23rd October

NAP Be More 4/1 (B365) – Newmarket 16:10 – 2pts win

Has progressed well over the summer, putting in decent performances particularly in testing conditions with both career victories coming over similar trips on soft ground. William Buick an interesting jockey booking.


In-Form Jockeys

N De Boinville 4 wins from 8 in the last 2 weeks, a 50% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£15.25…

W14:20 – Bold Record

W14:55 – Floresca

B R Jones 5 wins from 11 in the last 2 weeks, a 45% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£6.88…

W12:45 – Field Exhibition

W15:30 – Simon The Great


Wednesday Stats Runners

Worcester

Dr Newland 24% winning strike ratein the last 3 years over fences at the course…

14:20 – Yccs Portocervo

N Hawke 28% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£41 in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

12:15 – The Boola Bee

12:45 – Heart Of Kernow

N Twiston-Davies 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£18.50 in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

12:45 – Robinshill

13:15 – Chinensis

P Hobbs 33% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£43.99 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

14:20 – Larkbarrow Lad

15:20 – Big Shark


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

19th October 2019: -8pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: -32pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.75pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.96pts

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21st October

Pontefract

Looks to be a tough card at Pontefract, potentially made even tougher with conditions… however I like a challenge so here are my selections for each race of the card

14:20 Ambyfaeirvine 11/2 e/w (Whill, BV) Lost

14:50 Hidden Spell 4/1 (B365, BV) WON

15:20 Rake’s Progress 7/1 e/w (BV – 4 places) Lost & Edgar Allan Poe 22/1 e/w (BV – 4 places) NR

15:50 Grand Rock 2/1 (B365) Lost (only 6 runners but I also expect Sir Arthur Dayne to outrun his 20/1 odds)

16:20 King Power 9/4 (BV, PP) Lost

16:50 Taxmeifyoucan 6/1 (B365) Lost

17:20 Our Little Pony 12/1 e/w (B365, BV) WON


In-Form Trainers & Jockeys

R Beckett 8 wins from 26 in the last 2 weeks, a 31% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£41.50…

Ponte 14:20 – Maximilius

Ponte 15:50 – Wyclif

K Burke 6 wins from 19 in the last 2 weeks, a 31% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£10.32…

Ponte 14:20 – Guipure & Hooroo

Ponte 14:50 – Hidden Spell

Ponte 15:20 – Power Player

Ponte 16:20 – Fox Fearless

Southwell 18:00 – Finery

Southwell 18:30 – Praxidice & Angel Palanas


Monday Stats Runners

Pontefract

R M Whitaker 26% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£26.58 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:50 – Cindy Looper

17:20 – Penny Pot Lane

M Channon 24% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£18.50 in the last 3 years at the course…

15:50 – Sir Arthur Dayne

Sir M Stoute 33% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

16:20 – Dante’s View

Jockey J Fanning 20% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£41.14 in the last 3 years at the course…

15:20 – Bo Samraan

15:50 – Freyja

16:20 – Vibrance

Jockey S De Sousa 32% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

15:50 – Sir Arthur Dayne

16:20 – King Power

Southwell

K Burke 20% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£87.50 in the last 3 years at the course…

18:00 – Finery

18:30 – Praxidice & Angel Palanas

Jockey B Curtis 17% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£44.75 in the last 3 years at the course…

18:00 – Finery

18:30 – Praxidice

20:00 – Risk Mitigation

20:30 – Ventura Glory

Windsor

S C Williams 18% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£27.83 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:30 – Agent Shiftwell

20th October

No denying it has been a tough month for the P&L – so trying something slightly different today. No points staked (lets just see how we go), but I have concentrated on Kempton and have picked out my idea of the winner in each of their seven races. 

