Sunday 22nd January

NAP: Mr Bachster 3/1 (WH) – Fontwell 15:30 – 2pts win NR (frozen track)

Kerry Lee has a great record for winners at Fontwell and in Mr Bachster has a course and distance winner who has won 4 from 14 over fences and whose last victory came in very testing conditions. Jockey Richard Patrick has a good strike rate when riding for Kerry Lee and won on his only previous ride here at Fontwell. If taking in to account Richard’s 7lbs claim then Mr Bachster is effectively racing off 5lbs lower than his last winning mark and with his opposition either unproven on heavy ground or unproven over the trip (or both) he looks to have a great chance today.

NB: none today

IWAC: Zulu Oscar 22/1 (BV) – Fontwell 14:00 – 1pt e/w NR (frozen track)

A slightly risky IWAC today as the heavy ground is an unknown and his 1st run for the yard wasn’t anything special, although that was his first outing in 6 months. With question marks over both market principles (Soupy Soups carrys an extra 14lbs and Theatrebar runs for a yard who are struggling for form) this actually looks like an open race. The selection won over todays trip off a 6lbs higher mark on penultimate run and has 3 career wins from 8 runs over hurdles, with two of these wins coming in the same class race as today. He has made the frame in 50% of all career runs to date and if building on his 1st run for the yard and handling the conditions then he should be capable of a top 3 finish.


SUNDAY STATS RUNNERS….

FONTWELL

Dan Skelton has an excellent record when sending runners over fences at Fontwell, posting 7 winners and 5 placed from 13 for an impressive 53% winning strike rate. However, his yard have really struggled for winners in recent weeks with only 1 winner in 23 (4% strike rate). They run 3 over fences here today….

13:50 – Mister Grez & Bertenbar

14:30 – Hinton Indiana

Warren Greatrex has won 8 and had 10 placed from 23 in the last 3 years over hurdles here, a 34.78% winning strike rate. He has had 8 placed from his last 20 and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

13:00 – Postbridge

15:00 – Potters Approach

Neil Mulholland 12 winners and 16 placed from 43 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Fontwell, a 27.91% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£26.04 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

13:00 – Molly Carew

14:00 – Soupy Soups


RESULTS….

22/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: 0pts

21/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.05pts

20/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

19/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.4pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -10.21spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Saturday 21st January

NAP: Politologue 11/8 (B365) – Haydock 13:30 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 6/4) -2pts

NB: Alary 5/1 (B365) – Haydock 15:15 – 2pts win Lost (SP 4/1) -2pts

IWAC: Roller 6/1 (sky) – Newcastle 19:15 – 2pts win Lost (SP 4/1) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (sky best price) -1.05pts

Politologue 11/8 – Haydock 13:30 2nd

Neon Wolf 7/4 – Haydock 14:05 WON

Alary 5/1 – Haydock 15:15 Lost

Roller 6/1 – Newcastle 19:15 Lost


SATURDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

Free Stone Hill 9/1 (BV) – Haydock 12:55 Lost

Cyrus Darius 12/1 (B365) – Haydock 14:40 Lost


SATURDAY STATS RUNNERS….

HAYDOCK

12:55 – Heath Hunter – D PIPE 6 wins & 9 placed from 30 in the last 3 years over hurdles, a 20% winning strike rate & +£44.50 level stakes profit. Lost

13:30 – Politologue – P NICHOLLS 6 wins & 5 placed from 13 in the last 3 years over fences, a 46.15% winning strike rate. 2nd

14:05 – Crievehill – N TWISTON-DAVIES 6 wins & 6 placed from 21 in the last 3 years over hurdles, a 28.57% winning strike rate. 3rd

14:40 – The New One – N TWISTON-DAVIES 6 wins & 6 placed from 21 in the last 3 years over hurdles, a 28.57% winning strike rate. WON

15:15 – Virak – P NICHOLLS 6 wins & 5 placed from 13 in the last 3 years over fences, a 46.15% winning strike rate. Lost

15:15 – Bishops Road – K LEE 3 wins from 5 in the last 3 years over fences, a 60% winning strike rate. 3rd

16:20 – Splash Of Ginge – N TWISTON-DAVIES 6 wins & 6 placed from 21 in the last 3 years over hurdles, a 28.57% winning strike rate. 2nd

LINGFIELD

J Gask 6 wins & 2 placed from 14 in the last 2 weeks, a 42.86% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 here today….

16:15 – Geoff Potts 3rd


RESULTS….

