 3 years at Roscommon….

20:25 – Flying Fairies

W McCreery 35% win strike rate & level stakes profit of +£20.33 in the last 3 years at Roscommon….

20:25 – Zamira


 RESULTS….

10/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.4pts

9/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

8/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.65

7/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -25.93pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts