Tuesday 21st November

A less than inspiring day of racing and only a couple of stats runners across the three racecards – stats runners below but a day to sit out in terms of main selections.

TUESDAY STATS RUNNERS

SOUTHWELL

G P McPherson 6 wins & 7 placed from 20 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Southwell, a 30% win & 65% place strike rate….

13:30 – Scooby (trainer 25% wsr, jockey 30% wsr in the last 2 weeks)

T George 10 wins & 10 placed from 23 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Southwell, a 43% win & 86% place strike rate….

14:00 – Another Stowaway

LINGFIELD

C Appleby 30% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Lingfield….

14:10 – Celestial Spheres (trainer 37% wsr, jockey 22% wsr in the last 2 weeks)


 

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Monday 20th November

NAP Gabrials Star 5/2 (PP) – Wolves 16:30 – 2pts win

NB Chef D’Equipe 5/2 (PP) – Plumpton 14:40 – 2pts win

LUCKY 15 1.5pts total win (PP best price)

NAP 5/2

NB 5/2

Red Square Revival 11/4 – Leicester 12:50

Delface 4/1 – Leicester 13:50


MONDAY STATS RUNNERS

LEICESTER

D Pipe 4 wins & 4 placed from 10 in the last 3 years over fences at Leicester, a 40% win & 80% place strike rate…

12:50 – Red Square Revival

D Pipe 5 wins & 4 placed from 11 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Leicester, a 45% win & 81% place strike rate…

13:50 – Delface


MONTHLY RESULTS….

19/11/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -2.18pts

NOVEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -1.68pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +75.72pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +596.21pts

Sunday 19th November

 

NAP Fox Norton 10/11 (BV) – Cheltenham 14:25 – 2pts win WON +1.82pts

Fox Norton won this race last year and has an excellent record both over course and distance and when returning from a break so, despite the short odds, looks the one to follow here.

NB Shelford 9/2 (sky) – Fontwell 14:05 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

Has made the frame in all six races since switching to fences, placing at Listed level the last twice. Steps down in class for today’s race and with trainer Dan Skelton in excellent form he should be capable of victory here.

IWAC Mohaayed 15/2 (Sky – 6 places) – 15:00 Cheltenham – 1pt e/w Lost -2pts 

Mohaayed only had one rival to beat when last seen but couldn’t have been any more impressive in doing so, winning by twelve lengths with the minimum of fuss, and wasn’t far away in the County Hurdle at last years’ festival. With both trainer and jockey in excellent recent form he’s the one i’m opting for here.


ONE TO WATCH/FOLLOW

15:30 Cheltenham

Nicky Henderson has won this race with Altior and Vyta Du Roc in recent years and looks to have a great chance of landing the spoils again with his runner Dame De Compagnie. She opened her account for the Lambourn trainer at the first time of asking, winning at Uttoxeter in very impressive fashion despite the winning distance only being two lengths. A similar run here would make her very difficult to beat.  


MONTHLY RESULTS….

19/11/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -2.18pts

NOVEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -1.68pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +75.72pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +596.21pts

Saturday 18th November

NAP Outofthisworld 3/1 (PP) – Cheltenham 16:00 – 2pts win NR

NB Spring Loaded 10/3 (B365) – Lingfield 15:15 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

IWAC Tully East 8/1 (WHill) – Cheltenham 14:25 – 2pts win Lost -2pts


SATURDAY STATS RUNNERS

UTTOXETER

F O’Brien 26% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£19.25 in the last 3 years over fences at Uttoxeter…

14:00 – Jenny’s Surprise

W Greatrex 50% winning strike rate in the last 3 years in bumpers at Uttoxeter…

15:40 – Article Fifty

A J Honeyball 42% winning strike rate in the last 3 years in bumpers at Uttoxeter…

15:40 – East Wing

WETHERBY

D Skelton 31% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wetherby…

12:30 – Cabaret Queen

13:05 – Whatduhavtoget

D Skelton 42% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Wetherby…

15:20 – Get On The Yager

N Richards 55% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£23.25 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Wetherby…

13:40 – Western Rules

PUNCHESTOWN

W Mullins 22% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£22.22 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Punchestown…

13:45 – Burrows Saint

14:20 – Lets Dance

W Mullins 32% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£10.55 in the last 3 years over fences at Punchestown…

12:25 – Invitation Only

G P Cromwell 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Punchestown…

12:05 – A Place Apart & Famous Milly

13:45 – Sempre Amigos

14:20 – Elusive Ivy

LINGFIELD

W Haggas 32% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Lingfield…

14:45 – Victory Bond

C Appleby 30% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Lingfield…

14:45 – Boynton

WOLVES

J Gosden 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years at Wolves…

18:45 – Corelli & River Of Gold


MONTHLY RESULTS….