21/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.05pts

20/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

19/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.4pts

18/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.95pts

17/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -10.21spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Friday 20th January

NAP: Temple Road 9/4 (B365) – Wolves 18:15 – 2pts win Lost (SP 4/1) -2pts

NB: Stamp Your Feet 7/2 (BV) – Musselburgh 14:25 – 2pts win Lost (SP 7/2) -2pts

IWAC: Chestnut Ben 6/1 (BV) – Musselburgh 15:00 – 2pts win Lost (SP 8/1) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (BV best price) -1.5pts

Stamp Your Feet 7/2 – Musselburgh 14:25 Lost

Chestnut Ben 6/1 – Musselburgh 15:00 Lost

Earlshill 7/4 – Chepstow 15:50 Lost

Temple Road 9/4 – Wolves 18:15 Lost


FRIDAYS SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

Landmarque 3/1 (BV) – Musselburgh 13:20 Lost

Bredon Hill Lad 5/1 (B365) – Chepstow 16:25 Lost


FRIDAY STATS RUNNERS….

CHEPSTOW

P Bowen 7 wins & 8 placed from 25 in the last 3 years over fences at Chepstow, a 25% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

14:10 – Dr Robin NR

MUSSELBURGH

P Winks 2 wins & 1 placed from 3 in the last 3 years over fences at Musselburgh, a 66.7% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

15:00 – Chestnut Ben Lost

WOLVES

C Appleby 48 wins & 57 placed from 145 in the last 3 years at Wolves, a 33.1% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 here today….

18:45 – Mystique Moon WON


RESULTS….

20/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

19/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.4pts

18/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.95pts

17/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -3.16spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Thursday 19th January

NAP: Fille Des Champs 11/4 (BV) – Ludlow 15:00 – 2pts win Lost (SP 3/1) -2pts 

NB: Bring On A Spinner 4/1 (B365) – Southwell 14:00 – 2pts win WON (SP 3/1) +8pts

IWAC: Sir Maximilian 5/1 (B365) – Meydan 15:40 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 7/2) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -0.6pts

Westerner Point 11/4 – Thurles 13:45 Lost 

Bring On A Spinner 4/1 – Southwell 14:00 WON

Fille Des Champs 5/2 – Ludlow 15:00 Lost

Sir Maximilian 5/1 – Meydan 15:40 2nd


THURSDAY STATS RUNNERS…..

LUDLOW

F O’Brien 4 wins & 6 placed from 16 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow, a 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of £20 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

13:20 – Blue Comet Lost

N Henderson 10 wins & 12 placed from 33 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow, a 30.3% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

13:20 – Minella Rebellion Lost

16:10 – River Wylde WON

WINCANTON

C Tizzard 11 wins & 20 placed from 42 in the last 3 years over fences at Wincanton, a 26.19% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

15:20 – Sartorial Elegance Lost

P Nicholls 38 wins & 31 placed from 93 in the last 3 years over hurdle sat Wincanton, a 40.86% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

16:25 – Monsieur Co WON

SOUTHWELL

A M Balding 17 wins & 26 placed from 53 in the last 3 years at Southwell, a 32.08% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 here today….

12:55 Stag Party Lost


RESULTS….

19/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.4pts

18/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.95pts

17/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +4.34spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Wednesday 18th January

NAP: Max Ward 11/4 (B365) – Newbury 14:20 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 7/4) -2pts

NB: Potters Corner 11/4 (B365) – Newbury 14:55 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 5/4) -2pts

IWAC: Wink Oliver 9/1 (BV) – Lingfield 16:05 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 10/1) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -0.95pts

Max Ward 11/4 – Newbury 14:20 2nd

Potters Corner 11/4 – Newbury 14:55 2nd

Bang On Frankie 2/1 – Newbury 15:55 Lost

Nietzsche 2/1 – Market Rasen 15:45 WON (SP 9/4)


WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS….

NEWBURY

N Henderson 17 wins & 23 placed from 62 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Newbury, a 27.42% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

13:50 – Beyond Conceit WON

15:25 – Theatre Territory Lost

R Curtis 5 wins & 5 placed from 19 in the last 3 years over fences at Newbury, a 26.32% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

14:55 – Audacious Plan Lost


RESULTS….

18/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.95pts

17/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

16/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -0.45pts

15/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +23.78pts

14/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.3pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.94spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Tuesday 17th January

NAP: Second Thought 4/1 (SJ) – Kempton 15:40 – 2pts win WON (SP 3/1) +8pts

It was hard not to be impressed with the way William Haggas’ Second Thought eased his way to the front when winning a maiden over todays trip at Wolves last month, putting the race to bed in a matter of strides and being heavily eased towards the line yet still winning by almost two lengths. Todays race will be a much sterner test given the opposition but on the evidence of his maiden he looked to be a class horse in the making and should be capable of taking this before moving on to bigger and better races.

