Thursday 1st December

NAP: Awesome Rosie 10/3 (B365) – Wincanton 14:15 – 2pts win NR

Has made the frame in all 4 starts over trips around 2 miles and has won and placed on two previous runs over course and distance. Trainer A King is in great form and has a 37.5% winning strike rate at Wincanton over the last 12 months.

NB: Interlink 16/1 (B365) – Chelmsford 17:15 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 14/1) -2pts

5 length winner over course and distance on penultimate run and is re-united with winning jockey Ben Curtis who has a level stakes profit of almost £25 to a £1 stake over the last 12months at Chelmsford.

IWAC: Foie Gras 14/1 (B365) – Chelmsford 18:15 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 20/1) -2pts

Has won 2 from 3 over course and distance. The trainer has a level stakes profit of £56 to a £1 stake over the last 12months at Chelmsford and a 20% winning strike rate over the same period.


RESULTS….

01/12/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +68.59pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +145.06pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +440.41pts

Wednesday 30th November

NAP: African Beat 11/4 (B365) – Kempton 18:25 – 2pts win Lost (SP 3/1) -2pts

Won well at Wolves earlier this month, on only her 2nd start, and an opening mark of 75 looks on the lenient side. J Gosden has a 25% winning strike rate at Kempton and both his runners (Luqyaa & African Beat) look to have great chances here today.

NB: Ebbisham 7/2 (B365) – Kempton 18:55 – 2pts win Lost (SP 3/1) -2pts

Course and distance winner at the beginning of the month and has won two from three over a mile trip. Up 5lbs but won convincingly by 2 ½ lengths last time out.

IWAC: Miracle Garden 10/1 (B365) – Kempton 16:55 – 2pts win NR

Won 3 times towards the back end of last year and is 2 wins from 2 over course and distance. Disappointing last time out but that was on turf and the return to AW looks sure to suit.

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -0.4pts

NAP 11/4 Lost

NB 3/1 Lost

IWAC 10/1 NR

Bargain Buy 9/4 – Lingfield 12:40 WON

Has won and placed from 2 attempts over course and distance, and has also won over 8f. 1st run since June but won on debut and W Haggas has a 28.24% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Lingfield.


RESULTS….

30/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.4pts

29/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

28/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +68.59pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +145.06pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +440.41pts

Tuesday 29th November

Selections posted on twitter…..

NAP 2nd -2pts

NB 3rd -2pts

IWAC 3rd -2pts


RESULTS….

29/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

28/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +72.99pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +76.47pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +371.82pts

Monday 28th November

NAP: Upbeat Cobbler 2/1 (B365) – Ludlow 13:40 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

NB: Dandy Flame 5/2 (B365) – Newcastle 16:20 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

IWAC: Mac Gregory 5/1 (betfair) – Ludlow 14:10 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -1.5pts

NAP 2/1 Lost

NB 5/2 Lost

IWAC 4/1 Lost

Dubai Dunes 2/1 – Newcastle 13:50 Lost


MONDAY SHORTLISTED HORSES….

Ajman Prince 15/8 (B365) – Newcastle 14:50 2nd

Straits Of Messina 15/2 (B365) – Plumpton 14:30 Lost


MONDAY STATS RUNNERS….

Ludlow

H D Daly 7 winners and 11 placed from 29 in the last 3 years over fences at Ludlow, a 24.14% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:40 – Upbeat Cobbler 2/1 (B365) Lost

Plumpton

A King 7 winners and 10 placed from 21 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Plumpton, a 33.3% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

12:55 – River Frost 4/6 (B365) WON

V Williams 6 winners and 3 placed from 17 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Plumpton, a 35.29% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

12:55 – Burrows Park 4/1 (B365) 2nd


RESULTS….

28/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

27/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

26/11/206 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.49pts

25/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.6pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +78.99pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +76.47pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +371.82pts

Sunday 27th November

Just two meetings to get stuck in to and a number of very short favourites especially at Navan, so just the three selections for Sunday.

