Sunday 30th July

 

Hi all, last blog post for a week due to an impromptu holiday! Just playing 1pt win on each of the below 8 runners in the hope that we can finish the month with a couple of winners!

Listen To The Man 6/4 (PP) – Uttoxeter 14:15 WON (SP 8/13) +1.5pts

Fort Gabrial 5/2 (B365) – Uttoxeter 15:15 Lost (SP 5/2) -1pt

Beau Bay 4/1 (B365) – Uttoxeter 17:15 2nd (SP 9/4) -1pt

Regal Mirage 9/2 (PP) – Pontefract 14:30 WON (SP 6/4) +4.5pts

Near Kettering 7/2 (B365) – Pontefract 15:00 Lost (SP 10/3) -1pt

Gabrial 5/2 (PP) – Pontefract 15:30 Lost (SP 11/4) -1pt

Avon Breeze 11/2 (B365) – Pontefract 16:00 Lost (SP 7/1) -1pt

Oriental Splendour 9/2 (B365) – Pontfract 17:00 3rd (SP 6/1) -1pt


SUNDAY STATS RUNNERS

UTTOXETER

Dr Newland 27.5% win & 76% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Uttoxeter, and 42% over hurdles overall in the last 2 weeks….

14:45 – Maurico

17:15 – Beau Boy

D Skelton 36% win & 70% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Uttoxeter….

14:15 – Listen To The Man

17:15 – Shrubland


RESULTS….

30/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: even

29/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6.8pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -17.42pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +39.21pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +559.70pts

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Saturday 29th July

NAP Century Dream 9/2 (sky) – Ascot 14:25 – 2pts win -2pts

NB Makzeem 15/2 (BV) – Ascot 15:00 – 2pts win -2pts

IWAC Nameitwhatyoulike 14/1 (B365) – York 14:40 – 2pts win -2pts


LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win (BV best price) -0.8pts

NAP 9/2

NB 7/1

Success Days 3/1 – York 15:15 WON

Lady Bergamot 5/2 – York 17:00


ITV RACES

13:50 Ascot – Dance Diva 3/1 (PP)

14:05 York – Starlight Romance 6/1 (B365)

14:25 Ascot – Century Dream 9/2 (sky)

14:40 York – Nameitwhatyoulike 14/1 (B365)

15:00 Ascot – Makzeem 15/2 (BV)

15:15 York – Success Days 7/2 (B365)

15:35 Ascot – Enable 11/8 (PP)


RESULTS….

29/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6.8pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -17.42pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Friday 28th July

 

NAP Kharbetation 11/2 (PP) – York 20:00 – 2pts win -2pts

Left a lasting impression when winning a Thirsk maiden in July last year. Despite missing the break and running four-wide throughout he made up ground all the way round and pulled away easily to win by five lengths without even coming off the bridle. He was heavily supported on what was to be his belated debut this season before refusing to enter the stalls, but based on his maiden run last year could be something special if he actually runs.

NB The Black Squirrel 3/1 (B365) – Uttoxeter 17:15 – 2pts win -2pts

Decent enough debut when 3rd of 6 at Stratford earlier this month and trainer Warren Greatrex, who has won 7 from 12 in bumpers in the last 3 years at the course (56% win strike rate) sends just the one runner to Uttoxeter, his first runner in over two weeks.

IWAC Liberatum 6/1 (B365) – Thirsk 17:05 – 2pts win -2pts

Taking a slight risk on a horse that is yet to win in six attempts (but has a 3rd and 2nd to his name from two runs this season) on the basis that jockey Seamus Cronin has won on 56% of his rides in the last 2 weeks and has made the frame on 8 of his last 10 rides.


FRIDAY STATS RUNNERS

UTTOXETER

Dr Newland 38% win & 74% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Uttoxeter….

15:40 – Destinys Gold

D Skelton 25% win & 69% place strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Uttoxeter….

16:15 – Miss Spent

W Greatrex 58% win & 7% place strike rate in the last 3 years in bumpers at Uttoxeter….