IWAC: Kilbree Chief 9/2 (WH) – Ayr 14:55 – 2pts win Lost (SP 10/3) -2pts

Kilbree Chief is a a previous course and distance winner who takes a drop in class for todays race and is effectively 4lbs below his last winning mark if taking in to account jockey Blair Campbell’s 7lbs claim. Trainer Lucinda Russell has had a couple of winners over the weekend so is starting to show a bit of form and at the early odds her runner looks to provide a bit of value against the hot favourite.


TUESDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

Suprise Vendor 9/2 (WH) – Ayr 16:00 WON (SP 6/1) 

Over To Sam 11/4 (sky) – Exeter 16:20 WON (SP 5/4)

Intransigent 7/1 (B365) – Kempton 15:05 WON (SP 9/1)


TUESDAY STATS RUNNERS….

AYR

S Smith has won 5 of her last 9 over fences in the last 2 weeks, a 55.55% winning strike rate. Jockey Danny Cook has a 57.14% winning strike rate when riding for S Smith over the same time period. They team up with 2 runners today, but only 1 over fences….

15:30 – Dick Darsie Lost

EXETER

H Fry 13 winners and 15 placed from 31 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Exeter, a 41.94% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£36.21 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs 3 over hurdles here today….

13:00 – Ridgeway Flyer 2nd

14:05 – New Vennture Lost

16:20 – Over To Sam WON

P Nicholls 16 winners and 15 placed from 45 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Exeter, a 35.56% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

15:50 – Contre Tous Lost


RESULTS….

17/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

16/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -0.45pts

15/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +23.78pts

14/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.3pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +6.89ptspts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Monday 16th January

NAP: Antiquarium 9/4 (B365) – Wolves 16:00 – 2pts win WON (SP 6/4) +4.5pts

Won the Northumberland Plate at Newcastle in June and also has winning form at Wolves earlier in his career. Trainer C Appleby has had 8 winners from his last 15 runners, has won 4 from 9 at Wolves in the last 12 months and when teamed up with jockey A Kirby they have a winning strike rate of 29.41% in the last 12 months.

NB: Hartforth 5/1 (B365) – Ayr 14:10 – 2pts win Lost (SP 14/1) -2pts

Course and distance winner on heavy ground last time out and has made the frame in all 3 previous CD runs. 40% winning strike rate at Ayr (2 wins, 2 placed from 5 runs) and has jockey C Whillans on board who has a 42% winning strike rate at the course in the last 12 months.

IWAC: Leg Iron 20/1 e/w (B365) – Plumpton 15:05 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 16/1) -2pts

Has an excellent record over course and distance with 2 wins and 3 2nds from 5runs. Last two runs have seen him pulled up however both were in higher grades and the last time he encountered a Class 4 he was a 4 length winner over course and distance on soft ground. Trainer has had 5 winners and 4 placed from 15 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Plumpton.

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -0.95pts

NAP 9/4 WON

NB 5/1 Lost

Bella 7/4 – Ayr 13:40 Lost

Heavy ground winner and has an excellent record over a 2mile trip, winning 3 from 5. Was a 9 length winner of a 2 mile Class 4 off a mark of 119 the last time he encountered heavy ground, races off 118 today and has both distance and conditions to suit.

Royal Etiquette 5/2 – Plumpton 16:10 2nd

33/1 2nd last time out, on first run over hurdles since 2015. Trainer Lawney Hill has sent 6 runners to Plumpton in the last 12 months, returning with 4 winners and a placed effort.


Really like the chances of this one, however the price doesn’t appeal in terms of a single for the blog P/L:

Draw Swords 5/4 (B365) – Wolves 14:20 Lost

½ length 2nd last time out but over 4 lengths clear of 3rd and will benefit from the slightly shorter trip here. J Gosden 37.5% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Wolves and jockey R Havlin +£45.53 level stakes profit & 25% winning strike rate when riding for J Gosden in the last 12 months.


RESULTS….