NAP: One Forty Seven 5/2 (B365) – Leicester 14:05 – 2pts win 3rd (SP 7/2) -2pts

NB: Lee Side Lady 4/1 (coral) – Leicester 14:40 – 2pts win Lost (SP 10/3) -2pts

IWAC: Hash Brown 14/1 (coral) – Navan 14:20 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 10/1) -2pts


SUNDAY STATS RUNNERS….

Leicester

N Williams 3 winners from 4 runners in the last 3 years over hurdles at Leicester, a 75% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

14:05 – Limoncello 22/1 (PP) Lost

15:40 – Peruvian Bleu 8/1 (PP) 2nd

Navan

Matthew Smith 3 winners from 8 runners in the last 3 years over fences at Navan, a 37.5% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:45 – The Church Gate 200/1 (PP) Lost

W Mullins 15 winners and 11 placed from 37 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Navan, a 40.54% winning strike rate, and runs 3 over hurdles here today….

12:10 – Battleford 4/7 (boyles) Lost

12:40 – Livelovelaugh 10/3 (sky) Lost

14:50 – The Crafty Butcher 12/1 (boyles) 3rd

W Mullins 13 winners and 12 placed from 33 in the last 3 years over fences at Navan, a 36.11% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:45 – Min 4/9 (sky) WON


RESULTS….

27/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

26/11/206 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.49pts

25/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.6pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +86.49pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +76.47pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +371.82pts

Saturday 26th November

NAP: Born Survivor 4/1 (coral) – Newbury 14:05 – 2pts win Lost (SP 2/1) -2pts

NB: Nordic Nymph 2/1 (Betfred) – Bangor 14:50 – 2pts win WON (SP 9/4) +4.5pts

IWAC: Bishops Road 12/1 (BV) – Newcastle 15:30 – 2pts win Lost (SP 20/1) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (Betfred best price) –0.01pts 

NAP 7/2 Lost

NB 2/1 WON

Zabana 7/4 – Gowran Park 14:45 WON

Kalondra 9/4 – Doncaster 15:05 3rd


SATURDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

Beauboreen 4/1 (B365) – Bangor 13:05 Lost

Moorstown 9/4 (sky) – Bangor 13:40 WON

Nordic Nymph 2/1(sky) – Bangor 14:50 WON

Kalondra 5/2 (sj) – Doncaster 15:05 3rd

La Bague Au Roi 6/5 (sky) – Newbury 12:20 WON

Mystifiable 8/1 (B365) – Newbury 13:30 Lost

Born Survivor 4/1 (sky) – Newbury 14:05 Lost

Fou Et Sage 7/1 (B365) – Newbury 15:45 Lost

Zabana 15/8 (sky) – Gowran Park 14:45 WON

Doubledisdoubledat 6/1 (betfred) – Newcastle 13:10 Lost

Petit Mouchoir 7/2 (BV) – Newcastle 14:55 Fell

Bishops Road 12/1 (BV) – Newcastle 15:30 Lost

Keystroke 9/4 (sky) – Wolves 19:15


SATURDAY STATS RUNNERS….

Doncaster

N Henderson 19 wins and 12 placed from 40 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Doncaster, a 47.5% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

12:15 – Minella Rebellion Lost

A King 11 wins and 9 placed from 34 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Doncaster, a 32.35% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

15:05 – Paddy’s Runner Lost

Newbury

N Henderson 21 wins and 25 placed from 70 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Newbury, a 30% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over hurdles here today….

14:40 – Omessa Mas Lost


RESULTS….

26/11/206 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.49pts

25/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.6pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +92.49pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +76.47pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +371.82pts

Friday 25th November

NAP: Lough Derg Leader 11/4 (BV) – Doncaster 15:10 – 2pts win WON (SP 2/1) +5.5pts

NB: Westward Ho 7/2 (BV) – Newcastle 15:30 – 2pts win Lost (SP 4/1) -2pts

IWAC: Red All Star 5/1 (B365) – Dundalk 21:00 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 7/2) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -0.9pts

NAP 5/2 WON

NB 3/1 Lost

IWAC 5/1 2nd

Drumlee Sunset 2/1 – Doncaster 14:35 2nd


FRIDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

Ballyoptic 2/1 (B365) – Newbury 14:10

Three Musketeers 11/4 (WH) – Newbury 14:45

Volunteer Point 11/4 (B365) – Wolves 18:15

Drago 5/2 (B365) – Wolves 19:45


FRIDAY STATS RUNNERS….

