HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!

Just a quick note to say a massive HAPPY NEW YEAR to all followers and a big thanks for all the support and positive messages throughout 2017.

Safe to say that this year has been a bit of a rollercoaster – we have seen some amazing performances from some much-loved favourites and have had to say goodbye to some legends of our game.

There have been some good months, a couple of extremely frustrating months, and a couple where we’ve well and truly hit the crossbar…. ultimately finishing the year with +76.17pts profit.

On to 2018 we go, lets make it a GREAT one!!!

P.S out on the beers to celebrate my birthday and the New Year tonight so selections for tomorrow may be up a little later than usual 🙂

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Sunday 31st December

NAP Mystique Moon 2/1 (B365) – Lingfield 13:45 Lost -2pts

With four winners from fourteen in 2017 for Charlie Appleby, his runners are always worthy of a second glance at Lingfield. He runs Mystique Moon here, who won his first two before a solid second to a subsequent Listed winner (four lengths clear of third). With just the three runs under his belt he is capable of further improvement and should be able to take this on the way to bigger things.

NB Millicent Silver 7/2 (sky) – Warwick 14:05 Lost -2pts

A three-time winner on heavy ground and twice a winner on return from a break, Millicent Silver returns to hurdling following a couple of disappointing efforts over lager obstacles at the end of last season. 8lbs claimer on board, leaving the 8-year-old mare on a potentially handy mark.

3B Wildflower 9/2 (B365) – Lingfield 14:50 Lost -2pts

Wildflower won over course and distance on penultimate run and has put in a couple of solid performances since switching back to an all-weather surface. Just 1lbs above last winning mark and with Rossa Ryan back in the saddle, she could be capable of victory here.

NAP – 2pts win

NB – 2pts win

3B – 2pts win

TOTAL PTS STAKED – 6pts


MONTHLY RESULTS….

31/12/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

DECEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -9.87pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +596.66pts

Saturday 30th December

NAP Ravensdale 2/1 (B365) – Haydock 13:00 Lost -2pts

  • Won on hurdles debut in heavy ground at Haydock earlier this month
  • Both trainer & jockey have good strike rates at the course

NB Thomas Patrick 7/2 (sky) – Haydock 13:35 Lost -2pts

  • Improved for the step up in trip when winning over 23f at Exeter in November
  • Solid 2nd at Haydock in heavy ground last time out
  • Trainer in excellent form, 4 winners from 9 in the last 2 weeks

3B Brave Eagle 7/2 (B365) – Newbury 13:50 WON +7pts

  • 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 runs over hurdles to date, both victories coming in testing conditions
  • Trainer & jockey both in excellent recent form

NAP – 2pts win

NB – 2pts win

3B – 2pts win

TOTAL PTS STAKED – 6pts


MONTHLY RESULTS….

30/12/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3pts

DECEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -3.87pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +86.04pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +606.53pts

Wednesday 27th December

NAP Brandon Hill 10/3 (Whill) – Kempton 15:05 Lost -2pts

  • Won 3 from 6 over a 3 mile trip
  • A Heskin 30% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course
  • Trainer T George won this race in 2014 & 2016

NB Famous Milly 11/4 (SJ) – Chepstow 14:10 NR

  • 17 length winner at Listed level last time out
  • Both career victories have come in very testing conditions
  • Jockey R T Dunne 2 wins from 2 when riding for G P Cromwell in 2017

IWAC Mysteree 12/1 e/w (sky – 6 places) – Chepstow 14:50 NR

  • Made the frame in 8 from 10 when racing on soft/heavy ground
  • Won on 1st run of the season for the last 3 years

4B Duke Of Navan 10/3 (sky) – Wetherby 14:05 2nd -1pt

  • Last victory came in a Listed contest off 139, races today off 140 but jockey Ryan Day claims 3lbs
  • Trainer N Richards 6 wins & 3 placed from 16 runners in the last 12 months at Wetherby

NAP – 2pts win

NB – 2pts win

IWAC – 1pt e/w

4B – 1pt win

TOTAL STAKED – 7pts


MONTHLY RESULTS….

28/12/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -2pts

27/12/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -3pts

DECEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -6.87pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +86.04pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +606.53pts

Sunday 26th December – BOXING DAY!!

NAP Mia’s Storm 5/2 (B365, sky, coral) – Kempton 13:55 Lost -2pts

Black Corton and Bryony Frost have built up an excellent partnership this season and didn’t go down without a fight last time out. It would be a surprise if they weren’t in the mix at the business end of the race, however for my selection I’m going for Mia’s Storm who has now won her last three, is unbeaten over a three-mile trip, was a convincing thirteen-length winner at Listed level when last seen and with only two previous runs over fences is capable of further improvement.

NB Bristol De Mai 4/1 (coral, boyles) – Kempton 15:05 Lost -2pts

Bristol De Mai has put in two excellent performances this season, winning the Grade 2 Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby and following up with the Grade 1 Betfair Chase at Haydock. The Charlie Hall Chase in-particular looks decent form with both Blaklion (2nd) and Definitly Red (3rd) winning since, so although Mite Bite is the one to beat I think Nigel Twiston-Davies’ runner could serve it up to the favourite here.

