Wednesday 1st February

No joy with Tuesday’s NAP, finished very strongly for 2nd but couldn’t quite reel in the winner and ended up going down by a length. 

Struggling a little bit for time with regards to Wednesday but I have had a go on the below Lucky 15 so we’ll begin the month with just 1.5pts staked on the Lucky 15…. let’s hope we can get off to a winning start!!  UPDATE I’ve popped up a NAP & NB on #TippingTeam so it’s only right that they go up on the blog too…..

NAP: Chef D’Oeuvre 4/1 (B365) – Hereford 14:00 – 2pts win WON (SP 15/8) +8pts

NB: Colins Brother 10/3 (sky) – Hereford 15:00 – 2pts win Lost (SP 11/4) -2pts

Lucky 15: 1.5pts total win +5.6pts


RESULTS….

1/2/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11.6pts

31/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -2pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.41spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +532.90pts

Tuesday 31st January

NAP: Dormouse 5/1 (B365) – Lingfield 14:25 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 6/1) -2pts

Dormouse has recorded three wins and a close second from four attempts over course and distance, all on heavy ground. One of these came in a Class 3 off a mark of 114 and another came in a Class 4 off a mark of 117 so even though his recent form hasn’t been anything special a return to a course he excels at off a mark of 105 looks too big an opportunity to pass up.


RESULTS….

31/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -2pts

30/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.1pts

29/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11.05pts

28/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +7pts

26/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11pts

25/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +8.45pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.41spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +237.55pts

Monday 30th January

NAP: Royal Salute 5/2 (B365) – Plumpton 15:50 – 2pts win WON (SP 9/4) +5pts

NB: Tap Night 5/1 (laddys) – Ayr 16:00 – 2pts win Lost (SP 7/2) -2pts

IWAC: Clondaw Bisto (9/2) – Plumpton 14:45 – 2pts win Lost (SP 9/2) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (coral best price) -0.9pts

NAP 5/2 WON

NB 5/1 Lost

IWAC 9/2 Lost

Moonshine Ridge 11/2 – Southwell 13:30 Lost


RESULTS….

30/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.1pts

29/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11.05pts

28/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +7pts

26/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11pts

25/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +8.45pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +14.41spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Sunday 29th January

NAP: Spiculas 2/1 (B365) – Sedgefield 13:20 – 2pts win Lost (SP 9/4) -2pts

NB: Golden Birthday 4/1 (BV) – Fontwell 15:10 – 2pts win Lost (SP 11/4) -2pts

IWAC: Mr Bachster 8/1 (B365) – Fontwell 15:40 – 2pts win WON (SP 5/1) +16pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (BV best price) -0.95pts

NAP 2/1 Lost

NB 4/1 Lost

Applesandpierres 9/4 – Sedgefield 13:50 Lost

Special Catch 9/4 – Sedgefield 15:20 WON


RESULTS….

29/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11.05pts

28/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +7pts

26/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11pts

25/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +8.45pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +14.31spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Saturday 28th January

NAP: Give Me A Copper 15/8 (PP) – Doncaster 13:25 – 2pts win Lost (SP 5/4) -2pts

NB: Wholestone 11/2 (PP) – Cheltenham 15:25 – 2pts win WON (SP 11/4) +11pts

IWAC: Auvergnat 8/1 (B365) – Cheltenham 14:50 – 2pts win Lost (SP 5/1) -2pts


ITV4 TV RACES….

Cheltenham 13:10

Robin Dickins’ ten year old Thomas Crapper was only fifth behind Shantou Flyer last time out but meets his rival with a 9lbs swing and is now 3lbs below his last winning mark. He should appreciate the expected better ground conditions and has ran some excellent races at Cheltenham in the past, winning twice and placing three times from twelve runs. With winning form over the trip an good course form to boot he looks a decent each way option in a competitive opening to today’s tv races.

