Monday 1st August

The first day of a new month and in all honesty the racing looks to be pretty average at best. Hoping to get August off to a good start but will be keeping stakes low.

NAP: Moonlightnaviagtor 5/2 (PP) – Carlisle 19:45 – 2pts win WON (SP 5/4) +5pts 

Backed this one the last twice when finished second on both occasions. Although a ½ length second last time out, was over four lengths clear of third and the fifth of that race has won since. Dropped 1lbs and partnered with the talented Josephine Gordon doing the steering the 4 year old is taken to go one better here.

NB: Fang 4/1 (BV) – Windsor 19:30 – 2pts win Lost (SP 9/2) -2pts

Won his last two, both over six furlongs. Beat a subsequent winner last time out and looked to have won with a little in hand so a 2lbs rise shouldn’t cause too many problems.Yard and jockey in good recent form.

IWAC: Hit The Lights 9/1 (BV) – Carlisle 18:45 – 1pt e/w 2nd (SP 13/2) +1.25pts

Only a tentative selection however this is the trainers only runner on the card and he has a 24% winning strike rate here in the last five years. The 6 year old has won 4, placed 4 from 22 over 5 furlongs, is down to his last winning mark and is eased in class (last win was a class 5, last race was a class 4, races in a class 6 today).

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (Whill best price) +1.32pts

NAP 5/2 WON

NB 4/1 Lost

Captain Power 9/2 – Naas 15:25 WON

Honeysuckle Lil 3/1 – Carlisle 19:15 2nd


RESULTS….

01/08/16 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.57pts

31/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

AUGUST TO DATE PROFIT/LOSS: +5.57pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +32.32pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS (updated monthly): +90.28pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +385.63pts

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JULY ROUND-UP

July round-up

A nice 5/1 IWAC winner to round off what has been a pretty pleasing month overall both in terms of profit and consistency. We finished July with 18 profitable days from 31 to give us an overall profit figure of + 32.32pts! As ever there were a couple of rough days in there but the NAP’s have been a particular highlight this month and we have come very close to landing a full house on the Lucky 15 a couple of times.

Key stats & figures

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +32.32pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +90.28pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +385.63pts

NAP +29pts

11 winners from 30 at average odds of 3/1 – 37.93% winning strike rate (also had 7 NAP’s place)

NB +13pts

7 winners from 27 at average odds of 4/1 – 25.93% winning strike rate (also had 10 NB’s place)

IWAC -10.62pts

3 winners, 4 placed from 30 at average odds of 17/2 – 23.33% strike rate (also had 7 IWAC’s place that were only advised as win bets)

As a final note, I just wanted to say a quick thanks to all followers for the continued support and words of thanks/encouragement during the course of the month and year so far…… and to celebrate that thanks to your support as of today we have officially reached 2000 FOLLOWERS!!!

Sunday 31st July

Well Saturday turned out to be a big of a nightmare! Expected it to be a difficult one but still expected better from the selections and was hopeful of at least one winner from the main tips, however it was not to be! On to the final day of the month and we are safely in profit for July, hoping to add a few more points before we begin August!!

NAP: Mighty Lady 4/1 (boyle) – Chester 16:55 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 3/1) -2pts

NB: Sarangoo 7/2 (boyle) – Chepstow 14:30 – 2pts win 3rd (SP 5/1) -2pts

IWAC: Ice Slice 5/1 (boyle) Chester 15:50 – 2pts win WON (SP 11/4) +10pts


RESULTS….

31/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: +6pts

30/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

JULY PROFIT/LOSS: +32.32pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: -12.99pts

MAY PROFIT/LOSS: +120.80pts 

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +90.28pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +385.63pts

Saturday 30th July

Another decent day yesterday with the NB Thikriyaat doing the business and Franklin D giving us 2 winners in the Lucky 15. Saturday looks very competitive especially at Goodwood so our NAP & NB come from other meetings today. If you’ve made some money this week don’t be rushing to give it all back today, keep stakes sensible and lets hope for a good day.