14:15 Production 9/4 (Whill) Lost

  • Decent enough 4th on hurdles debut last time out & should come on for the experience

  • Trainer A King has won this race 4 times since 2010

14:45 Oleg 11/8 (PP) Lost

  • Exciting prospect – won on chase debut earlier in the month & entitled to improve for the slight extra distance today

  • Trainer P Nicholls 30% winning strike rate in the last three years over fences at the course

15:20 Longhouse Sale 5/2 (Whill) Lost

  • Was unbeaten in seven before a disappointing effort at Market Rasen in July, however has had the summer off to recover, has won first time up for the last two years and is four wins from four over a two-mile trip so looks to have a lot in her favour

15:50 Snapdragon Fire 11/4 (B365) Lost

  • Three-time hurdle winner who was a decent second on chase debut last month. Should benefit for the extra couple of furlongs he encounters today, and both trainer and jockey in excellent recent form

16:25 Itchy Feet 7/4 (PP) Lost

  • Champion Hurdle 3rd (Silver Streak) vs Supreme 3rd (Itchy Feet) and its the latter who gets the vote as he won over course and distance on this card last season and has built up an excellent partnership with his jockey Gavin Sheehan

17:00 Vendredi Trois 5/1 (BV) WON

  • A tricky race but a chance is taken on Vendredi Trois drops down from Class 3’s and who is now 5lbs better off than when a close 2nd in this grade over todays’ trip in May. Has placed in four from six over three miles and looks to have a decent chance of finally adding a victory

17:35 Mason Jar 15/8 (PP) WON

  • Followed up a solid 2nd on debut for Dr Newland with a commanding victory next time out – a similar performance would see him tough to beat. Zyon was last seen finishing a close 3rd to Emitom in a bumper at Ascot last November but rates as a smart prospect for trainer Paul Nicholls so looks to be the main danger now going over hurdles


Sunday Stats Runners

Kempton

P Nicholls 30% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

14:45 – Oleg

Sedgefield

B Ellison 25% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

14:30 – Robeam

16:40 – Snookered

Jockey R Chapman 33% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

15:05 – Knockoura

16:05 – Traditional Dancer

Cork

N Meade 33% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

14:35 – Battle Of Midway


In-Form Trainers & Jockeys

B Ellison 3 wins from 6 in the last 2 weeks over jumps, a 50% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£26.50…

Sedgefield 14:30 – Robeam

Sedgefield 15:05 – Windsor Avenue

Sedgefield 16:40 – Snookered

N De Boinville 3 wins from 6 in the last 2 weeks over jumps, a 50% winning strike rate…

Kempton 15:50 – Snapdragon Fire

H Cobden 9 wins from 27 in the last 2 weeks over jumps, a 33% winning strike rate…

Kempton 14:45 – Oleg

Kempton 15:20 – Birds Of Prey

Kempton 16:25 – Grand Sancy

Kempton 17:35 – Zyon


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

19th October 2019: -8pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: -32pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.75pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.96pts

19th October

Ascot – Champions Day Selections

13:35 – Hello Youmzain 6/1 (BV) – 1pt win Lost -1pt

13:35 – Make A Challenge 10/1 (B365) – 1pt win Lost -1pt

14:10 – Stradivarius 8/13 (sky) – no single 2nd

14:45 – Antonia De Vega 9/1 (sky – 4 places) – 1pt e/w Lost -2pts

15:20 – The Revenant 4/1 (Whill) – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

16:00 – Magical 6/4 (B365) – no single WON

16:40 – Clon Coulis 8/1 (sky – 6 places) – 1pt e/w Lost -2pts


Saturday Stats Runners

Catterick

K Dalgleish 16% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£33.04 in the last 3 years at the course…

14:15 – Gina D’Cleaner

16:30 – Summer Daydream

Ffos Las

C Tizzard 6 wins from 15 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 40% winning strike rate…

15:35 – Lamanver Pippin

C Tizzard 4 wins from 13 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 31% winning strike rate…

14:25 – Rarest Diamond

T George 4 wins from 11 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 36% winning strike rate…

16:50 – Smugglers Blues

N Henderson 8 wins from 20 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 40% winning strike rate…

13:50 – Solonng

Jockey L Williams 4 wins from 11 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 36% winning strike rate…