18/11/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -4pts

NOVEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +0.5pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +75.72pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +596.21pts

Friday 17th November

NAP Momella 11/2 (coral) – Cheltenham 15:35 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

Nicky Henderson and Nico De Boinville have both in fantastic form in recent weeks and team up with the unbeaten On The Blind Side who has no concerns with stamina having won over todays’ trip last time out and in a point-to-point prior to that.

Vision Des Flos was beaten by Poetic Rhythm on hurdle debut but could improve for the step up in trip and would be a fitting winner given the devastating loss of owner Alan Potts this week.

Calett Mad is now two from two since reverting back to hurdles but is arguably better over further so in a competitive looking affair I’m opting for Momella for the in-form Dan Skelton team. He only had two rivals to beat last time out but won by over seventeen lengths (with the third a further forty lengths behind) and is now unbeaten in his last three runs, two over todays’ trip. This is a big step up in grade but he looks capable of further improvement so gets the vote.

NB Kapstadt 7/2 (B365) – Cheltenham 13:50 – 2pts win 2nd -2pts

Exitas brings the best form in to the race having won three of his last four, with the latest of these coming earlier this month when winning a Listed contest by seven lengths. On this basis it’s not difficult to see why he will likely go off as favourite however it is worth noting that the last three winners of this race have done so at double figure odds and a new rating of 133 coupled with expected good-to-soft conditions could mean it’s worth taking him on.

Kapstadt only just failed off his current mark at Ludlow last time out but has a previous course victory to his name and with only two runs over fences to his name is capable of further improvement, while Doitforthevillage races for last years’ winning trainer and although disappointed over course and distance last time out he has winning form both over the trip and in forecast conditions and could do better today.

IWAC Urgent De Gregaine 5/1 (B365) – Cheltenham 15:00 – 2pts win 3rd -2pts

Enda Bolger has won this race five times in the last nine years and sends last years’ winner Cantlow along with the young pretender Auvergnat. Both have had recent spins over hurdles and it would be folly to dismiss either considering their trainer record however both were beaten by Cause Of Causes at the Festival last season and neither arrive in the greatest form.

With this in mind I’m happy to take a chance on Urgent De Gregaine who was a course and distance winner at 50/1 when last seen in January 2017, racing from out of the handicap and out of the weights yet still beating all of the above-mentioned three.


MONTHLY RESULTS….

17/11/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

NOVEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +4.5pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +75.72pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +596.21pts

Thursday 16th November

 

NAP Black Sam Bella 5/2 (BV) – Ludlow 14:25 – 2pts win -2pts


 THURSDAY STATS RUNNERS

LUDLOW

N Henderson 34% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow….

13:25 – Sunshade

14:25 – Haul Away

F O’Brien 25% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£20 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow….

13:25 – Oscar Rose

15:00 – Indian Reel

D Skelton 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ludlow….

14:25 – Black Sam Bella

T George 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Ludlow….

15:30 – Cernunnos

TAUNTON

P Nicholls 33% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Taunton….

13:35 – Darling Maltaix

P Nicholls 28% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Taunton….

13:05 – Ridgeway Flyer

15:40 – Monsieur Co

D Skelton 26% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Taunton….

14:35 – Oscars Song

15:10 – The Last Bar

A J Honeyball 24% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Taunton….

15:10 – G For Ginger


MONTHLY RESULTS….

16/11/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -2pts

NOVEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +10.5pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +75.72pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +596.21pts

Wednesday 15th November

 

NAP Persian Delight 3/1 (B365) – Exeter 13:25 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

NB Potters Legend 7/2 (sky) – Bangor 13:45 – 2pts win Lost -2pts

IWAC Bogoss Du Perret 13/2 (PP) – Exeter 14:00 – 2pts win Lost -2pts


WEDNESDAY STATS RUNNERS

AYR

Jockey C Whillans 29% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£56.25 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Ayr…

13:00 – Side Of The Road

14:10 – Paper Roses

BANGOR

D Skelton 43% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Bangor…

13:10 – Rene’s Girl

13:45 – Sir Mangan

A King 40% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Bangor…

14:50 – Midnight Tour

15:20 – Pageburg

EXETER

P Nicholls 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over hurdles at Exeter…

13:25 – Persian Delight

16:05 – Hugos Horse

A King 42% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Exeter…

15:00 – Yanworth

H Fry 36% winning strike rate in the last 3 years over fences at Exeter…

14:30 – Wotzizname

H Fry 38% winning strike rate & level stakes profit of +£36.54 in the last 3 years over hurdles at Exeter.…

15:35 – Rosemary Russet


MONTHLY RESULTS….

15/11/2017 PROFIT/LOSS: -6pts

NOVEMBER 2017 PROFIT/LOSS: +12.5pts


HISTORIC & ROLLING RESULTS

2017 PROFIT/LOSS: (updated monthly): +75.72pts

2016 PROFIT/LOSS: +237.55pts

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 2015 (updated monthly): +596.21pts