BOXING DAY!!!

Afternoon All!! I hope you are all enjoying your Christmas!! Tomorrow’s selections up nice and early as I’ll be having a drink or two once the turkey is ready and all the kids toys are built!!

Plenty of racing to get through as always on a Boxing Day (and the week ahead), some amazing prospects on show and hopefully a few pointers towards Cheltenham over the next few days. As always, remember to keep stake sensible and enjoy the racing!

NAP: Grove Silver 7/2 (B365) – Market Rasen 14:20 – 2pts win Lost (SP 4/1) -2pts

NB: Moorstown 4/1 (sky) – Wetherby 12:40 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

IWAC: Zoffany’s Pride 8/1 (PP) – Limerick 12:25 – 2pts win Lost (SP 10/1) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win – Sky best price -1.5pts

NAP 7/2 Lost

NB 4/1 Lost

Outspoken 2/1 – Leopardstown 12:15 Lost

Better Days 2/1 – Huntingdon 14:30 Lost

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win – PP best price -1.5pts

Hi Bob 11/4 – Sedgefield 12:00 Lost

Gold Present 7/2 – Kempton 13:30 Lost

Stilo Blue Native 4/1 – Sedgefield 14:45 Lost

Pongo Twistleton 9/2 – Wetherby 15:35 Lost

EW LUCKY 15: 1.5pts e/w (3pts total) – PP best price -0.53pts

Zoffany’s Pride 8/1 – Limerick 12:25 Lost

Chakisto 7/1 – Wincanton 13:40 WON

Fiddlers Flight 6/1 – Sedgefield 14:10 NR

Bon Enfant 8/1 – Wetherby 14:25 Lost


Below you will find a Boxing Day shortlist and the stats runners too…. remember these are guides only, I do not allocate points to these as they are not the main tips (unless also listed above) – merely horses that I think have a half-decent chance or are runners from yards who traditionally do well at certain tracks.

Kempton

12:55 – Jenkins 8/15 (coral)

13:30 – Gold Present 7/2 (PP)

Leopardstown

12:15 – Outspoken 9/4 (B365)

13:50 – Dawerann 13/2 (sky)

14:20 – Min 4/5 (Whill)

Wetherby

12:10 – The Nipper 5/6 B365)

14:25 – Bon Enfant 8/1 (B365)

15:35 – Pongo Twistleton 5/1 (coral)

Sedgefield

12:00 – Hi Bob 11/4 (B365)

14:10 – Fiddlers Flight 13/2 (betfred)

14:45 – Stilo Blue Native 4/1 (sky)

15:20 – Ballyvic Boru 7/4 (B365)

Limerick

12:25 – Zoffany’s Pride 8/1 (PP)

13:25 – Without Limites 4/1 (PP)

Fontwell

13:45 – Bertenbar 4/1 (B365)

Huntingdon

14:30 – Better Days 2/1 (laddys)

Market Rasen

12:35 – London Prize 6/4 (sky)

Wincanton

13:40 – Chakisto 7/1 (B365)

14:15 – The Eaglehaslanded 8/1 (sky)


BOXING DAY STATS RUNNERS….

WETHERBY

W Greatrex 9 wins & 8 placed from 25 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wetherby, a 36% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:10 – The Nipper

14:25 – Bon Enfant

J O’Neill 10 wins & 8 placed from 28 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wetherby, a 35.71% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

15:35 – Pongo Twistleton

C Longsdon 3 wins & 4 placed from 12 in the last 3 years over fences at Wetherby, a 25% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:50 – Our Kaempher

MARKET RASEN

D Skelton 12 wins & 13 placed from 44 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Market Rasen, a 27.27% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:35 – Bandsman

15:30 – Cobra De Mai

HUNTINGDON

N Henderson 11 wins & 6 placed from 28 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Huntingdon, a 39.29% winning strike rate, and runs 3 over hurdles here today….

12:15 – River Of Intrigue

12:45 – Rather Be & Magic Bullet

FONTWELL

D Skelton 7 wins & 4 placed from 11 in the last 3 years over fences at Fontwell, a 58.33% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:45 – Bertenbar

N Mulholland 11 wins & 13 placed from 38 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Fontwell, a 28.95% winning strike rate and level stakes profit of +£26.54 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:05 – Mrs Burbidge

12:35 – Dusty Raven

P Nicholls 6 wins & 9 placed from 19 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Fontwell, a 31.58% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:35 – Santemilion

13:10 – Self Control

SEDGEFIELD

K Slack 8 wins & 6 placed from 14 in the last 3 years over fences at Sedgefield, a 57.14% winning strike rate & 100% place strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

12:00 – Hi Bob

K Slack 9 wins & 7 placed from 32 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Sedgefield, a 28.31% winning strike rate & 50% place strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

13:05 – Pen Her In

K Reveley 7 wins & 5 placed from 15 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Sedgefield, a 46.67% winning strike rate & 75% place strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

13:05 – After Tonight

KEMPTON

N Henderson 20 wins & 32 placed from 76 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Kempton, a 26.32% winning strike rate, and runs 3 over hurdles here today….