13:50 – Definately Vinnie

Market Rasen

A King 11 wins from 41 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course, a 27% winning strike rate…

14:00 – Hotter Than Hell

P Nicholls 5 wins from 15 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 33% winning strike rate…

15:45 – Malaya

16:20 – San Benedeto

T George 4 wins from 11 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 36% winning strike rate…

16:55 – Blue N Yellow

Jockey S Twiston-Davies 6 wins from 21 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 28% winning strike rate…

15:45 – Earlofthecotsowlds

16:20 – Whoshotsho

Stratford

Jockey B Hughes 32% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

13:45 – Sidi Ismael

14:20 – Armattiekan

16:05 – Never Be Enough

Jockey P Fuller 30% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

14:20 – Kilinakin

17:10 – Mr Fitzroy

Jockey A Heskin 38% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£24.17 in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

15:30 – Bagan

16:35 – Hurricane Rita


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

19th October 2019: -8pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: -32pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.75pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.96pts

18th October

An interesting one for tomorrow…

Hepijeu 9/2 – Fakenham 16:05 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

Has won his last three over fences (one over course and distance) and overall has two wins & a second from three runs at Fakenham. Has gone up 7lbs but was a commanding 10 length winner last time out over fences. Won’t have any issues with the forecast conditions, has proven stamina over this trip (and further) and races for a stable who have had three winners from just five runners in the last three years over fences at the course.

Make that an interesting two for tomorrow…

Hit The Bid 9/2 (sky) – Dundalk 20:15 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Has raced at Dundalk over the minimum trip twice, on both occasions in previous renewals of this race, finishing 2nd by a neck to Take Cover in 2017 before returning in 2018 to go one better and win the race by half a length from Encore D”Or. Excellent 3rd at Newbury last time out (2nd was Dakota Gold who has won since) so arrives in good form and is expected to gain back-to-back renewals of this race.


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

18th October 2019: -4pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: -24pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.75pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.96pts

16th October

Wetherby

14:55 – Beakstown 7/4 (B365) – 1pt win 2nd -1pts

15:30 – Keep Rolling 11/4 (B365) – 1pt win Lost -1pts

16:00 – Niven 10/1 (BV) – 1pt win Lost -1pts

16:35 – Teescomponents Lad 13/2 (B365) – 1pt win Lost -1pts

17:05 – Theflyingportrait 9/2 (PP) – 1pt win Lost -1pts

17:35 – Antunes 4/1 (BV) – 1pt win WON +4pts


Wednesday Stats Runners

Bath

M Channon 24% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:10 – Jeanie B

16:25 – Jungle Juice

16:55 – Beer With The Boys

M Johnston 27% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at the course…

14:45 – Justified & Salamanca School

15:20 – Sapa Inca

Wetherby

P Kirby 18% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£41 in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

14:20 – My Strong Man

15:30 – Sincerely Resdev

17:35 – Lucky Icon

D Skelton 27% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:30 – West Cork

P Hobbs 50% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at the course…

15:30 – Keep Rolling & Jatiluwifh

16:35 – Victarion

P Kirby 44% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

16:00 – Niven

D Skelton 437% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at the course…

14:55 – Beakstown

17:35 – Antunes


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

16th October 2019: -1pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: -20pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.75pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.96pts

15th October

NAP Financial Outcome 5/2 (B365) – Hereford 15:05 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

  • Makes chase debut but was successful in two PTP races before joining Rebecca Curtis

  • Made the frame in four from five over the smaller obstacles – plenty of scope for improvement now tacking fences

  • Trainer won this race last season & has 3 wins from 6 in the last 3 years over fences at the course, a 50% winning strike rate


MONTHLY PROFIT/LOSS

15th October 2019: -2pts

OCTOBER PROFIT/LOSS: -19pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS (all updated at the end of each month)

2019 PROFIT/LOSS: +5.75pts

2018 PROFIT/LOSS: +55.81pts

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +76.17pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015: +670.96pts