IWAC Reigning Supreme 11/2 (B365, SJ) – Kempton 13:20 Lost -2pts

Reigning Supreme returns from a nine month break to make his chase debut but is likely to have been well schooled by trainer Nicky Henderson and with both trainer and jockey in excellent recent form and boasting impressive strike rates at the course he could offer a bit of value against the expected market principles.

LUCKY 15 (coral best price) Lost -1.5pts

NAP 5/2 Lost

NB 4/1 Lost

IWAC 5/1 Lost

Delusionofgrandeur 11/2 – Wetherby 14:10 3rd

Put in a fantastic round of jumping and stayed on well to win by almost five lengths last time out and also won over course and distance earlier in the year. He has won 40% of all races over fences, all on good-to-soft or soft ground and all over trips of around three miles so looks capable of another big run here.

NAP – 2pts win

NB – 2pts win

IWAC – 2pts win

L15 – 1.5pts win

TOTAL STAKED – 7.5pts


SHORTLISTED RUNNERS

Kempton

12:45 – If The Cap Fits

15:40 – Kildisart

Wetherby

12:00 – Cockley Beck

13:30 – Moorlands Mist

14:45 – Ryedale Racer

15:20 – Royal Beekeeper

Market Rasen

13:45 – Running Wolf

Sedgefield

13:00 – The Dubai Way

14:05 – Whitsundays

14:40 – Ange Des Malberaux

Wincanton

13:30 – Bastien

14:05 – Krakatoa King

Leopardstown

14:55 – Landofhopeandglory


MONTHLY RESULTS….

26/12/17 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

DECEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -1.87pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +86.04pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +606.53pts

Blog update – Sunday 24th December

 

Hi All!! Thanks for visiting the site, I hope you like the new layout with separate pages/headers for each section within the site. These can be seen in the taskbar above for anyone on a PC, or via the dropdown menu’s for anyone on their mobiles – please feel free to provide feedback, either good or constructive, so that further updates can be made if necessary.

This main page will now be used to show the main selections for the day, although may also include shortlisted runners that I like the look of but have decided not to include as main selections. The ones I advise to back, which will contribute towards the monthly results at the bottom of this page, will all be clearly marked using the points system we have used previously to good effect. All other pages – stats runners, jockey-watch, trainer-watch & the 25 jumps to follow – are there to provide information/help/guidance but, unless they are also listed as main selections on this page, will not contribute towards the monthly results (win or lose).

Boxing Day selections will be added to the blog as soon as I am happy with the write-ups and we have prices available…. but for now I would like to say thanks again for the support and positive messages throughout the year – as some of you are aware there is just one person behind @SimplyHorseTips and the messages of support and thanks are what makes putting the time in worthwhile. I would like to wish you all a very MERRY CHRISTMAS and hope that you all have a fantastic time with family, friends & loved ones!! 


MONTHLY RESULTS….

23/12/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.4pts

DECEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.63pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +86.04pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +606.53pts

Saturday 23rd December

NAP Dubai Angel 15/8 (sky) – Newcastle 14:35 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

NB Ubaltique 4/1 (PP) – Haydock 13:35 – 2pts win WON +8pts

IWAC Go Conquer 8/1 e/w (PP – 4 places) – Ascot 15:00 – 1pt e/w Lost -2pts

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total (betfred best price) -0.6pts

NAP 7/4 Lost

NB 4/1 WON

Unowhatimeanharry 9/4 – Ascot 14:25 Lost

Three Faces West 3/1 – Haydock 15:45 Lost


SATURDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNERS

ASCOT

13:50 – Theo’s Charm 8/1 e/w (B365) Lost

14:25 – Unowhatimeanharry 15/8 (B365) Lost

15:00 – Go Conquer 8/1 e/w (PP – 4 places) Lost

15:35 – Verdana Blue 8/1 e/w (PP – 5 places)

HAYDOCK

12:25 – Born Survivor 6/4 (B365) Lost

13:00 – Little Pippin 150/1 e/w (B365 – 2 places) Lost

13:35 – Ubaltique 4/1 (PP) WON

14:45 – Three Faces West 3/1 (B365) Lost

NEWCASTLE

14:35 – Dubai Angel 15/8 (sky) Lost


SATURDAY STATS RUNNERS

ASCOT

H Fry 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ascot….

14:25 – Unowhatimeanharry Lost

15:35 – Air Horse One

HAYDOCK

D McCain Jnr 27% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Haydock….

12:25 – Testify WON

13:35 – Ubaltique WON

T George 44% winning strike in the last 3 years over hurdles at Haydock….

14:10 – KK Lexion Lost

NEWCASTLE

T Lacey 60% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Newcastle….

11:45 – Snapdragon Fire 3rd

M Jefferson 60% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Newcastle….

14:35 – Dubai Angel Lost

Jockey S Fox 30% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£23.25 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Newcastle….

14:00 –Bering Upsun Lost


MONTHLY RESULTS….

23/12/17 PROFIT/LOSS: +3.4pts

DECEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.63pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +86.04pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +606.53pts