12:55 – Jenkins (N Henderson won this race 3 times in the last 5 years)

14:40 – My Tent Or Yours (MTOY won race in 2013 & N Henderson has won race 4 times in the last 6 years)

15:45 – Omessa Has

N Henderson 12 wins & 9 placed from 35 in the last 3 years over fences at Kempton, a 34.29% winning strike rate, and runs 4 over fences here today….

13:30 – Gold Present (N Henderson won this race 5 times in the last 9 years)

14:05 – Caracci Apache & Might Bight

15:15 – Josses Hill

C Gordon 5 wins & 6 placed from 16 in the last 3 years over fences at Kempton, a 31.25% winning strike rate and level stakes profit of +£33.43 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:30 – Remiluc

WINCANTON

C Tizzard 11 wins & 19 placed from 41 in the last 3 years over fences at Wincanton, a 26.83% winning strike rate and level stakes profit of +£27.33 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs 2 over fences here today….

13:05 – Dusky Lark

15:25 Bears Rails

P Nicholls 37 wins & 31 placed from 92 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wincanton, a 40.22% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

14:15 – The Eaglehaslanded & Mr Mix

J Snowden 3 wins & 3 placed from 10 in the last 3 years over fences at Wincanton, a 30% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over fences here today….

14:50 – Mollyanna

15:25 – Ardkilly Witness


RESULTS….

26/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -9.53pts

22/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.4pts

21/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -35.09pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +68.59pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +145.06pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +440.41pts

MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!

Wishing all followers a very MERRY CHRISTMAS!!! Enjoy the few days away from the horses, spending time with family and friends, hopefully enjoying a drink or two and a tasty bird!!

I will be back on Boxing day to sift through the many meetings!!

Thursday 22nd December

NAP: Krackatoa King 5/2 (BV) – Bangor 13:05 – 2pts win Lost (sp 2/1) -2pts

NB: Going For Broke 10/3 (B365) – Bangor 13:35 – 2pts win Lost (sp 11/2) -2pts

IWAC: Kelsey 13/2 (B365) – Bangor 15:10 – 2pts win NR

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -1.4pts

NAP 9/4

NB 10/3

IWAC 13/2

Heiba 3/1 – Wolves 14:30


RESULTS….

22/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -5.4pts

21/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -25.56pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +68.59pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +145.06pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +440.41pts

Wednesday 21st December

NAP: Highway Storm 5/2 (B365) – Ffos Las 14:50 – 2pts win Lost (SP 3/1) -2pts

NB: Brillare Momento 4/1 (B365) – Ludlow 14:10 – 2pts win Lost (SP 5/2) -2pts

IWAC: Amazement 5/1 (B365 – Newcastle 13:30 – 2pts win Lost (SP 7/1) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -1.5pts

NAP 5/2 Lost

NB 4/1 Lost

Culture De Sivola 11/4 – Ffos Las 13:20 Lost

Sizing Platinum 4/1 – Ludlow 13:35 Lost


WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS….

FFOS LAS

R Curtis 12 wins & 5 placed from 25 in the last 3 years over fences at Ffos Las, a 48% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£38.71 to a £1 stake over the same time period, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

14:50 – Highway Storm 5/2 (B365) Lost

N Twiston-Davies 10 wins & 15 placed from 32 in the last 3 years over fences at Ffos Las, a 31.25% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

14:50 – Deputy Commander 11/4 (BV) Lost

LUDLOW

T George 13 wins & 17 placed from 38 in the last 3 years over fences at Ludlow, a 34.21% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over fences here today….

13:35 – Noche De Reyes 9/1 (coral) Lost

14:40 – Cernunnos 12/1 (Whill) Lost

P Hobbs 12 wins & 12 placed from 33 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow, a 36.36%% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

14:10 – Midnight Glory 9/1 (B365) Lost

N Henderson 9 wins & 12 placed from 32 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow, a 28.13%% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

12:35 – River Wylde 4/1 (PP) WON


RESULTS….