Doncaster

A King 11 wins and 9 placed from 34 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Doncaster, a 32.35% winning strike rate, and runs 3 over hurdles here today….

12:20 – The Unit WON

13:25 – Royal Plaza NR

15:10 – Handsome Sam 2nd

Newbury

H Fry 6 wins and 8 placed from 17 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Newbury, a 35.29% winning strike rate, and runs 4 over hurdles here today….

12:30 – Bags Groove 2nd

14:10 – Uknowhatimeanharry WON

15:20 – Behind Time Lost

15:50 – Any Drama 3rd

W Greatrex 4 wins and 2 placed from 12 in the last 3 years over fences at Newbury, a 33.3% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:35 – One Track Mind Lost

P J Hobbs 9 wins and 15 placed from 40 in the last 3 years over fences at Newbury, a 22.5% winning strike rate, and runs just 1 over fences here today….

13:05 – Imperial Presence Lost


RESULTS….

25/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.6pts

23/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

22/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.2pts

21/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +7.8pts

20/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +4.27pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +92pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +76.47pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +371.82pts

Wednesday 23rd November

NAP: Legend Lady 3/1 (PP) – Hereford 14:45 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 7/2) -2pts

Won on return from a break last time out, most recently beating a 120 rated opponent on soft ground who has won 3 times since, so an opening mark of 114 looks to be lenient.

NB: Bradford Bridge 11/4 (B365) – Hereford 12:40 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 7/2) -2pts

Ran a great race when 3rd at 33/1 on hurdles debut and the extra furlong here promises to suit. Hobbs & Johnson in decent recent form.

IWAC: Royals And Rebels 16/1 (BV) – Hereford 13:40 – 2pts win Lost (SP 14/1) -2pts

A winner on heavy ground in a PTP and placed in a PTP on soft ground. Upped in trip and back on soft ground, he looks to too big a price to pass up on. Furthermore, trainer has won 2/2 at the course since it re-opened.

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (B365 best price) -1.5pts

NAP 11/4 2nd

NB 11/4 2nd

Oxford Thinking 7/4 – Wolves 14:05 Lost

The Big Lad 11/4 – Kempton 18:25 Lost


WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS….

Hereford

Difficult to assess course form at Hereford after so few meetings, however may be worth noting that N Twiston-Davies has won 3 from 3 over fences since the course re-opened and runs just Northandsouth over fences in the 14:15 here today, while C J Mann has won 2 from 2 over hurdles since the course re-opened and runs just Royals And Rebels over hurdles in the 13:40 here today.

Wetherby

J O’Neill only won 2/65 over the last 2 weeks but has 10 winners and 6 placed from 24 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wetherby, a 41.67% winning strike rate, and runs 4 over hurdles here today….

12:20 – Alfred Roller 33/1 (BV)

12:50 – Conteur D’Histoire 66/1 (PP)

13:55 – Pongo Twistleton 8/1 (sky)

15:00 – Visandi 6/1 (BV)

D Skelton 7 winners and 6 placed from 18 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wetherby, a 38.89% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:20 – Ulva Ferry 5/1 (PP)

13:55 – Indirocco 3/1 (BV)

Wolves

J Gosden 35 winners and 38 placed from 92 over the last 3 years at Wolves, a 38% winning strike rate, and runs 2 here today….

13:30 – American History 7/2 (sky)

14:05 – Oxford Thinking 7/4 (sky)


RESULTS….

23/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

22/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.2pts

21/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +7.8pts

20/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +4.27pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +91.4pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +76.47pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +371.82pts

Tuesday 22nd November

NAP: Forge Meadow 5/2 (Whill) – Wexford 12:25 – 2pts win WON (SP 15/8) +5pts

Forge Meadow was an impressive bumper winner on debut then ran a cracker to finish third to Augusta Kate at Punchestown when last seen. If reports are to be believed she has been jumping well in preparation for hurdling debut so if transferring this to race conditions she could be tough to beat here.