16/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -0.45pts

15/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +23.78pts

14/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.3pts

12/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +8pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.89ptspts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Sunday 15th January

NAP: Teo Vivo 7/2 (B365) – Kelso 14:10 – 2pts win WON (SP 5/2) +7pts

NB: Laid Back Luke 3/1 (coral) – Fairyhouse 15:30 – 2pts win WON (SP 4/1) +8pts

IWAC: Pairofbrowneyes 7/1 (coral) – Fairyhouse 14:30 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 6/1) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (coral best price) +10.78pts

NAP 7/2 WON

NB 3/1 WON (SP 4/1)

IWAC 7/1 2nd

Black Thunder 7/4 – Kelso 15:40 WON


RESULTS….

15/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +23.78pts

14/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.3pts

12/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +8pts

11/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +1.34ptspts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Saturday 14th January

NAP: Champers On Ice 3/1 (B365) – Warwick 13:50 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 15/8) -2pts

3rd in last years’ Albert Bartlett and returned a 27 length winner over today’s trip in similar conditions on chase debut last month. Has a 50% winning strike rate across all codes over a 3 mile trip.

NB: Peregrine Run 11/4 (sky) – Warwick 15:00 – 2pts win Lost (SP 11/2) -2pts

Unbeaten in his last 4 and is 2 from 2 over today’s trip. Ground conditions a slight worry but brings the best form in to the race having beaten subsequent Grade 2 winner Wholestone at Cheltenham when last seen.

IWAC: Will O The West 20/1 (PP) – Kempton 14:40 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 12/1) -2pts

Made the frame in 5 from 8 over hurdles, including a ¼ length 3rd in a tough looking handicap at Cheltenham on penultimate run. Trainer has a 66% winning strike rate at Kempton in the last 12 months and jockey has a 26% strike rate when riding for the trainer in the last 12 months.

EW LUCKY 15: 1.5pts e/w (3pts total) – BV best price +1.7pts

Lough Derg Leader 13/2 – Warwick 14:25 Lost

Will O The West 20/1 – Kempton 14:40 Lost

Definite Ruby 6/1 – Punchestown 15:20 WON (SP 20/1)

Rigadin De Beauchene 20/1 – Warwick 15:35 Lost


SATURDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

Overtown Express 13/8 (B365) – Warwick 13:15 WON

Sew On Target 4/1 (sky) – Wetherby 14:15 Lost

Refused A Name 8/1 (BV) – Punchestown 13:00 Lost


SATURDAY STATS RUNNERS….

KEMPTON

N Henderson 12 wins & 8 placed from 33 in the last 3 years over fences at Kempton, a 36.36% winning strike rate, and runs 3 over fences here today….

12:55 – Ericht

14:05 – Vaniteux

15:15 – Volnay De Thaix

C Tizzard 6 wins & 12 placed from 26 in the last 3 years over fences at Kempton, a 23.04% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of £34.10 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs 2 over fences here today….

14:05 – Quite By Chance

15:15 – Sandy Beach

WARWICK

P Nicholls 5 wins & 7 placed from 13 in the last 3 years over fences at Warwick, a 38.48% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

15:35 – Vivaldi Collonges

D Skelton 6 wins & 6 placed from 17 in the last 3 years over fences at Warwick, a 35.29% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:50 – Captain Chaos

WETHERBY

D Skelton 8 wins & 7 placed from 22 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wetherby, a 36.36% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

13:40 – Dragon De La Tour

14:50 – Applesandpierres


RESULTS….

14/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.3pts

12/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +8pts

11/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -22.44pts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Thursday 12th January

NAP: Olivers Hill 5/2 (BV) – Leicester 14:10 – 2pts win Lost (SP 5/1) -2pts

Won last two in impressive fashion, both here at Leicester, beating much higher rated opposition on both occasions. Horse and trainer in-form, and jockey has a 50% winning strike rate at the course in the last 12 months.

NB: Italian Riviera 3/1 (coral) – Catterick 15:50 – 2pts win WON (SP 11/4) +6pts

Won 3 from 4 since joining K Slack and looked to have been sent out too soon when only 4th last time out. Given a month off to recover since, is unbeaten in two runs at Catterick and his trainer boasts a strike rate of 3 wins and 6 placed from 10 runners in the last 3 years over hurdles at the track.

IWAC: Whatmore 20/1 (B365) – Leicester 15:40 – 1pt e/w 2nd (SP 16/1) +4pts

Improved with each career run to date and makes hurdles debut for trainer H D Daly who has only sent 5 runners over hurdles at Leicester in the last 3 years, producing 3 winners and a placed effort for a 60% winning strike rate. (Same trainer at the same course as our 100/1 winner in December).


RESULTS….

12/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +8pts

11/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

10/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

09/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +4pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -18.14pts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts