Saturday 7th December

Saturday Stats Runners

Aintree

B Ellison 3 wins from 7 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 43% winning strike rate…

13:30 – Definitly Red

C Tizzard 6 wins from 31 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 19% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£57.50…

14:40 – Native River

Chepstow

E Williams 15 wins from 77 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 19% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£65.96…

12:55 – Holly James

13:25 – Supreme Escape

15:05 – Jour A La Plage

P Nicholls 7 wins from 14 in the last 3 years in bumpers at the course, a 50% winning strike rate…

15:40 – Mortlach

Sandown

N Henderson 17 wins from 65 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 26% winning strike rate…

12:15 – Timberman & Daphne Du Clos

N Henderson 10 wins from 37 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 27% winning strike rate…

15:00 – Janika

15:35 – Dragon D’Estruval

F O’Brien 5 wins from 16 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 31% winning strike rate…

12:50 – Une De La Seniere

13:20 – Lord Of The Land

Wetherby

N Richards 5 wins from 14 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 36% winning strike rate…

12:10 – Holme Abbey

13:10 – Top Billing

P Kirby 19% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£47 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

13:10 – Dubh Des Champs

14:15 – Lucky Icon & Suggestion

P Kirby 4 wins from 13 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 31% winning strike rate…

12:40 – L’Attendue


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

1st December 2019: +4pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +4pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +5.76pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +14.45pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +679.66pts

Wednesday 4th December

NAP Urtheonethatiwant 3/1 (B365) – Ludlow 15:10 – 1pt win

  • Course and distance winner last month, on return from a five month break

  • Escapes a penalty for last win, and jockey can claim full 7lbs for todays’ race

  • Trainer 28% winning strike rate in the last 12 months at the course

  • Gets 11lbs from main rival Those Tiger Feet, who is also unproven over the longer trip


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

1st December 2019: +4pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +4pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +5.76pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +14.45pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +679.66pts

Tuesday 3rd December

No main selections today – both jumps fixtures have inspections at 8am due to the threat of frost, & I can’t see any stand out options on the AW… so just the stats runners to share with you all for today…

Tuesday Stats Runners

Lingfield

J Snowden 3 wins from 9 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 33% winning strike rate…

13:15 – Early Morning Rain

C Gordon 4 wins from 10 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 40% winning strike rate…

13:45 – Pres

M Gillard 2 wins from 5 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 40% winning strike rate…

13:45 – Kingston Mimosa

E Lavelle 2 wins from 3 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 67% winning strike rate…

15:15 – Private Malone

V Williams 3 wins from 9 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 33% winning strike rate…

14:15 – Bonne Question

Southwell

D Skelton 14 wins from 33 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 42% winning strike rate…

13:00 – Monsieur D’Arque

H Whittington 9 wins from 22 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 41% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£53.61…

13:30 – Overtrumped

Monday 2nd December

Not the greatest day of racing on Monday, and its possible that we may lose our NAP to the weather as there is an inspection planned for 8.30am, so just 1 pt played in the hope we can build on an excellent start to the month.

NAP I’m Too Generous 2/1 (B365) – Musselburgh 14:45 – 1pt win NR (meeting cancelled)

John Williams has two wins, a 2nd and a 3rd from four course and distance runs, including when winning this race off a 3lbs higher mark last season, although disappointed towards the end of last season and is yet to fire in a couple of runs so far this season.

Benny’s Secret was a winner over course and distance last time out but has gone up 7lbs and both trainer and jockey have struggled for winners in recent weeks, so for the winner we turn to I’m Too Generous who is two from two over course and distance when tackling hurdles and has won his last three when racing over this trip. A winner last time out, he races off 3lbs lower now reverting to fences and can further enhance his trainers’ excellent record at the course.


Monday Stats Runners

Plumpton

Miss S West 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£60.75 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

13:30 – Ding Ding

15:00 – Sixties Secret

C J Mann 6 wins from 11 in the last 3 years in bumpers at the course, a 45% winning strike rate…

14:30 – The Lion Dancer

Miss S Smith 3 wins from 5 in the last 3 years in bumpers at the course, a 60% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£31.25…

15:30 – Counteract

Musselburgh

K Dalgleish 5 wins from 10 in the last 3 years in bumpers at the course, a 50% winning strike rate…

15:15 – Blueskyandsunshine

Monday Stats Runners

Plumpton

Miss S West 21% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£60.75 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

13:30 – Ding Ding

15:00 – Sixties Secret

C J Mann 6 wins from 11 in the last 3 years in bumpers at the course, a 45% winning strike rate…

14:30 – The Lion Dancer

Miss S Smith 3 wins from 5 in the last 3 years in bumpers at the course, a 60% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£31.25…

15:30 – Counteract

Musselburgh

K Dalgleish 5 wins from 10 in the last 3 years in bumpers at the course, a 50% winning strike rate…

15:15 – Blueskyandsunshine


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

1st December 2019: +4pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +4pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +5.76pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +14.45pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +679.66pts

Sunday 1st December

NAP Honeysuckle 2/1 (Betfred/PP/BV) – Fairyhouse 14:40 – 2pts win WON +4pts

Apples Jade has won this race for the last three years, yet with Gordon Elliott’s runner having lost her last four races she looks worth taking on in her bid for a fourth success. Willie Mullins has won this race three times since 2010 and runs three with Bacardys looking to be the pick of the trio. A convincing winner of the Lismullen Hurdle (with Apples Jade ten lengths back in second) when last seen, he is unbeaten in two over this trip and has optimum conditions for another big run.