21/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

19/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

18/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

17/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -20.16pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +68.59pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +145.06pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +440.41pts

Tuesday 20th December

We’ve had a poor couple of days and the racing on Tuesday looks to be average at best, so with no stand out bets at prices I fancy I’ll be taking a day off. I’ve added my shortlist below as there are a couple I considered, but with each there is enough doubt to make me think it’s not worth any outlay today.

TUESDAY STATS & SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

TAUNTON

12:45 Scales (20/1) – Won over course and distance and has made the frame in all previous runs at the course. Needs to bounce back from a couple of poor runs but is back down to a mark of 105 which is the same mark as when beaten less than a length over todays’ trip at Warwick 12 months ago.

13:15 Volpone Jelois (6/4) & 13:45 Amore De Nuit (evens) – P Nicholls has a 30% winning strike rate at the course over the last 12 months and both his runners look to have decent chances however both look a little on the short side in terms of odds for a single.

15:20 Bus Named Desire (10/1) – Made the frame in 3 from 5 over the larger obstacles and her trainer has a 42% winning strike rate and level stakes profit of £41 to a £1 stake with his runners over fences here in the last three years

SOUTHWELL

14:30 Haaf A Sixpence (15/2) – Won on his only previous run at Southwell, has won three and placed in three from ten over seven furlongs and has a 60% career place strike rate for all runs on an all-weather surface. He has won in higher grades in the past and with jockey Hector Crouch claiming 3lbs he is effectively 2lbs below his win here at Southwell.


RESULTS….

19/12/2016 PROFiT/LOSS: -7.5pts

18/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

17/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -12.66pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +68.59pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +145.06pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +440.41pts

Monday 19th December

NAP: Robbing The Prey 2/1 (PP) – Ayr 12:50 – 2pts win 3rd (SP 4/6) -2pts

Placed twice over todays’ trip on soft ground and has improved with each run since joining J M Jefferson. Trainer has a 33% winning strike rate in the last 12 months at Ayr and has been in great recent from with a 30.7% winning strike rate over the last 2 weeks.

NB: Oscarteea 5/1 (laddys) – Hereford 14:40 – 2pts win Lost (SP 9/2) -2pts

2 wins and 2 placed from 6 over todays’ trip. A decent 2nd when last seen in Feb’16 (winner has won 3 from 4 since and the race has produced 2 other winners) and both career victories have come on return from similar breaks.

IWAC: Willie Hall 10/1 (PP) – Ayr 13:20 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 14/1) -2pts

Twice a winner over course and distance on heavy ground, and has made the frame in 6 from 8 at Ayr. Trainer L Harrison has a winning strike rate of 42.86% over fences in the last 3 years at Ayr.

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (PP best price) -1.5pts

NAP 2/1 3rd

NB 5/1 Lost

West Of The Edge 15/8 – Ayr 14:30 Lost

Lough Derg Walk 5/1 – Ayr 15:00 Lost


RESULTS….

19/12/2016 PROFiT/LOSS: -7.5pts

18/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

17/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -12.66pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +68.59pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +145.06pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +440.41pts


 

Sunday 18th December

NAP: Gurteen 7/2 (laddys) – Navan 13:20 – 2pts win 3rd (SP 7/2) -2pts

NB: Santiburi Spring 7/2 (B365) – Lingfield 13:30 – 2pts win Lost (SP 7/2) -2pts


SUNDAY STATS RUNNERS….

12/1 and 6/5 winners from yesterday’s stats runners, along with placed efforts at 8/1 and 6/1. Hopefully more of the same from the stats on Sunday.

Fakenham

N P Mulholland 10 wins & 8 placed from 22 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Fakenham, a 45.45% winning strike rate & 81.81% place strike rate, and runs 3 over hurdles here today….

12:40 – Owners Day WON (SP 7/4)

13:10 – Soupy Soups WON (SP 8/15)

15:20 – Admiral Kid Lost

L Wadham 4 wins & 5 placed from 11 in the last 3 years over fences at Fakenham, a 36.36% winning strike rate & 81.81% place strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here here today….

13:45 – Shanroe Santos Lost

A M Hales 3 wins & 4 placed from 9 in the last 3 years over fences at Fakenham, a 33.3% winning strike rate & 77.7% place strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here here today….

14:50 – Running Wolf Lost

N Henderson 4 wins & 4 placed from 10 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Fakenham, a 40% winning strike rate & 80% place strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:40 – Comely Lost

15:20 – Argante WON


RESULTS….

18/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

17/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: -5.16pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +68.59pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +145.06pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +440.41pts