Thomas Crapper (E/W) – Lost

Doncaster 13:35

Paul Nicholls also has an excellent record with his runners here at Doncaster with six winners from fourteen in the last twelve months and sends an unbeaten runner for this race. Give Me A Copper has won a point-to-point, a bumper, and opened his account for the yard with a fourteen length victory at Exeter in December. With no concerns over stamina and impressive victories to date he is the selection here.

Give Me A Copper – Lost

Cheltenham 13:45

No doubt Un De Sceaux should be winning this but at the prices I am opting for Uxizandre who, although is returning from a near two year absence, was last seen winning the Ryanair Chase in 2015 and has an excellent record at Cheltenham with two wins and a second from three runs. Furthermore, jockey Barry Geraghty was on board for his course and distance success and has a 58% winning strike rate when riding for Alan King over the last twelve months so looks worthy of a small each way play against the short-priced favourite.

Uxizandre (E/W) – 2nd (SP 12/1)

Cheltenham 14:15

Colin Tizzard’s early Gold Cup favourite Thistlecrack is unbeaten since going over the larger obstacles and has improved his jumping with each of his four chase victories, proving himself at the highest level with a win in the King George on Boxing Day. He has an excellent record at Cheltenham and has won six from seven over the trip so despite the short odds cannot be opposed.

Thistlecrack – 2nd

Cheltenham 14:50

Enda Bolger has an excellent record in cross-country chases at Cheltenham, having won the cross-country race at the festival five times since its inception in 2005, so any runner he sends to these races requires plenty of respect. He sends two here today with Cantlow at the head of the market and Auvergnat available at at early each way odds. Cantlow is proven over course and distance and has won his last two but has a 7lbs rise to contend with and at the prices my preference is for Auvergnat who ran an excellent race when just five lengths behind Cantlow, on what was his first attempt on a cross-country track, when third over course and distance in December. With that experience under his belt and improvement likely, he looks to be the one to follow.

Auvergnat (E/W) – Lost

Doncaster 15:05

Vroum Vroum Mag should have no problems accounting for these but the price reflects that. Instead I will opt for Coillte Lass who is unbeaten in three since joining Paul Nicholls and was a ready winner of a listed contest at Taunton when last seen. She looks to have both the strongest form and progressive profile of the rest of the field and therefore is taken as an each way option with five runners meaning a second placed effort should pay more than backing the favourite to win.

Coillte Lass (E/W) – Lost

Cheltenham 15:25

Kimberlite Candy and Topofthegame both step up in class looking to keep their respective unbeaten records intact, with preference of the two being for Tom Lacey’s Kimberlite Candy, but in such a competitive looking Grade 2 race I am opting for Wholestone who has won over todays’ trip, has won two from three at Cheltenham and is proven at this level having won a Grade 2 when last seen in December.

Wholestone – Won

Doncaster 15:40

Ballyboker Breeze has won four from seven over similar trips to what he encounters today and since falling on debut has since finished in the first three places in all ten runs. He has won two from three over fences since joining Nicky Richards and looks to be progressing well so looks a decent each way option at early double figure odds.

Ballyboker Breeze (E/W) – Lost

Cheltenham 16:00

We finally arrive at the last of an incredible nine races live on ITV4 and get to see the Harry Fry trained Uknowwhatimeanharry once again take on Nigel Twiston-Davies’ runner Ballyoptic. They have locked horns twice in the last couple of months with Uknowhatimeanharry emerging victorious on both occasions. Unbeaten in seven races since joining the Fry yard and seemingly improving with each run, the nine year old is once again taken to come out on top especially when considering Ballyoptic has fallen twice in his last three runs.

Kotkikova could only manage fifth in the Christmas hurdle but that was his first run since April 2016 and that race has since produced the first, second and third in a Grade 2 at Gowran Park earlier this week so the form looks pretty strong. He has won ten of his thirteen career runs so obviously has a lot of ability and should be fitter for his comeback run so looks a decent each way option at early double figure odds.