NAP: Shinghari 4/1 (Whill) – Galway 17:35 – 2pts win Lost (SP 13/2) -2pts

NB: Edward Lewis 3/1 (B365) – Newmarket 17:45 – 2pts win Lost (SP 5/1) -2pts

IWAC: Shabbah 7/1 (B365) – Goodwood 14:35 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 9/2) -2pts

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (Whill best price) -1.5pts

Abingdon 15/8 – Newmarket 14:15 2nd

Pumblechook 3/1 – Doncaster 16:05 Lost

Shinghari 4/1 – Galway 17:35 Lost

Edward Lewis 5/2 – Newmarket 17:45 Lost

Goodwood in full…. (very tough looking card here today)

14:00 Projection 11/2 e/w & Dougan 12/1 e/w both lost

14:35 Shabbah 7/1 e/w Lost

15:10 no bet

15:45 Growl 14/1 4th & Kimbrella 14/1 Lost

16:20 no bet

16:55 Estidraak 10/1 e/w Lost

18:00 Bathos 7/1 e/w

Shortlisted horses…. (no points staked in terms of P&L, just horses that didn’t quite make the main tips)

The Wee Barra 8/1 – Hamilton 18:45

Pea Shooter 6/1 – Thirsk 17:20 2nd

Nifty Kier 7/1 – Lingfield 17:25 Lost

A couple from the USA….

Delta Bluesman 4/1 – Saratoga 22:40

Mohayman 15/8 – Saratoga 23:18


RESULTS….

30/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.5pts

29/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.65pts

JULY TO DATE PROFIT/LOSS: +26.32pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: -12.99pts

MAY PROFIT/LOSS: +120.80pts 

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +57.96pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +353.31pts

Friday 29th July

A much better day on Thursday…. Great to see Big Orange retain the Goodwood Cup and in doing so give us a 4/1 NAP winner, while the IWAC Kassia ran a great race in 2nd for place money at an SP of 10/1. Montataire also gave us a good run for our money although was no match for stablemate Bear Valley. +7.5pts profit for the day and on to Friday we go!!!

NAP: Mount Logan 10/3 (B365) – Goodwood 14:00 – 2pts win Lost (SP 7/2) -2pts

Boasts a 100% winning strike rate at Goodwood and also has two previous wins to his name over todays trip. No match for the 1st three in the Group 2 Hardwicke last time out but the first two in that race have gone on to win and place 3rd at Group 1 level and todays race sees a drop in grade.

NB: Thikriyaat 3/1 (BV) – Goodwod 14:35 – 2pts win WON (SP 9/4) +6pts

Won all three races last season and was an excellent second in the Group 3 Jersey Stakes on seasonal re-appearance, finishing behind Ribchester who was only a half length behind The Gurkha earlier this week. Is proven over todays trip and has won on both good-to-firm and good-to-soft ground so should be able to handle the ground whether we see any further rain or not.

IWAC: Easton Angel 7/1 (B365) – Goodwood 15:45 – 1pt e/w 4th (SP 13/2) +0.75pts

4 wins and 2 placed efforts from seven career runs over todays trip so a top 3 finish looks assured. Just lost out to Marsha last time out but finished ahead of Muthmir and looks to have every chance of getting her head back in from here.

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts win (BV best price) +0.9pts

NAP 3/1 Lost

NB 3/1 WON

Franklin D 3/1 – Goodwood 15:10 WON

Has been steadily improving this season and posted a ver impressive 6 length victory over todays trip when last seen earlier this month, beating the re-opposing Hors De Combat, on similar ground to what he should encounter again here.

Top Score 5/1 – Goodwood 16:20 3rd

Readily beat Montataire and Rainbow Mist (both subsequent winners) over todays trip on similar ground in May and although couldn’t follow up last time out this looked to be more due to the drop in trip and soft ground. Back at 6 furlongs on a faster surface should see a much better performance.

Goodwood in full….

14:00 Mount Logan 10/3 Lost

14:35 Thikryaat 3/1 WON

15:10 Franklin D 3/1 WON

15:45 Easton Angel 7/1 e/w 4th

16:20 Top Score 5/1 3rd

16:55 Mise En Rose 9/1 e/w 2nd

17:30 Sixties Groove 7/1 e/w 2nd


RESULTS….