17:15 – The Black Squirrel

CHEPSTOW

E Johnson Houghton 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Chepstow….

18:20 – Waves

C Cox 27% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Chepstow….

19:20 – Daimochi

NEWMARKET

J Gosden 20% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Newmarket….

18:10 – Ouja

19:40 – Street Marie

20:10 – Pouvoir Magique

C Appleby 20% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Newmarket….

18:10 – Festival Of Ages

YORK

W Haggas 24% win strike rate & level stakes profit of +£40.30 in the last 3 years at York….

19:30 – Entsar


RESULTS….

28/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

27/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

26/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.5pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -10.62pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Thursday 27th July

NAP Paradise Cove 11/4 (PP) – Sandown 16:10 – 2pts win -2pts

Has improved for each of her three career runs so far, stepping up to 10 furlongs last time out and returning a commanding five length winner. With conditions expected to be on the soft side she has conditions to suit and with both trainer and jockey in excellent recent form she rates as the one to beat.

NB Pilgrims Treasure 7/2 (B365) – Newbury 19:05 – 2pts win -2pts

Won on soft ground on penultimate run and was only just beaten over course and distance on handicap debut last time out. Trainer C Appleby 35% winning strike rate in the last 12 months at the course & this is his only runner on the card.

IWAC Little Lady Katie 11/2 (PP) – Doncaster 19:50 – 2pts win -2pts

Back down to last winning mark, proven over the trip, all recent wins have come on soft or heavy ground and trainer is in good recent form with five winners in the last 2 weeks for a 22% winning strike rate.

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win (betfred best price) -1.5pts

NAP 11/4

NB 7/2

IWAC 5/1

Zumran 2/1 – Newbury 20:05

Unbeaten in two over six furlongs on turf, winning in impressive fashion on both occasions so should be capable of defying 6lbs rise given that he’s proven on soft ground whereas most rivals have better form on good or better ground.


THURSDAY SHORTLIST

Sarabi 10/1 (B365) – Doncaster 20:20

Needs to prove she can stay 6 furlongs but is 3lbs below her last winning mark, is proven on soft ground and won on only previous trip to Doncaster. Has place possibilities at double figure odds.


THURSDAY STATS RUNNERS

DONCASTER

Sir M Stoute 36% win & 75% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£41.98 in the last 3 years at Doncaster….

18:15 – Qaroun

R Varian 24% win & 71% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£26.54 in the last 3 years at Doncaster….

18:45 – Gorhams Cave

NEWBURY

C Appleby 22% win & 63% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Newbury….

19:05 – Pilgrims Treasure

S Bin Suroor & M Lane 8 wins from 9 when teaming up this season, an 88% winning strike rate….

19:05 – Big Tour

19:35 – Finishing Touch

SANDOWN

W Haggas 26% win strike rate in the last 3 years at Sandown….

14:00 – Dutch Desire

16:10 – Paradise Cove

J Gosden 26% win & 69% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£23.81 in the last 3 years at Sandown….

14:30 – Joshua Reynolds & Great Sound

Sir M Stoute 27% win strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£16.56 in the last 3 years at Sandown….

14:30 – Nadaitak

YARMOUTH

R Varian 26% win & 71% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Yarmouth….

14:10 – Dream Of Joy


 RESULTS….

27/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

26/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.5pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.62pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Wednesday 26th July

 

 

NAP Storm Melody 5/1 (PP) – Bath 14:40 – 2pts win Lost (SP 3/1) -2pts

Only career victory so far came over course and distance in a class 3 on good-to-soft ground. Races today off just a 2lbs higher mark, in a class 5 with ground conditions expected to similar.

NB Glenrowan Rose 11/4 (B365) – Catterick 16:00 – 2pts win WON (SP 2/1) +5.5pts

An impressive 4 length winner last time out & still effectively 1lbs below best winning mark even taking in to account the 6lbs penalty. Proven over course and distance and a previous winner on soft ground, he can account for course specialist Landing Night and early favourite Fumbo Jumbo.