All that said, it is hard not to be impressed with what we have seen of Honeysuckle so far. A three-time course and distance winner including a Grade 1 which has produced seven subsequent winners and an eleven length demolition of rivals in testing conditions last time out, she faces her toughest test to date but looks capable of continuing her rise to the top with victory here.


Sunday Stats Runners

Carlisle

N Richards 7 wins from 23 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 30% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£24.63…

12:20 – Rubytwo

13:20 – Holme Abbey & Taking Flight

R Johnson 3 wins from 8 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 37% winning strike rate…

13:50 – Atlanta Ablaze

14:55 – Trio For Rio

M A Barnes 3 wins from 11 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 27% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£16.30…

14:55 – Bafana Blue


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

1st December 2019: +4pts

DECEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +4pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +5.76pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +14.45pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +679.66pts

Saturday 30th November

Uno Valeroso 9/2 (B365) – Bangor 12:45 – 1pt win Lost -1pt

  • One win & one 2nd from two runs over course and distance, the victory coming in this race in 2017 and the 2nd in this race in 2018

  • Attempts to win the race again this year, off an 8lbs lower mark

  • Decent pipe-opener when 3rd over hurdles at Hexham 3 weeks ago

Ask The Weatherman 4/1 (coral) – Bangor 13:20 – 1pt win Lost -1pt

  • All career wins on soft or heavy ground

  • Last win over fences came off a mark of 132, races today off 125

  • Won on debut and on both prior runs when returning from 200+ days off the course


ITV Racing Selections

13:50 Newbury – Snow Leopardess (E/W)

14:05 Newcastle – Lady Buttons

14:25 Newbury – Epatante

15:00 Newbury – Commodore (E/W)

15:20 Newcastle – Top Ville Benn

15:40 Newbury – Magic Saint


Saturday Stats Runners

Bangor

D McCain 40 wins from 141 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 28% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of+£73.88…

13:55 – Yes No Maybe So

14:30 – Pitchelot

15:05 – Devito’sredrobin

Newbury

N Henderson 23 wins from 81 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 28% winning strike rate…

12:05 – Floressa

13:50 – Soul Emotion, The Cashel Man & Downtown Getaway

14:25 – Elusive Belle, French Crusader & Epatante

V Williams 6 wins from 18 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 33% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£33.63…

15:00 – Commodore

Newcastle

N Henderson 5 wins from 5 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 100% winning strike rate…

14:05 – Buveur D’Air

B Geraghty 4 wins from 4 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 100% winning strike rate…

12:55 – Checkitout

14:05 – Buveur D’Air


Trainer Watch – Tom Lacey

Following a suggestion from one of our followers, we have decided to follow the progress of one trainer over the course of the next few weeks… and our first trainer is to be Tom Lacey. I have picked Tom as he doesn’t tend to have too many runners but has been very consistent since beginning his training career in 2014, posting 119 winners from 619 runners for a 19% winning strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£79.80.

At this stage this section of the blog is purely a snapshot of runners, with further information and thoughts if time permits. There will be no points played on any of the runners unless they are detailed in the main selections above.

Saturday – no runners


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

30th November 2019: -2pts

NOVEMBER PROFIT/LOSS: +5.76pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +14.45pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +679.66pts

Thursday 28th November

Thursday Stats Runners

Taunton

P Nicholls 29 wins from 84 for a 34% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

12:35 – Eritage

13:10 – Dogon

13:45 – Easyrun De Vassy

14:50 – Deadline Diva

J Scott 7 wins from 30 for a 23% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£29.85 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

13:10 – Fantasia Storm

14:50 – Bang On

J Scott 4 wins from 11 for a 36% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£17.50 in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

15:20 – Seeanythingyoulike

E J Baker 3 wins from 7 for a 43% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

15:20 – Arquebusier


Trainer Watch – Tom Lacey

Following a suggestion from one of our followers, we have decided to follow the progress of one trainer over the course of the next few weeks… and our first trainer is to be Tom Lacey. I have picked Tom as he doesn’t tend to have too many runners but has been very consistent since beginning his training career in 2014, posting 119 winners from 619 runners for a 19% winning strike rate, with level stakes profit of +£79.80.

At this stage this section of the blog is purely a snapshot of runners, with further information and thoughts if time permits. There will be no points played on any of the runners unless they are detailed in the main selections above.

Taunton – 5 wins from 15 runners (all-time)

13:10 Floating Rock

14:50 Dorking Boy