NB: Daklondike 5/2 (B365) – Lingfield 13:30 – 2pts win WON (SP 2/1) +5pts

Won a PTP on soft ground and wasn’t disgraced when 3rd at Hereford last month on hurdling debut. The ground conditions should play to his strengths here and his trainer has a 40% winning strike rate at Lingfield in the last 12 months.

IWAC: Sir Geoffrey 7/1 (Whill) – Southwell 12:20 – 2pts win NR

Scott Dixon doesn’t have the best strike rate when it comes to winners but his level stakes profit record of +£48.65 to a £1 stake over the last three years at Southwell means his runners are always worth a second look. Preference of his two runners here is for Sir Geoffrey who won on his last two visits to Southwell, both over todays’ trip. The latest of these came off a mark of 61 in a class 5 and he runs today off 58 in a class 6, with jockey Natalie Hambling claiming a further 7lbs. Admittedly his recent form hasn’t been anything to shout about but most recent runs have been on turf and off an attractive mark returning to Southwell it is hoped he can get back to winning ways.

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (coral best price) +2.22pts

NAP 9/4 WON

NB 5/2 WON

Happy Hollow 6/4 – Southwell 13:50 NR

Odello 6/4 – Lingfield 15:45 Lost


RESULTS….

22/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.2pts

21/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +7.8pts

20/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +4.27pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +98.9pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +76.47pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +371.82pts

Monday 21st November

NAP: Noche De Reyes 2/1 (BV) – Ludlow 14:50 – 2pts win Lost (SP 2/1) -2pts

Won 3 and placed 2 from 6 over course and distance and was an excellent 2nd in listed company at Ascot last time out.Trainer does very well at the course (see stats runners below).

NB: Coup De Princeau 5/2 (Betfred) – Kempton 12:55 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 9/4) -2pts

Won twice over todays’ trip in NH flat races and is reported to have schooled well over hurdles by in-form trainer P Nicholls,who has a 20% winning strike rate over hurdles (see stats runners below). Jockey N Schofield also has a very good winning strike rate here.

IWAC: Wolftrap 6/1 (BV) – Ludlow 15:50 – 2pts win WON (SP 9/2) +12pts

P Hobbs has won 8 from 21 over the last 12 months at Ludlow (38% winning strike rate), has only one runner on the card and won this race last year.

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (BV best price) -0.2pts

NAP 2/1 Lost

NB 9/4 2nd

IWAC 6/1 WON 

Jessbers Dream 2/1 – Kempton 14:00 Lost


MONDAY SHORTLISTED RUNNERS….

Kapricorne 6/1 (B365) – Ludlow 13:40 Lost

Midtech Valentine 5/1 (B365) – Kempton 15:40 WON


MONDAY STATS RUNNERS….

Kempton

P Nicholls 9 wins and 23 placed from 45 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Kempton, a 20% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:55 – Coup De Pinceau 9/4 (B365) 2nd

14:00 – Jessbers Dream 2/1 (BV) Lost

N Henderson 19 wins and 35 placed from 78 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Kempton, a 24.36% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:55 – Silverhow 7/2 (BV) Lost

15:10 – River Of Intrigue 5/1 (B365) 3rd

Ludlow

D Skelton 7 wins and 11 placed from 28 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow, a 25% winning strike rate, and runs 2 over hurdles here today….

12:40 – Djarkalin 11/8 (B365) 2nd

13:10 – Sierra Oscar 16/1 (BV) Lost

T George 13 wins and 16 placed from 37 in the last 3 years over fences at Ludlow, a 35.14% winning strike rate, and runs 1 over fences here today….

14:50 – Noche De Reyes 2/1 (B365) Lost

P Hobbs 11 wins and 13 placed from 33 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow, a 33.3% winning strike rate, and runs 1 over hurdles here today….

15:50 – Wolftrap 6/1 (sky) WON


RESULTS….

21/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +7.8pts

20/11/2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +4.27pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +86.7pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: +21.62pts

SEPTEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +40.88pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +76.47pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +371.82pts