29/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.65pts

28/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: +7.5pts

JULY TO DATE PROFIT/LOSS: +33.82pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: -12.99pts

MAY PROFIT/LOSS: +120.80pts 

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +57.96pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +353.31pts

Thursday 28th July

Well what a crap day Wednesday turned out to be! Missed just about all the afternoon racing thanks to back-to-back meetings so have only seen the results but its safe to say things didn’t go to plan! On to Thursday we go, hopefully with some better results coming our way….

NAP: Big Orange 4/1 (B365) – Goodwood 15:10 – 2pts win WON (SP 11/4) +8pts

NB: Montataire 4/1 (B365) – Goodwood 16:55 – 2pts win 2nd (SP 5/2) -2pts

IWAC: Kassia 8/1 (B365) – Goodwood 17:30 – 1pt e/w 2nd (SP 10/1) +1.5pts

Goodwood in full….

14:00 High Shields 8/1 e/w Lost

14:35 Blue Point 4/5 win 2nd

15:10 Big Orange 4/1 win WON

15:45 Mill Springs 9/2 win Lost

16:20 Berengaria 14/1 e/w Lost

16:55 Montataire 4/1 win 2nd

17:30 Kassia 8/1 e/w 2nd


RESULTS….

28/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: +7.5pts

27/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.05pts

JULY TO DATE PROFIT/LOSS: +28.17pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: -12.99pts

MAY PROFIT/LOSS: +120.80pts 

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +57.96pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +353.31pts

Wednesday 27th July

A great run by the NAP Dutch Connection (& a great ride from James Mcdonald) gave us our 10th NAP winner of July so far! The IWAC ran a decent enough race to get us place money in fourth but the long wait for the NB didn’t pay off as Artful Artist could only manage 2nd. Nevertheless another profitable day and with 6 days of profit from the last 7 we have hit a nice bit of form coming up to the end of the month.

NAP: Global Applause 7/2 (B365) – Goodwood 15:45 – 2pts win 3rd (SP 2/1) -2pts

Has won two from three over five furlongs with both wins coming on good/good-to-firm ground. Behind The Last Lion when fifth in the Norfolk Stakes but should be capable of reversing that form given that Mark Johnston’s runner seems better suited to softer ground.

NB: Shaan 7/2 (sky) – Goodwood 16:55 – 2pts win Lost (SP 2/1) -2pts

Beat three previous winners over todays trip on good-to-firm ground at Newmarket earlier this month, leading from pillar to post and showing a good level of determination to pull away again in the closing stages.

IWAC: Qatari Hunter 15/2 (Whill) – Goodwood 14:35 – 1pt e/w Lost (SP 5/1) -2pts

Won his last four and with the exception of his first career run he has only been beaten by subsequent winners (Harzand, Sword Fighter and Kadra to name a few). He finishes his races really strongly so should stay this longer trip and the trainer has an 80% strike rate for his runners making the frame here at Goodwood.

LUCKY 15: 1.5pts total win (Whill best price) -1.05pts

NAP 7/2 3rd

NB 7/2 Lost

The Gurkha 7/4 – Goodwood 15:10 WON

Road To Riches 9/2 – Galway 17:30 Lost

Goodwood in full….

14:00 No Heretic 16/1 e/w Lost

14:35 Qatari Hunter 15/2 e/w Lost

15:10 The Gurkha 2/1 win WON

15:45 Global Applause 7/2 win 3rd

16:20 Bouquet De Flores 5/2 win 3rd

16:55 Shaan 7/2 win Lost

17:25 Afjaan 11/4 win Lost


RESULTS….

27/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: -7.05pts

26/07/16 PROFIT/LOSS: +4pts

JULY TO DATE PROFIT/LOSS: +20.67pts

JUNE PROFIT/LOSS: -12.99pts

MAY PROFIT/LOSS: +120.80pts 

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +57.96pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +353.31pts