IWAC Canny Style 9/2 (sky) – Catterick 17:30 – 2pts win WON (SP 9/2) +9pts

Notched up a hat-trick of victories last summer and has placed in 4 from 5 this season. Proven on ground with some give and has the services of in-form Seamus Cronin in the saddle, an in-form jockey with a 56% winning strike rate over the last 2 weeks.


WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS

BATH

M Saunders 33% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£31.78 in the last 12 months at Bath….

14:40 – Babyfact WON (SP 9/2)

CATTERICK
JJ Quinn 20% win & 65% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Catterick….

14:30 – Northern Angel 2nd (SP 8/1)

15:00 – Seaella Lost (SP 2/1)

15:30 – Ancient Astronaut 3rd (SP 9/4)

16:00 – Indian Pursuit Lost (SP 8/1)

16:30 – Trick Of The Lyte Lost (SP 9/1)

R Carr 22% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£21.75 in the last 3 years at Catterick….

15:30 – Dyllan 2nd (SP 14/1) & Sureyoutoldme NR

16:30 – Cupids Arrow WON (SP 5/4)

17:00 – Whipphound 3rd (SP 5/1)

LEICESTER

M Channon 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£26.30 in the last 3 years at Leicester….

18:15 – Tenby Two

20:50 – Lightoller

R Fahey 22% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£41.41 in the last 3 years at Leicester….

18:15 – Oscar Ranger

19:20 – Flyboy

SANDOWN

R Varian 24% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Sandown….

19:10 – Sam Gold

19:40 – Sultan Baybars

20:10 – West Drive

J Gosden 26% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£23.81 in the last 3 years at Sandown….

19:10 – Bold Reason


RESULTS….

26/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.5pts

25/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6.8pts

24/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +38pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +2.88pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Tuesday 25th July

 

NAP Amazing Alice 2/1 (B365) – Chelmsford 18:30 – 2pts win 2nd  (SP 5/4) -2pts

Amazing Alice arrives here having won her last two, both in convincing fashion, with a seven length course and distance victory the obvious highlight. Today sees a step up in class but she’s looked much more at home on synthetic surfaces than on turf and her trainer Archie Watson is in great form at the moment so his runner is taken to continue the winning run.

NB Champagne Bob 11/4 (sky) – Nottingham 19:20 – 2pts win Lost (SP 4/1) -2pts

Arrives here looking to complete a hat-trick of victories and goes unpenalised for a 2 ½ length win last time out. Bottom-weight, proven on soft ground and has made the frame in 5 from 8 over the trip.

IWAC Fine Example 9/2 (laddys) – Musselburgh 16:15 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 4/1) -2pts

Beat yesterday’s NAP a few runs back and has a win & a 2nd to his name from two runs over course and distance. Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 30% winning strike rate in the last 12 months at Musselburgh and this is his only runner at the course today.

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win (BV best price) -0.8pts

NAP 15/8 2nd

NB 11/4 Lost

IWAC 4/1 2nd

Anna Medici 9/4 – Chelmsford 18:00 WON (SP 3/1)

Posted a much improved performance last time out and despite the drop back in trip I can’t get away from the fact that Manuel Fernandes, who claims 5lbs, is booked for the ride and has a 38% winning strike rate in the last 12 months when riding for Sir Mark Prescott.

TUESDAY STATS RUNNERS

CHELMSFORD

J Gosden 28% win & 73% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Chelmsford….

19:30 – Mooltazeem

S Bin Suroor 37% win & 80% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Chelmsford….

21:00 – Golden Goal

C Dwyer 19% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£50.91 in the last 3 years at Chelmsford….

21:00 – Dark Side dream

FFOS LAS

P D Evans 15% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£43.50 in the last 3 years at Ffos Las….

15:30 – Primrose Place

16:00 – Sheer Intensity

17:00 – Celerity

17:30 – Awesome Allan

MUSSELBURGH

K Ryan 24% win & 62% place strike rate & level stakes profit of +£17.38 in the last 3 years at Musselburgh….

16:15 – Fine Example

M Johnston 21% win & 67% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Musselburgh….