Uknowhatimeanharry & Kotkikova (E/W) – WON & Lost


RESULTS….

28/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +7pts

26/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11pts

25/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +8.45pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.26spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Friday 27th January

Nice to have a couple of days in profit to give us a fighting chance of finishing January with a positive result. Have had a good look through Friday’s cards and genuinely cannot find anything that I am confident enough in to consider putting up as main selections, so will be following the stats runners but keping my £’s in my pocket ready for what promises to be an excellent Saturday of racing!

FRIDAY STATS RUNNERS….

HUNTINGDON

A King 23.81% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Huntingdon, and runs 3 here today….

12:30 – Midnight Maestro & Sir Antony Browne

15:30 – Awesome Rosie

A King 38.46% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Huntingdon, and runs just 1 here today….

13:30 – Winner Massagot

N Henderson 38.89% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Huntingdon, and runs 3 here today….

12:30 – Percy Street

14:30 – Kotkitova

15:00 – Volnay De Thaix

DONCASTER

N Henderson 47.06% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Doncaster, and runs 3 here today….

13:25 – Minstrel Royal

15:55 – Premier Bond

16:25 – Wenyerreadyfreddie

B Pauling 50% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Doncaster, and runs 2 here today….

13:55 – Paddys Field

16:25 – Markov

P Nicholls 38.46% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Doncaster, and runs just 1 here today….

16:25 – Brio Conti


RESULTS….

26/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11pts

25/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +8.45pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.26spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Thursday 26th January

NAP: Dino Velvet 11/4 (B365) – Warwick 12:55 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 7/4) -2pts

NB: Tumbaga 11/4 (PP) – Meydan 17:25 – 2pts win Lost (SP 6/5) -2pts

IWAC: Fly At Dawn 15/2 (sky) – Meydan 16:15 – 2pts win WON (SP 13/2) +15pts

MEYDAN

14:20 – Sniper De Monlau 4/1 (sky) Lost

15:05 – Khusoosy 16/1 (coral) Lost

15:40 – Promising Run 6/1 (coral) WON

16:15 – Fly At Dawn 15/2 (sky) WON

16:50 – Realtra 11/2 (coral) Lost

17:25 – Tumbaga 11/4 (PP) Lost

18:00 – Jungle Cat 9/2 (B365) 2nd


RESULTS….

26/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +11pts

25/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +8.45pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.26spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Wednesday 25th January

NAP: Alinstante 3/1 (B365) – Lingfield 15:15 – 2pts win NR

NB: Tara Mist 4/1 (B365) – Ludlow 16:00 – 2pts win WON (SP 3/1) +8pts

IWAC: Ballymountain Boy 5/1 (B365) – Ludlow 13:45 – 2pts win 3rd (SP 3/1) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (best price) +2.45pts

NAP 3/1 NR

NB 4/1 WON

IWAC 5/1 3rd

Captain Dion 11/8 – Newcastle 18:15 WON


WEDNESDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

Erissimus Maximus 7/2 (laddys) – Newcastle 18:45

Big Windmill 6/1 (PP) – Ludlow 15:25


WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS….

CATTERICK

Jockey Aidan Coleman 5 wins & 3 placed from 8 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Catterick, a 62.5% winning strike rate and 100% place strike rate (has won 2 from 2 in the last 12 months at Catterick), and rides 2 over hurdles here today….

13:25 – Test Pilot

14:30 – Pillard

Trainer J O’Neill 3 wins & 4 placed from 10 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Catterick, a 30% winning strike rate & 70% place strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today (both ridden by Aidan Coleman)….

13:25 – Test Pilot

14:30 – Pillard

Trainer M Easterby 2 wins & 2 placed from 6 in the last 3 years over fences at Catterick, a 33.3% winning strike rate & 66.7% place strike rate, and runs 3 over fences here today….