14:45 – Footsteps Forever

16:15 – Hamster Jam

NOTTINGHAM

R Fahey 19% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£28.43 in the last 3 years at Nottingham….

18:20 – Odds On Oli & Just For Fun

19:50 – Natajack


RESULTS….

25/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6.8pts

24/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +38pts

23/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -9.62pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts

Monday 24th July

NAP Arcane Dancer 15/2 (PP) – Beverley 20:25 – 2pts win WON (SP 15/2) +15pts

Both turf career victories have come over course and distance, & has made the frame in 50% of all CD runs. 1lbs below last winning mark and is partnered with Jockey D Tudhope who boasts a 25% win & 64% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£45.32 in the last 3 years at the course.

NB Royal Brave 6/1 (coral) – Ayr 15:05 – 2pts win Lost (SP 7/2) -2pts

Winner of a class 3 race over course and distance a couple of runs back and only 1lbs higher back in a class 4 here. Jockey P Mcdonald 31% winning strike rate & lsp +£29.00 when riding for the trainer over the last 12 months.

IWAC Musharrif 20/1 (PP) – Beverley 18:55 – 1pt e/w WON (SP 12/1) +25pts

Trainer has a good record at the course & his runners’ last victory came over course and distance. Needs to bounce back from a couple of lacklustre runs but returns to race off the same mark today and could sneak a place at a big price.


MONDAY SHORTLIST

Racquet 4/1 (PP) Ayr 14:30 Lost 

Won over course and distance last time out, beating subsequent winner Harbour Patrol in to 2nd with a couple who re-oppose here further down the field. Up 4lbs but has been racing in higher grades off much higher marks so should still be competitive & capable of another victory here.

Gworn 8/1 (BV) Ayr 16:40 2nd (SP 5/2)

Has won 3 from 4 over course and distance this season, has made the frame in almost two thirds of all CD runs and is flexible with regards to ground conditions having won on everything from soft to good-to-firm. Ran on late last time out after getting stuck behind a wall of horses so should still be competitive off this mark and be capable of a top 3 finish at the least.

Abel Tasman 14/1 (sky) Windsor 20:15 Lost

Promising enough 1st run back in February & should improve for the experience. Interesting jockey booking as R Kingscote takes over in the saddle (30% winning strike rate this season when riding for Ed Walker).


MONDAY STATS RUNNERS

AYR

A Keatley 22% win & 67% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£21.38 in the last 3 years at Ayr….

15:05 – Sahreej Lost

15:40 – Cozy Club WON (SP 16/1)

16:10 – Quiet Company Lost

17:10 – Buzz Boy Lost

BEVERLEY

R C Guest 28% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£50.50 in the last 3 years at Beverley….

20:55 – Outlaw Torn Lost

Jockey D Tudhope 25% win & 64% place strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£45.32 in the last 3 years at Beverley….

18:25 – Me Before You 3rd (SP 4/1)

18:55 – First Bombardment Lost

19:25 – Bromance Lost

19:55 – Fayez NR

20:25 – Arcane Dancer WON (SP 5/1)

20:55 – Flowers Will Bloom NR

WINDSOR

R Varian 31% win & 62% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Windsor….

19:45 – Athletico (Jockey A Atzeni 27% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Windsor) WON (SP 8/11)

20:15 – Fujaira Prince (Jockey A Atzeni 27% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Windsor) 2nd (SP 12/1)

J Gosden 27% win & 72% place strike rate in the last 3 years at Windsor….

20:15 – Clearly Lost

CARTMEL

S Drake 33% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£33.50 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Cartmel….

14:45 – Nicki’s Nipper Lost

 

17:25 – My Renaissance 2nd

J Moffatt 22% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£23.50 in the last 3 years over chase at Cartmel….

15:55 – Smart Ruler 3rd (SP 11/2)

16:25 – Fantasy King & Nicholas Chauvin both Lost

16:55 – Bon Chic & Munsaab NR & Lost


 RESULTS….

24/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +38pts

23/7/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

JULY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -2.82pts

JUNE 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +35.55pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +56.63pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +577.12pts