15:05 – Chasma & Cactus Valley

15:40 – Lightening Rod

LUDLOW

T George 13 wins & 16 placed from 39 in the last 3 years over fences at Ludlow, a 33.3% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£21 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

15:25 – Big Windmill

P Hobbs 11 wins & 12 placed from 33 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow, a 33.3% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

14:50 – Shambougg


RESULTS….

25/1/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +8.45pts

24/01/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

23/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -15.26spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Tuesday 24th January

An extremely frustrating day on Monday with the NAP, NB and IWAC all heavily supported yet all 3 failing to deliver! Hopefully a better day in the offing on Tuesday, lets see how we get on.

NAP: Miss Mash 7/2 (B365) – Leicester 16:20 – 2pts win Lost (SP 3/1) -2pts

An impressive twelve length winner over a slightly shorter trip on penultimate run and although she couldn’t follow up under penalty a week later she’s been given a few weeks to recover and returns in what looks to be an easier race. She has ground conditions to suit again here and her trainer Henry Daly has an excellent record over hurdles at Leicester with three wins and two placed from six in the last three years.

NB: L’inganno Felice 2/1 (sky) – Southwell 15:40 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 15/8) -2pts

Won his last two including a seven length victory over course and distance last time out, with third place a further eight lengths behind. Up 7lbs but looked to have more in the locker and the main danger also has a weight rise to contend with.

IWAC: Dartford Warbler 15/2 (B365) – Wetherby 15:30 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 16/5) -2pts

Recent form hasn’t been anything too special however he has only raced over hurdles so far this season and today sees a return to the larger obstacles off a 6lbs lower mark than when runner-up in this race last year. His last victory came over fences and he has made the frame four times over similar trips to today so looks to be a bit of value at early each way odds with three places on offer.


TUESDAY STATS RUNNERS….

WETHERBY

W Greatrex 9 wins & 10 placed from 29 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wetherby, a 31% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

16:00 – Rockportian 

LEICESTER

J Groucott 3 wins & 1 placed from 4 in the last 3 years over fences at Leicester, a 75% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:50 – Midnight Jade (probable NR)

D Pipe 4 wins & 4 placed from 9 in the last 3 years over fences at Leicester, a 44.44% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

14:20 – La Vaticane

H D Daly 3 wins & 2 placed from 6 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Leicester, a 50% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

16:20 – Miss Mash


RESULTS….

24/01/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

23/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -23.71spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts

Monday 23rd January

NAP: Maxed Out King 15/8 (PP) – Newcastle 14:10 – 2pts win Lost (SP 4/5) -2pts

NB: Bigirononhiship 7/2 (PP) – Newcastle 15:10 – 2pts win Refused to race (SP 7/4) -2pts

IWAC: Tangramm 9/2 (PP) – Wolves 16:30 – 2pts win Lost (SP 5/2) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (PP best price) -1.5pts

NAP 15/8 Lost

NB 7/2 Refused to race

IWAC 9/2 Lost

Halcyon Days 5/2 – Newcastle 16:10 3rd


MONDAY STATS RUNNERS….

BANGOR

H D Daly 5 wins & 4 placed from 16 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Bangor, a 31.25% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

13:50 – Back To The Hatch

W Greatrex 5 wins & 7 placed from 16 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Bangor, a 31.25% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

13:50 – Kings Tempest

14:20 – Bobs Boy

N Twiston-Davies 5 wins & 6 placed from 16 in the last 3 years over fences at Bangor, a 31.25% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over fences here today….

14:50 – Hollow Blue Sky

15:20 – Allthgear No Idea

A King 8 wins & 6 placed from 21 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Bangor, a 38.1% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

14:20 – Timoteo

NEWCASTLE

B Ellison 4 wins & 5 placed from 15 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Newcastle, a 26.67% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

14:40 – Sun Spider


RESULTS….

23/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

22/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: 0pts

21/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.05pts

20/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

19/01/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.4pts

JANUARY 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -17.71spts

DECEMBER 2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +80.08pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +225.14pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +520.49pts